Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 83-63

25-12 12-16 19-18 27-17

Position#12

Record9-9

FormWLLWW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game80.8

Avellino 🏆

Varese

Position#10

Record8-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game81.3

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Avellino v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

75-85

-10

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

69-84

-15

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-74

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

85-83

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-94

-36

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

103-92

103

+11

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

80-72

A02/02

Lega A

25-19

21-20

14-12

15-34

20-16

16-26

20-16

13-26

25-18

12-20

22-20

19-16

18-22

24-29

24-21

19-11

18-23

19-22

12-19

9-30

24-22

29-18

21-24

29-28

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

28-19

22-17

11-24

19-12

161.6Avg total

77.8Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.9	80.8	157.7	-3.8	50%
Season at home (8)	81.5	79.2	160.8	+2.2	75%
Season away (10)	73.3	82.0	155.3	-8.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	83.6	166.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	71.8	74.0	145.8	-2.2	54%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.0	78.9	157.9	+0.1	69%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

77-82

-5

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

86-75

+11

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

80-86

-6

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

98-89

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

94-75

+19

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

79-87

-8

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

78-86

-8

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

80-73

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-76

-5

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

93-77

+16

A02/02

Lega A

22-21

25-21

19-15

11-25

24-22

14-11

23-20

25-22

24-22

21-19

17-18

18-27

27-17

22-29

26-18

23-25

27-24

29-12

17-17

21-22

25-24

12-28

27-21

15-14

25-20

16-19

3-23

34-24

14-16

18-19

21-25

27-13

22-16

20-32

14-18

15-10

31-15

22-34

16-15

24-13

164.2Avg total

83.6Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	81.6	81.3	162.9	+0.3	44%
Season at home (9)	82.0	77.7	159.7	+4.3	56%
Season away (9)	81.2	84.9	166.1	-3.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	80.6	164.2	+3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	79.8	160.0	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	74.3	82.0	156.3	-7.7	23%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.5	80.2	161.7	+1.2	46%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	82.5	169.5	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.2	40.3	-0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	21.2	40.2	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	19.3	40.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	19.7	43.8	+4.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	18.5	37.1	+0.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.5	36.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	17.7	39.8	+4.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	17.2	41.5	+7.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	26.4	44.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	21.5	41.8	-1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	0%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

46-39

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

36-42

-6

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

37-38

-1

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

42-51

-9

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-45

-8

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-40

+13

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

50-36

+14

A02/02

Lega A

84.3Avg total

41.8Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.5	84.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.6	41.3	80.9	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

47-42

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

38-33

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

45-41

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

49-46

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

56-36

+20

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

37-52

-15

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-39

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

32-35

-3

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-48

-6

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

53-49

A02/02

Lega A

86.1Avg total

44.0Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.1	79.3	-1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	40.3	78.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.1	86.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.2	40.8	77.0	-4.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.0	40.9	82.9	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.5	39.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.5	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	21.1	40.0	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.6	40.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.1	37.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	14.8	37.8	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.3	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.0	40.8	78.8	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	40.7	79.4	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	41.3	77.3	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.2	38.1	73.3	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.8	23%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	45.5	85.2	-5.8	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	40.6	79.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	38.5	77.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	42.7	80.8	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.2	74.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.5	39.3	78.8	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
03/11/13	Varese v Avellino	85-68
27/01/13	Avellino v Varese	82-83 OT
06/10/12	Varese v Avellino	91-83
02/05/12	Avellino v Varese	78-77
11/01/12	Varese v Avellino	94-78
30/01/11	Varese v Avellino	83-85
24/10/10	Avellino v Varese	85-69
07/03/10	Avellino v Varese	76-67
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	80-72
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96
05/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	103-92
29/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	58-94
26/12/13	H	Brindisi	85-83
22/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	78-74
15/12/13	A	Venezia	69-84
08/12/13	H	Siena	75-85

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/14	A	Venezia	93-77
27/01/14	H	Olimpia Milano	71-76
18/01/14	A	Reggiana	80-73
12/01/14	H	Virtus Roma	78-86
05/01/14	A	Siena	79-87
29/12/13	A	Cremona	94-75
26/12/13	H	Virtus Bologna	98-89
22/12/13	A	Caserta	80-86
18/12/13	A	Ulm	86-75
15/12/13	H	Cantu	77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WLWWW	75%
Away	WLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	50%	75%	30%
Points / game	76.9	81.5	73.3
Allowed / game	80.8	79.2	82.0
Point differential	-3.8	+2.2	-8.7
Avg total	157.7	160.8	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	44%
Home	WLWLL	56%
Away	LWLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	56%	33%
Points / game	81.6	82.0	81.2
Allowed / game	81.3	77.7	84.9
Point differential	+0.3	+4.3	-3.7
Avg total	162.9	159.7	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	44%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	18	13	5	72%	78.3	69.2	+9.2
2	Brindisi	18	13	5	72%	77.2	73.9	+3.3
3	Cantu	18	12	6	67%	82.6	79.6	+3.1
4	Siena	18	11	7	61%	75.3	69.6	+5.7
5	Virtus Roma	18	11	7	61%	76.2	74.3	+1.9
6	Sassari	18	10	8	56%	83.2	79.4	+3.8
7	Venezia	18	9	9	50%	78.9	78.5	+0.4
8	Avellino	18	9	9	50%	76.9	80.8	-3.8
9	Reggiana	19	9	10	47%	75.6	72.6	+3.0
10	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	73.5	73.3	+0.3
11	Varese	18	8	10	44%	81.6	81.3	+0.3
12	Virtus Bologna	18	8	10	44%	79.2	79.7	-0.4
13	Pistoia	18	8	10	44%	76.8	79.4	-2.6
14	Cremona	18	6	12	33%	75.6	81.3	-5.7
15	Sutor Montegranaro	18	5	13	28%	79.6	88.4	-8.9
16	Pesaro	18	4	14	22%	79.8	89.5	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	25	12	19	27	83
Varese	12	16	18	17	63

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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