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Vasco vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-73
23-17 15-18 23-18 18-20
Position#4
Record18-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game71.8
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record4-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game81.2
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Mogi
20 Jan 2026
VASC60
MOGI67
28 Feb 2025
VASC104
MOGI82
02 Mar 2024
VASC79
MOGI73
14 Dec 2018
VASC75
MOGI88
18 Nov 2017
VASC75
MOGI82
19 Nov 2016
VASC94
MOGI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 72
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 72
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
78avg 72
A15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 72
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 72
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 72
H28/01
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 72
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 72
A17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-22
16-16
20-16
14-24
22-17
26-18
18-19
20-17
16-24
21-21
22-22
8-22
16-15
17-22
20-22
21-15
23-16
18-24
14-12
28-11
12-19
20-25
18-18
21-23
25-13
19-22
24-19
15-25
14-19
18-14
15-18
18-21
30-28
26-20
24-17
20-27
24-23
24-11
13-15
155.8Avg total
78.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.671.8147.4+3.872%
Season at home (12)75.670.3145.9+5.275%
Season away (13)75.573.2148.7+2.469%
Last 10 (10)78.577.3155.8+1.270%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.686.7156.2-17.10%
vs Similar (8)76.572.6149.1+3.988%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.069.3148.3+9.792%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
78-92
78
92
-14
74avg 64
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
63-61
63
61
+2
57avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 64
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 64
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 64
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 64
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 64
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 64
A29/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
7-24
27-22
29-19
9-16
19-16
16-15
19-14
16-19
18-25
14-23
27-9
23-19
21-18
5-16
21-24
12-17
14-14
18-21
24-27
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
152.9Avg total
70.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.381.2153.5-8.815%
Season at home (13)75.382.2157.5-6.815%
Season away (13)69.480.2149.5-10.815%
Last 10 (10)70.482.5152.9-12.120%
Last 5 (5)70.088.0158.0-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.683.2156.7-9.616%
vs Similar (10)76.776.5153.2+0.240%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
VascoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/01
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/02
NBB
79.4Avg total
39.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.075.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.538.274.7-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.037.876.8+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.242.276.4-8.011%-
vs Similar (8)38.837.676.4+1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.434.675.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
73.8Avg total
30.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.276.1-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.640.578.1-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)34.240.074.2-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)30.942.973.8-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)31.046.877.8-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.641.376.9-5.732%-
vs Similar (10)36.237.874.0-1.630%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.7
54.5%
51.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
72.6%14.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.611.5
65.3%
72.6%11.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWLWWWLLWW
Mogi
LLWLLLLLWL
#4
League position
#14
+1.9
Net rating
-18.4
107.5
Offensive rating
97.2
105.6
Defensive rating
115.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
46.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
33.0%
72.6%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 97.2Defence105.6 · 115.6Shooting51.8% · 46.8%3-point %32.5% · 33.0%Ball care17.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Vasco   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vasco wins
5
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Mogi v Vasco79-95
13/02/19Mogi v Vasco90-88
14/12/18Vasco v Mogi75-88
01/02/18Mogi v Vasco89-80
18/11/17Vasco v Mogi75-82
04/02/17Mogi v Vasco80-73
19/11/16Vasco v Mogi94-70
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ABauru81-76
09/02/24HBotafogo98-86
28/01/24HPaulistano62-76
22/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-77
20/01/24HCaxias do Sul78-73
15/01/24APato76-67
13/01/24AMinas61-81
08/01/24AFlamengo79-84
27/12/23ACorinthians Paulista80-78
23/12/23HCearense81-75
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93
22/01/24AUnifacisa68-79
18/01/24HCorinthians Paulista70-77
09/01/24HPinheiros75-76
29/12/23ASao Paulo63-61
27/12/23APaulistano78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game75.675.675.5
Allowed / game71.870.373.2
Point differential+3.8+5.2+2.4
Avg total147.4145.9148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLLWL15%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %15%15%15%
Points / game72.375.369.4
Allowed / game81.282.280.2
Point differential-8.8-6.8-10.8
Avg total153.5157.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2621581%87.373.5+13.8
4 Vasco2518772%75.671.8+3.8
5 Paulistano2617965%74.371.0+3.2
6 Bauru26161062%79.778.2+1.5
7 Unifacisa28171161%83.379.1+4.2
8 Sao Jose26151158%81.576.9+4.6
9 Cearense27151256%79.376.7+2.6
10 Corinthians Paulista26131350%79.378.2+1.1
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros26111542%75.678.4-2.8
13 Pato28111739%76.480.0-3.6
14 Uniao Corinthians27101737%74.882.6-7.8
15 Cerrado2681831%75.376.4-1.1
16 Caxias do Sul2781930%72.379.9-7.6
17 Botafogo2862221%77.386.7-9.4
18 Mogi2642215%72.381.2-8.8
19 Brasilia2642215%70.885.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2315231879
Mogi1718182073
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