PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vasco vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-70
15-12 17-15 21-21 20-22
Position#4
Record22-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.8
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record18-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game71.8
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Paulistano
01 Apr 2026
VASC69
PAUL96
01 Apr 2025
VASC78
PAUL66
28 Mar 2024
VASC73
PAUL70
28 Jan 2024
VASC62
PAUL76
02 Nov 2018
VASC60
PAUL76
23 Dec 2017
VASC71
PAUL77
24 Mar 2017
VASC67
PAUL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 74
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 74
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 74
H28/01
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 74
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 74
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
80avg 74
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
102avg 74
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-84
89
84
+5
94avg 74
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 74
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
54avg 74
A23/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
12-19
20-25
18-18
21-23
25-13
19-22
24-19
15-25
14-19
18-14
15-18
18-21
30-28
26-20
24-17
20-27
24-23
24-11
13-15
23-17
15-18
23-18
18-20
25-17
27-13
18-13
22-16
26-19
22-27
23-13
18-25
24-28
12-23
24-12
24-18
21-26
19-28
17-19
10-20
159.7Avg total
81.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.772.8149.5+3.873%
Season at home (14)77.069.7146.7+7.379%
Season away (16)76.475.6151.9+0.869%
Last 10 (10)81.977.8159.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)82.278.0160.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.280.6147.8-13.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.271.1149.3+7.189%
vs Weaker (15)80.071.3151.3+8.793%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 68
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
69avg 68
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 68
A08/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
64-51
64
51
+13
54avg 68
A10/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
80-51
80
51
+29
78avg 68
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
71-81
71
81
-10
69avg 68
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 68
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
57avg 68
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
106-72
106
72
+34
109avg 68
H20/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
61avg 68
A26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
19-14
14-18
18-15
20-22
10-18
19-16
33-27
25-23
16-14
11-20
23-12
24-11
14-17
8-13
18-10
26-17
19-13
19-12
16-9
17-19
19-30
18-12
17-20
17-17
20-28
14-25
22-13
18-23
14-23
18-9
20-17
23-23
32-10
26-15
25-24
18-18
18-22
14-23
18-18
147.0Avg total
76.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.971.8146.8+3.160%
Season at home (15)77.872.6150.4+5.260%
Season away (15)72.171.1143.1+1.060%
Last 10 (10)76.570.5147.0+6.050%
Last 5 (5)77.677.8155.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.482.8154.2-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.469.4140.9+2.056%
vs Weaker (15)80.669.0149.6+11.687%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
VascoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/01
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A23/03
NBB
84.6Avg total
42.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.776.2+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.136.174.2+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.839.177.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.584.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.441.673.0-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.236.877.0+3.467%-
vs Weaker (15)40.536.576.9+4.073%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A10/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H20/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A26/03
NBB
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.373.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.834.974.7+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.535.772.3+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.681.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.243.477.6-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.035.371.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker (15)40.433.073.4+7.480%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.3
57.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.6
76.2%
72.6%17.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.5
50.1%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
72.6%11.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWWWWWWLWW
Paulistano
LWLLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#7
+6.3
Net rating
+6.3
110.0
Offensive rating
104.9
103.6
Defensive rating
98.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
34.1%
74.5%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 104.9Defence103.6 · 98.6Shooting55.2% · 50.6%3-point %35.3% · 34.1%Ball care18.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Vasco   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vasco wins
6
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Vasco v Paulistano62-76
11/12/23Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/02/19Paulistano v Vasco109-65
03/11/18Vasco v Paulistano60-76
03/03/18Paulistano v Vasco102-59
23/12/17Vasco v Paulistano71-77
24/03/17Vasco v Paulistano67-82
03/01/17Paulistano v Vasco83-86
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AFranca67-93
10/03/24ACerrado84-81
08/03/24ABrasilia89-84
05/03/24HSao Jose92-59
02/03/24HMogi79-73
17/02/24ABauru81-76
09/02/24HBotafogo98-86
28/01/24HPaulistano62-76
22/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-77
20/01/24HCaxias do Sul78-73
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24AFlamengo68-81
20/03/24HUniao Corinthians106-72
11/03/24AMinas70-72
09/03/24APato73-83
02/03/24HCorinthians Paulista71-81
16/02/24HPinheiros80-51
10/02/24ACearense64-51
08/02/24AUnifacisa75-69
31/01/24AFlamengo82-83
28/01/24AVasco76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %73%79%69%
Points / game76.777.076.4
Allowed / game72.869.775.6
Point differential+3.8+7.3+0.8
Avg total149.5146.7151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL60%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game74.977.872.1
Allowed / game71.872.671.1
Point differential+3.1+5.2+1.0
Avg total146.8150.4143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3126584%87.675.8+11.8
2 Flamengo3126584%84.873.5+11.3
3 Minas3224875%85.873.4+12.3
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru34231168%81.778.8+2.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano30181260%74.971.8+3.1
8 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista31171455%80.979.0+2.0
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pato32141844%78.279.9-1.8
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians32102231%74.883.7-8.8
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3142713%72.988.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1517212073
Paulistano1215212270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.