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Pato vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 100-87
30-14 27-22 22-25 21-26
Position#12
Record13-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.7
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#9
Record17-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Corinthians Paulista
19 Nov 2026
PATO v CORI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
PATO79
CORI89
29 Dec 2024
PATO76
CORI85
28 Mar 2024
PATO100
CORI87
18 Nov 2022
PATO68
CORI96
28 Oct 2021
PATO73
CORI80
22 Apr 2021
PATO61
CORI90
04 Jan 2021
PATO75
CORI80
29 Nov 2019
PATO68
CORI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 69
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 69
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 69
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
57avg 69
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 69
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 69
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 69
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 69
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 69
H25/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-23
24-18
12-14
24-19
27-30
26-23
20-14
20-28
14-25
18-16
28-19
13-15
20-21
15-24
26-20
15-27
18-20
23-18
23-24
21-23
20-29
11-22
13-23
18-15
13-28
22-20
16-27
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
163.0Avg total
79.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.579.7157.2-2.242%
Season at home (15)81.076.4157.4+4.660%
Season away (16)74.282.8157.0-8.625%
Last 10 (10)79.383.7163.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)79.283.6162.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.780.7155.4-6.030%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.883.2158.9-7.425%
vs Weaker (8)84.472.8157.1+11.688%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
87-64
87
64
+23
82avg 75
H22/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 75
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-73
68
73
-5
56avg 75
H14/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 75
A17/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 75
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 75
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
83avg 75
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 75
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
88avg 75
A23/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
18-21
18-22
23-13
19-4
15-27
19-12
20-13
27-18
17-23
12-15
14-15
25-20
5-14
22-16
16-23
24-19
14-23
22-17
30-23
19-17
30-19
12-18
20-17
25-17
24-17
29-26
24-22
18-12
19-29
16-24
33-20
21-19
22-7
12-30
26-14
28-20
19-14
19-21
24-22
155.9Avg total
82.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.778.3159.0+2.557%
Season at home (17)81.779.9161.6+1.853%
Season away (13)79.576.1155.5+3.462%
Last 10 (10)82.873.1155.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.289.2172.5-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.978.8157.7+0.143%
vs Weaker (12)82.074.0156.0+8.083%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.8+4.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.8+4.8
PatoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
82.2Avg total
39.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.377.9-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.177.3+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.578.6-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.882.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.542.480.9-3.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.339.875.2-4.525%-
vs Weaker (8)43.834.678.4+9.188%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H22/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/03
NBB
76.5Avg total
41.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.278.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.178.2+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.338.478.7+1.946%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.876.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.034.279.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.538.778.2+0.843%-
vs Weaker (12)41.536.077.5+5.575%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.4
55.3%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.39.3
65.0%
72.6%9.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.8
53.0%
51.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.4
40.3%
33.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
72.6%12.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLLLLLLWL
Corinthians Paulista
WWWWWWLLWW
#12
League position
#9
-5.8
Net rating
+14.6
108.7
Offensive rating
112.2
114.5
Defensive rating
97.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
40.3%
55.0%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 112.2Defence114.5 · 97.6Shooting52.0% · 56.4%3-point %31.5% · 40.3%Ball care15.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 25.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Corinthians Paulista wins
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85
02/03/24ACearense69-90
17/02/24AFranca65-97
15/02/24ABauru79-89
07/02/24HSao Paulo74-80
05/02/24HSao Jose80-88
24/01/24HBotafogo97-86
15/01/24HVasco67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24APinheiros90-77
13/03/24HUniao Corinthians81-70
09/03/24HUnifacisa86-85
07/03/24HCearense102-82
02/03/24APaulistano81-71
17/02/24ASao Paulo90-82
14/02/24HFranca68-73
06/02/24HBauru70-71
24/01/24HCerrado73-56
22/01/24HBrasilia87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%60%25%
Points / game77.581.074.2
Allowed / game79.776.482.8
Point differential-2.2+4.6-8.6
Avg total157.2157.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLLWWW53%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %57%53%62%
Points / game80.781.779.5
Allowed / game78.379.976.1
Point differential+2.5+1.8+3.4
Avg total159.0161.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)44% (9)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3126584%87.675.8+11.8
2 Flamengo3126584%84.873.5+11.3
3 Minas3224875%85.873.4+12.3
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru33221167%81.178.7+2.4
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano30181260%74.971.8+3.1
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians32102231%74.883.7-8.8
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato30272221100
Corinthians Paulista1422252687
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