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Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:10
Final 91-73
24-13 15-20 30-20 22-20
Position#3
Record24-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game73.4
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Corinthians Paulista
Brazil
Position#9
Record17-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Corinthians Paulista
12 May 2026
MINA81
CORI92
04 May 2026
MINA90
CORI100
18 Oct 2025
MINA83
CORI81
13 Feb 2025
MINA63
CORI72
30 Mar 2024
MINA91
CORI73
28 Mar 2023
MINA88
CORI86
23 Jan 2023
MINA90
CORI105
12 Feb 2022
MINA91
CORI88
14 Dec 2020
MINA20
CORI0
21 Dec 2019
MINA83
CORI82
25 Nov 2018
MINA72
CORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 83
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 83
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 83
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
77avg 83
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
73avg 83
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 83
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 83
A22/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
71avg 83
H25/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
81-51
81
51
+30
84avg 83
H27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-21
24-26
22-25
35-10
30-19
22-18
15-18
28-17
11-27
23-22
24-28
25-31
23-22
22-21
24-21
24-22
19-26
16-14
15-12
23-18
23-14
9-18
17-20
21-24
12-20
17-16
19-19
22-31
26-24
11-28
37-15
17-12
20-14
15-21
21-9
14-22
23-9
21-7
23-13
162.8Avg total
84.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.873.4159.2+12.375%
Season at home (17)84.670.5155.1+14.282%
Season away (15)87.076.8163.8+10.267%
Last 10 (10)84.378.5162.8+5.840%
Last 5 (5)78.270.8149.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)84.286.2170.5-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.472.9159.4+13.576%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 75
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-73
68
73
-5
56avg 75
H14/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 75
A17/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 75
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 75
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
83avg 75
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 75
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
88avg 75
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 75
A28/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-4
15-27
19-12
20-13
27-18
17-23
12-15
14-15
25-20
5-14
22-16
16-23
24-19
14-23
22-17
30-23
19-17
30-19
12-18
20-17
25-17
24-17
29-26
24-22
18-12
19-29
16-24
33-20
21-19
22-7
12-30
26-14
28-20
19-14
19-21
24-22
14-30
22-27
25-22
26-21
159.5Avg total
82.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.979.0159.9+2.055%
Season at home (17)81.779.9161.6+1.853%
Season away (14)80.077.8157.8+2.257%
Last 10 (10)82.876.7159.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)89.282.8172.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.289.2172.5-6.025%
vs Similar (15)79.580.2159.7-0.740%
vs Weaker (11)81.874.2156.0+7.682%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.3+4.3
MinasCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
65-29
65
29
+36
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A22/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H25/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/03
NBB
83.8Avg total
43.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.181.6+9.473%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.633.277.8+11.479%-
Last 30 away (11)47.141.188.2+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.283.8+3.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.841.584.2+1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.035.381.2+10.780%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/03
NBB
78.3Avg total
40.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.878.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.178.2+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)39.639.779.3-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.678.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.480.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (15)39.339.979.2-0.740%-
vs Weaker (11)41.235.676.8+5.573%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.918.2
58.9%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
72.6%15.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.1
38.8%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
72.6%12.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLLWLLLWL
Corinthians Paulista
LWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#9
+10.5
Net rating
+9.2
117.4
Offensive rating
112.3
106.9
Defensive rating
103.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
38.8%
61.9%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 112.3Defence106.9 · 103.2Shooting55.9% · 55.7%3-point %35.1% · 38.8%Ball care14.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 23.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Corinthians Paulista wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23Corinthians Paulista v Minas105-96
28/03/23Minas v Corinthians Paulista88-86
23/01/23Minas v Corinthians Paulista90-105
19/12/22Corinthians Paulista v Minas65-94
12/02/22Minas v Corinthians Paulista91-88 OT
11/11/21Corinthians Paulista v Minas65-82
16/03/21Corinthians Paulista v Minas78-65
14/12/20Minas v Corinthians Paulista20-0
14/03/20Corinthians Paulista v Minas70-77
21/12/19Minas v Corinthians Paulista83-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HPinheiros81-51
25/03/24HSao Jose73-56
22/03/24AUnifacisa96-98
20/03/24ACearense69-79
11/03/24HPaulistano72-70
02/03/24ABauru84-86 OT
29/02/24AFranca94-95
15/02/24HSao Paulo86-94
08/02/24HMogi102-65
30/01/24HUnifacisa86-91
Corinthians Paulistalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24APato87-100
23/03/24APinheiros90-77
13/03/24HUniao Corinthians81-70
09/03/24HUnifacisa86-85
07/03/24HCearense102-82
02/03/24APaulistano81-71
17/02/24ASao Paulo90-82
14/02/24HFranca68-73
06/02/24HBauru70-71
24/01/24HCerrado73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWLLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %75%82%67%
Points / game85.884.687.0
Allowed / game73.470.576.8
Point differential+12.3+14.2+10.2
Avg total159.2155.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%53%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLLWWW53%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %55%53%57%
Points / game80.981.780.0
Allowed / game79.079.977.8
Point differential+2.0+1.8+2.2
Avg total159.9161.6157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%24%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)44% (9)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3227584%87.976.1+11.8
2 Flamengo3227584%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3224875%85.873.4+12.3
4 Vasco3123874%76.572.7+3.8
5 Bauru34231168%81.778.8+2.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano31181358%74.871.9+2.9
8 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista31171455%80.979.0+2.0
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo31151648%78.479.7-1.4
12 Pato32141844%78.279.9-1.8
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians33102330%75.184.0-8.9
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3142713%72.988.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2415302291
Corinthians Paulista1320202073
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