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Vasco vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-89
24-19 14-18 17-31 17-21
Position#20
Record5-30
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game80.7
Vasco
Brazil
vs
Cruzeiro 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record11-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game85.6
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Vasco
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.1
75.4▲ 3.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.0
88.6▲ 7.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
55%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.7
18.6▲ 0.9
🔥 Form · Cruzeiro
4.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.5
76.8▼ 2.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.6
84.6▼ 1.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
52%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
17.0▼ 1.3
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H01/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-109
88
109
-21
H04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-20
17-17
22-16
23-20
22-18
14-22
11-30
20-24
25-24
17-16
18-21
22-26
18-26
9-8
25-17
11-23
19-18
14-22
22-14
15-22
20-25
16-12
18-12
23-18
28-25
12-24
25-19
17-25
11-17
15-15
20-24
17-21
16-21
23-32
13-22
24-26
19-31
24-29
21-23
158.5Avg total
73.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)70.580.7151.2-10.214%
Season at home (17)74.084.5158.5-10.512%
Season away (18)67.277.2144.3-10.017%
Last 10 (10)73.984.6158.5-10.710%
Last 5 (5)75.488.6164.0-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.882.3151.0-13.59%
vs Similar (7)75.776.3152.0-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-20
22-24
16-25
18-24
22-21
30-17
25-17
17-17
23-17
24-26
28-24
27-26
23-14
23-19
16-29
15-20
27-19
23-31
14-31
19-19
20-14
21-18
16-34
13-19
25-14
20-18
8-16
21-22
12-31
27-25
28-23
15-25
15-22
26-13
14-20
15-34
23-29
25-8
21-19
169.4Avg total
82.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.585.6165.1-6.131%
Season at home (17)81.184.7165.8-3.635%
Season away (18)78.186.4164.5-8.428%
Last 10 (10)82.686.8169.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)76.884.6161.4-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)80.590.6171.1-10.118%
vs Similar (7)77.482.3159.7-4.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.776.3162.0+9.383%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
VascoCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H04/04
NBB
83.4Avg total
38.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.676.6-6.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.242.278.4-6.020%-
Last 30 away (15)33.841.174.9-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.183.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.284.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.342.376.6-8.013%-
vs Similar (7)37.339.476.7-2.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A08/04
NBB
83.0Avg total
39.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.982.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.242.884.1-1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)36.644.681.3-8.029%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.183.0-3.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.881.4-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.046.184.1-8.124%-
vs Similar (7)39.042.381.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.039.379.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.0
54.4%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.1
28.4%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
72.8%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.8
54.5%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.5
71.1%
72.8%15.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLWLLLLLL
Cruzeiro
LLLLLLWWWL
#20
League position
#14
-11.3
Net rating
-4.8
84.9
Offensive rating
94.1
96.2
Defensive rating
98.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.4%
3-point %
36.5%
71.6%
Assist %
62.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 94.1Defence96.2 · 98.9Shooting48.9% · 54.6%3-point %28.4% · 36.5%Ball care18.6% · 17.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Vasco   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vasco wins
1
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Cruzeiro v Vasco79-75
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HMinas88-109
01/04/26HPaulistano69-96
21/03/26HPinheiros63-81
14/03/26HOsasco88-86
11/03/26ACaxias do Sul69-71
09/03/26AUniao Corinthians66-77
06/03/26ARio Claro74-77
22/02/26HFranca80-85
16/02/26HBauru70-90
11/02/26HSao Jose72-74
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AFlamengo84-90
06/04/26ABotafogo70-80
01/04/26AMinas88-101
19/03/26HUniao Corinthians66-67
17/03/26HCaxias do Sul76-85
13/03/26APinheiros79-101
10/03/26APaulistano89-88
07/03/26AOsasco92-84
21/02/26HRio Claro95-79
19/02/26HBrasilia87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %14%12%17%
Points / game70.574.067.2
Allowed / game80.784.577.2
Point differential-10.2-10.5-10.0
Avg total151.2158.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)29% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL35%
AwayWLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %31%35%28%
Points / game79.581.178.1
Allowed / game85.684.786.4
Point differential-6.1-3.6-8.4
Avg total165.1165.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3630683%91.076.7+14.3
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3628878%88.381.9+6.4
4 Brasilia3627975%81.471.9+9.5
5 Flamengo36261072%86.978.8+8.0
6 Corinthians Paulista36251169%84.879.2+5.6
7 Paulistano36231364%83.478.2+5.2
8 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
9 Sao Jose36211558%82.380.5+1.8
10 Mogi36201656%76.471.2+5.2
11 Unifacisa36181850%81.180.2+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians36181850%79.581.4-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul36171947%74.176.6-2.5
14 Cruzeiro35112431%79.585.6-6.1
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo36102628%72.782.7-10.0
17 Pato3572820%72.580.4-7.9
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Vasco3553014%70.580.7-10.2
20 Osasco3653114%76.088.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2414171772
Cruzeiro1918312189
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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