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Vasco vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-109
24-26 19-31 24-29 21-23
Position#20
Record5-29
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.9
Vasco
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record25-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.0
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Minas
04 Apr 2026
VASC88
MINA109
09 May 2025
VASC86
MINA90
09 Dec 2024
VASC81
MINA64
23 Oct 2023
VASC60
MINA72
04 Feb 2019
VASC81
MINA92
23 Jan 2018
VASC70
MINA54
26 Jan 2017
VASC75
MINA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Vasco
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 71.7
71.0▼ 0.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.4
82.2▲ 1.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 51%
48%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.7
18.0▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Minas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.5
87.4▲ 2.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.9
80.4▲ 1.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
58%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
20.0▲ 1.6
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
20-16
16-20
13-23
18-21
15-20
17-17
22-16
23-20
22-18
14-22
11-30
20-24
25-24
17-16
18-21
22-26
18-26
9-8
25-17
11-23
19-18
14-22
22-14
15-22
20-25
16-12
18-12
23-18
28-25
12-24
25-19
17-25
11-17
15-15
20-24
17-21
16-21
23-32
13-22
153.3Avg total
71.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)70.079.9149.9-9.915%
Season at home (16)73.182.9156.1-9.812%
Season away (18)67.277.2144.3-10.017%
Last 10 (10)71.282.1153.3-10.910%
Last 5 (5)71.082.2153.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.781.0148.8-13.39%
vs Similar (7)75.776.3152.0-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
110-101
110
101
+9
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
17-18
15-25
27-20
17-29
24-30
19-31
23-14
13-23
26-30
21-17
30-28
23-23
22-26
33-22
32-30
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
181.2Avg total
90.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.082.0169.0+5.176%
Season at home (17)86.979.6166.5+7.388%
Season away (16)87.284.5171.7+2.762%
Last 10 (10)90.990.3181.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.390.3175.6-5.029%
vs Similar (6)85.589.5175.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.879.6168.4+9.294%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
VascoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/04
NBB
80.7Avg total
37.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.541.275.7-6.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.741.176.9-5.421%-
Last 30 away (16)33.441.274.7-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)37.243.580.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.078.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.741.775.4-8.113%-
vs Similar (7)37.339.476.7-2.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
91.1Avg total
44.6Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.788.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.941.086.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)43.345.889.1-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.591.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.489.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.746.686.3-6.90%-
vs Similar (6)45.850.796.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.940.186.0+5.871%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.6%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.0
28.1%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.211.6
67.4%
72.8%11.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.8
56.8%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.2
36.3%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.116.7
69.3%
72.8%16.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLWLLLLLLL
Minas
WLWWWLWLLW
#20
League position
#3
-11.7
Net rating
+1.5
82.5
Offensive rating
99.3
94.2
Defensive rating
97.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.1%
3-point %
36.3%
70.5%
Assist %
60.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 99.3Defence94.2 · 97.8Shooting47.3% · 55.8%3-point %28.1% · 36.3%Ball care18.0% · 14.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Vasco   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vasco wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Minas v Vasco71-59
14/05/25Minas v Vasco83-63
12/05/25Minas v Vasco86-76
09/05/25Vasco v Minas86-90
07/04/25Minas v Vasco76-69
09/12/24Vasco v Minas81-64
13/01/24Minas v Vasco81-61
23/10/23Vasco v Minas60-72
04/02/19Vasco v Minas81-92
31/10/18Minas v Vasco93-65
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HPaulistano69-96
21/03/26HPinheiros63-81
14/03/26HOsasco88-86
11/03/26ACaxias do Sul69-71
09/03/26AUniao Corinthians66-77
06/03/26ARio Claro74-77
22/02/26HFranca80-85
16/02/26HBauru70-90
11/02/26HSao Jose72-74
07/02/26ABrasilia61-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
11/03/26AFranca110-101
08/03/26HFranca90-98
22/02/26APaulistano83-104
19/02/26HRio Claro98-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %15%12%17%
Points / game70.073.167.2
Allowed / game79.982.977.2
Point differential-9.9-9.8-10.0
Avg total149.9156.1144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)29% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %76%88%62%
Points / game87.086.987.2
Allowed / game82.079.684.5
Point differential+5.1+7.3+2.7
Avg total169.0166.5171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3529683%85.974.6+11.4
2 Franca3428682%90.776.8+13.9
3 Minas3325876%87.082.0+5.1
4 Brasilia3526974%81.171.7+9.4
5 Flamengo3425974%86.878.3+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista33231070%84.578.8+5.6
7 Paulistano35221363%83.478.1+5.3
8 Bauru35211460%81.878.7+3.1
9 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
10 Uniao Corinthians33181555%79.481.0-1.6
11 Mogi35191654%76.170.9+5.2
12 Unifacisa34171750%81.580.6+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul34151944%72.976.6-3.6
14 Cruzeiro33112233%79.785.6-6.0
15 Rio Claro35102529%78.186.2-8.1
16 Botafogo3492526%72.682.4-9.8
17 Pato3372621%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3452915%70.079.9-9.9
20 Osasco3553014%75.588.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2419242188
Minas26312923109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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