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Ventspils vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-66
27-19 28-19 13-16 23-12
Position#23
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#38
Record2-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H05/10
LBL
BK Liepaja
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
A08/10
LBL
Valga
#9
W
96-65
96
65
+31
A11/10
LBL
Jurmala
#7
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H15/10
LBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H19/10
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A22/10
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H25/10
Champions League
Barons Kvartals
#5
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A29/10
LBL
Usak Sportif
#33
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A02/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
H05/11
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
16-12
16-21
37-19
21-18
26-21
19-14
29-19
23-25
24-13
25-19
24-8
23-12
18-24
29-23
24-14
9-11
19-20
24-20
24-26
26-19
29-13
25-28
14-19
15-20
20-6
17-15
22-12
20-16
14-21
12-16
16-13
23-19
21-29
17-9
8-17
30-21
35-21
26-23
25-21
159.0Avg total
87.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.068.0141.0+5.033%
Season at home (2)75.065.0140.0+10.050%
Season away (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)87.171.9159.0+15.270%
Last 5 (5)83.071.6154.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
vs Similar (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.074.2163.2+14.871%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
20-23
23-12
27-19
23-20
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
14-20
14-22
15-28
21-27
12-17
23-21
20-14
15-23
19-16
16-20
18-17
15-15
156.2Avg total
75.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.679.0150.6-7.440%
Season at home (3)74.376.3150.7-2.033%
Season away (2)67.583.0150.5-15.550%
Last 10 (10)75.181.1156.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)72.485.2157.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.777.3151.0-3.638%
vs Similar (17)82.480.3162.6+2.165%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
VentspilsVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/10
LBL
BK Liepaja
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/10
LBL
Valga
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/10
LBL
Jurmala
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/10
LBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/10
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A22/10
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H25/10
Champions League
Barons Kvartals
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
LBL
Usak Sportif
#33
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H05/11
LBL
80.1Avg total
43.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.880.1+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.134.977.0+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.838.983.7+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.380.1+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.637.083.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.031.059.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (1)44.048.092.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.936.680.5+7.375%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/11
Lega A
75.3Avg total
34.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.178.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.438.578.9+1.956%-
Last 30 away (12)35.342.477.8-7.18%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.975.3-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)32.441.874.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.541.577.9-5.023%-
vs Similar (17)39.939.078.9+0.947%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.5
46.2%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.9%
34.3%24.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.1%
73.8%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ventspils wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16HBK Ogre116-86
02/11/16AUsak Sportif69-74
29/10/16ABarons Kvartals62-66
25/10/16HHydroTruck Radom74-53
22/10/16AValmiera/ORDO94-79
19/10/16HOldenburg76-77
15/10/16HJurmala94-73
11/10/16AValga96-65
08/10/16ABK Liepaja95-72
05/10/16HBarons Kvartals95-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/16HAvellino77-79 OT
01/11/16HPAOK70-75
30/10/16APistoia64-97
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
09/10/16HCaserta93-74
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.075.069.0
Allowed / game68.065.074.0
Point differential+5.0+10.0-5.0
Avg total141.0140.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game71.674.367.5
Allowed / game79.076.383.0
Point differential-7.4-2.0-15.5
Avg total150.6150.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife330100%93.761.7+32.0
2 Monaco330100%72.753.0+19.7
3 Aris330100%76.357.7+18.7
4 Neptunas330100%80.764.0+16.7
5 Besiktas330100%85.771.7+14.0
6 Banvit330100%81.369.7+11.7
7 Juventus65183%78.375.5+2.8
8 AEK Athens43175%82.063.2+18.8
9 Le Mans43175%71.059.0+12.0
10 Avellino43175%78.074.8+3.2
11 Karsiyaka43175%72.570.0+2.5
12 Maccabi Rishon32167%72.068.0+4.0
13 Oldenburg32167%75.374.3+1.0
14 Partizan32167%61.765.7-4.0
15 Mornar Bar53260%74.078.2-4.2
16 Saratov42250%88.083.2+4.8
17 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
18 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
19 Nymburk42250%70.868.0+2.8
20 Usak Sportif63350%74.372.3+2.0
21 Sassari42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Kataja63350%78.277.8+0.3
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 CSM Oradea84450%69.469.9-0.5
25 PAOK42250%70.070.5-0.5
26 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%74.276.0-1.8
27 HydroTruck Radom42250%73.876.5-2.8
28 Frankfurt42250%63.067.0-4.0
29 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
30 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
31 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
32 Varese52340%71.679.0-7.4
33 Ironi Nahariya52340%66.075.8-9.8
34 Ludwigsburg31233%77.764.3+13.3
35 Ventspils31233%73.068.0+5.0
36 Strasbourg31233%75.775.7+0.0
37 Zielona Gora31233%66.067.3-1.3
38 Venezia31233%62.764.7-2.0
39 Bakken Bears62433%66.277.7-11.5
40 Szolnoki Olaj31233%59.387.7-28.3
41 Helios Domzale41325%60.860.2+0.5
42 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
43 Mega Bemax41325%78.282.2-4.0
44 Oostende41325%68.072.2-4.2
45 Khimik41325%68.275.0-6.8
46 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
47 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
48 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
49 Cibona3030%73.083.3-10.3
50 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
52 Spirou Charleroi3030%69.389.0-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2728132391
Varese1919161266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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