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Baskonia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-76
26-16 18-20 21-24 21-16
Position#20
Record0-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#19
Record1-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game88.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Baskonia v Olimpia Milano
02 Oct 2026
BAS86
MIL76
05 Dec 2025
BAS88
MIL78
29 Oct 2024
BAS88
MIL83
14 Mar 2024
BAS88
MIL73
01 Dec 2022
BAS78
MIL62
08 Oct 2021
BAS64
MIL78
26 Mar 2021
BAS86
MIL69
18 Jan 2019
BAS80
MIL75
19 Jan 2018
BAS82
MIL83
02 Mar 2017
BAS87
MIL74
19 Nov 2015
BAS94
MIL82
29 Jan 2015
BAS102
MIL83
13 Mar 2014
BAS65
MIL83
29 Nov 2012
BAS64
MIL62
11 Feb 2009
BAS108
MIL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 83
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
121-85
121
85
+36
117avg 83
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 83
A27/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
87avg 83
H29/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
78avg 83
H03/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
49avg 83
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
84avg 83
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
70avg 83
H24/09
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 83
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
88-111
88
111
-23
82avg 83
A29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-15
24-20
20-27
24-14
29-20
32-22
36-29
26-29
16-17
22-20
24-17
21-16
25-23
25-30
21-20
18-18
20-19
21-23
26-11
14-25
17-19
12-18
20-20
24-23
14-18
25-30
25-25
29-36
17-20
14-25
29-25
30-24
19-21
16-30
33-22
10-26
23-26
27-31
28-28
179.9Avg total
89.9Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.5108.5197.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)89.0106.0195.0-17.00%
Season away (1)88.0111.0199.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)89.990.0179.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)85.298.4183.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)94.4100.8195.1-6.438%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.286.0169.2-2.845%
vs Weaker (11)98.688.1186.7+10.591%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
65avg 82
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 82
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 82
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 82
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
95avg 82
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 82
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 82
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 82
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 82
H29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-19
24-18
19-25
19-18
25-25
23-10
26-15
23-15
23-23
22-19
23-29
24-15
30-22
25-25
21-18
31-22
31-17
18-25
12-15
26-25
24-25
19-36
28-23
19-20
26-20
23-16
18-16
16-20
20-22
22-21
18-29
17-19
21-22
19-23
26-15
30-20
17-21
19-26
21-18
171.9Avg total
88.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.588.5170.0-7.050%
Season at home (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)76.092.0168.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)88.483.5171.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)85.887.4173.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.891.0174.8-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.190.4179.5-1.238%
vs Weaker (18)90.081.4171.4+8.678%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
BaskoniaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A27/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H24/09
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
84.6Avg total
41.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.188.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.945.191.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)40.545.285.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.784.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.687.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.551.097.5-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.143.682.7-4.527%-
vs Weaker (11)45.942.488.3+3.564%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/09
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
45.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.388.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.340.689.9+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.987.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.841.387.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.545.290.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.147.091.1-2.950%-
vs Weaker (18)47.339.586.8+7.878%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.5
57.2%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.0
31.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
77.1%17.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.7
54.7%
55.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.9
39.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.3
71.5%
77.1%13.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWLLLWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWWWWL
#20
League position
#19
-0.9
Net rating
+6.7
96.9
Offensive rating
104.0
97.8
Defensive rating
97.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.7%
3-point %
39.0%
56.7%
Assist %
54.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 104.0Defence97.8 · 97.2Shooting53.0% · 56.1%3-point %31.7% · 39.0%Ball care14.3% · 12.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26AValencia88-111
27/09/26ASan Pablo Burgos98-97
24/09/26HOlympiacos89-106
07/06/26HJoventut Badalona88-96
05/06/26AJoventut Badalona63-82
03/06/26HJoventut Badalona85-71
29/05/26HUnicaja92-89
27/05/26AReal Madrid88-83
17/05/26HGranada121-85
14/05/26HMurcia87-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HVirtus Bologna87-85
27/09/26HTrieste83-79
25/09/26APartizan76-92
18/06/26AVenezia86-72
16/06/26AVenezia97-109
13/06/26HVenezia92-79
11/06/26HVenezia100-80
05/06/26HBrescia91-86
03/06/26HBrescia93-68
31/05/26ABrescia79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.589.088.0
Allowed / game108.5106.0111.0
Point differential-20.0-17.0-23.0
Avg total197.0195.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.587.076.0
Allowed / game88.585.092.0
Point differential-7.0+2.0-16.0
Avg total170.0172.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos330100%94.372.7+21.7
2 Fenerbahce330100%84.770.0+14.7
3 Valencia330100%104.091.3+12.7
4 Partizan330100%90.079.7+10.3
5 Olympiacos32167%97.792.0+5.7
6 Barcelona32167%90.386.0+4.3
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%89.088.0+1.0
8 Dubai32167%79.380.0-0.7
9 Olimpia Milano21150%81.588.5-7.0
10 Besiktas31233%95.094.7+0.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%84.084.0+0.0
12 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
13 Crvena zvezda31233%78.078.7-0.7
14 Virtus Bologna31233%83.086.3-3.3
15 Bayern31233%82.090.0-8.0
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%85.093.7-8.7
17 Paris31233%77.787.0-9.3
18 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv3030%78.094.3-16.3
20 Baskonia2020%88.5108.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2618212186
Olimpia Milano1620241676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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