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Verona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 61-83
8-24 16-15 20-21 17-23
Position#16
Record8-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#1
Record18-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.4
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Verona v Olimpia Milano
05 Oct 2026
VER75
MIL72
16 Apr 2023
VER61
MIL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
67avg 69
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
81avg 69
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 69
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-102
68
102
-34
50avg 69
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 69
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
60avg 69
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
87avg 69
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 69
H02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 69
A08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-23
20-10
14-25
17-24
25-25
20-19
20-19
18-20
16-21
25-24
22-32
19-25
21-23
19-22
9-32
19-20
19-18
19-13
21-25
17-24
18-21
13-18
21-10
16-16
22-26
21-17
19-19
27-15
22-28
27-30
18-25
14-25
26-19
20-19
27-11
23-26
22-24
17-24
17-14
166.9Avg total
80.3Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.486.4165.8-7.032%
Season at home (12)84.589.0173.5-4.542%
Season away (13)74.783.9158.6-9.223%
Last 10 (10)80.386.6166.9-6.320%
Last 5 (5)84.285.6169.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.687.4166.0-8.726%
vs Similar (11)79.275.0154.2+4.264%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 74
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 74
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 74
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
69avg 74
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 74
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 74
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 74
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
102-70
102
70
+32
100avg 74
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 74
A13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
23-18
14-17
24-17
21-23
25-8
24-28
23-18
27-20
21-11
14-26
15-23
24-23
16-22
16-25
16-21
21-21
21-29
15-24
20-13
10-19
22-15
18-16
12-27
21-18
18-21
21-15
19-12
26-28
19-22
31-9
30-27
22-12
26-22
21-17
21-26
16-24
159.4Avg total
80.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.573.4155.8+9.172%
Season at home (12)83.772.5156.2+11.283%
Season away (13)81.474.2155.5+7.262%
Last 10 (10)80.279.2159.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)81.879.2161.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.577.9157.4+1.662%
vs Similar (9)78.279.6157.8-1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.674.1154.7+6.558%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
VeronaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A08/04
Lega A
84.1Avg total
40.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.381.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.983.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.780.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.184.1-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.886.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.543.083.5-2.526%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.478.9+2.273%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/04
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
40.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.278.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.175.6+3.375%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.782.3-3.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.479.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.080.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.138.574.6-2.462%-
vs Similar (9)40.741.882.4-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.837.279.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
51.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
36.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.514.1
68.8%
76.1%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.9
54.3%
51.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.7
41.8%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
76.1%15.3
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWLLLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LWWLLLLWWL
#16
League position
#1
-7.2
Net rating
+1.4
105.9
Offensive rating
114.2
113.1
Defensive rating
112.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
58.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.8%
3-point %
41.8%
54.5%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 114.2Defence113.1 · 112.7Shooting51.2% · 58.2%3-point %31.8% · 41.8%Ball care16.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 20.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Verona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Olimpia Milano v Verona78-54
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ABrescia79-88
02/04/23HSassari87-74
26/03/23AVarese94-98
19/03/23HVenezia92-95 OT
12/03/23ATortona69-73
05/03/23HReggiana78-76
12/02/23ABrindisi68-102
04/02/23HTreviso81-97
29/01/23AVirtus Bologna82-87
21/01/23APesaro73-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23AVirtus Bologna84-89
09/04/23HPesaro102-70
07/04/23HBarcelona84-76
02/04/23HVenezia73-76
30/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv66-85
28/03/23AAnadolu Efes69-89
26/03/23ABrescia74-83
24/03/23HBayern99-74
21/03/23AFenerbahce82-75
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeWLWLW42%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%42%23%
Points / game79.484.574.7
Allowed / game86.489.083.9
Point differential-7.0-4.5-9.2
Avg total165.8173.5158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW72%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%83%62%
Points / game82.583.781.4
Allowed / game73.472.574.2
Point differential+9.1+11.2+7.2
Avg total155.8156.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2518772%82.573.4+9.1
3 Tortona2517868%81.477.5+3.8
4 Sassari25151060%85.880.0+5.8
5 Varese25141156%91.791.4+0.3
6 Venezia26141254%82.680.3+2.3
7 Brindisi25131252%83.382.6+0.7
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro25121348%84.386.9-2.6
10 Brescia25111444%82.981.6+1.3
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Reggiana26101638%76.177.1-1.0
13 Treviso26101638%80.786.2-5.5
14 Scafati2591636%78.179.6-1.6
15 Basket Napoli2691735%78.384.2-5.9
16 Verona2581732%79.486.4-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona816201761
Olimpia Milano2415212383
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