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Verona vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game87.6
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaOlimpia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Verona v Venezia
27 Dec 2026
VER v VEN
upcoming
19 Mar 2023
VER92
VEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 75
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 75
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 75
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 75
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 75
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 75
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
174.4Avg total
86.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.590.8179.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)85.784.0169.7+1.767%
Season away (5)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)86.188.3174.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.893.5179.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.175.9157.0+5.278%
vs Weaker (8)85.273.5158.8+11.888%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 79
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 79
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
26-26
36-20
6-16
20-19
170.0Avg total
85.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.987.6175.5+0.262%
Season at home (4)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.384.7170.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.283.0168.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)85.290.0175.2-4.842%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.484.4167.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)94.278.8173.0+15.383%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
VeronaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
47.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.582.6+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.883.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.193.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.839.581.3+2.361%-
vs Weaker (8)47.137.684.8+9.588%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H15/11
Lega A
87.4Avg total
44.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.387.5-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.986.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.487.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.648.890.3-7.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.443.285.6-0.825%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.785.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLLLWWWLWL
Venezia
WLWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#7
+2.5
Net rating
+0.1
101.0
Offensive rating
100.0
98.6
Defensive rating
99.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
35.4%
57.4%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 100.0Defence98.6 · 99.9Shooting53.0% · 53.6%3-point %32.1% · 35.4%Ball care12.8% · 14.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Verona   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
2
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Verona v Venezia92-95 OT
08/01/23Venezia v Verona80-57
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Roma89-88
09/11/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
31/10/26HVarese88-99
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMaxima Roma88-81
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.585.790.2
Allowed / game90.884.094.8
Point differential-2.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total179.2169.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.987.088.8
Allowed / game87.686.089.2
Point differential+0.2+1.0-0.5
Avg total175.5173.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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