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Vilkaviskis vs Jurbarkas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 80-85
Projected total 165.2
Scheduled
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.1
Vs
33%
67%
■ VILK 33%■ JURB 67%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 16· Vilkavi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas
21 Nov 2026
VILK v JURB
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
VILK78
JURB87
21 Mar 2025
VILK92
JURB62
16 Mar 2025
VILK77
JURB75
12 Dec 2024
VILK96
JURB70
24 Feb 2024
VILK79
JURB80
04 Nov 2023
VILK89
JURB86
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Vilkaviskis host Jurbarkas in the NKL. Pythia makes Jurbarkas the favourite at 67% and projects 80-85, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Vilkaviskis are 6-8 this season (83.1 scored, 86.1 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Jurbarkas are 11-2 this season (88.6 scored, 78.3 allowed a game), form WWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis win
32.5%fair 3.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas win
67.5%fair 1.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
58avg 73
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 73
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 73
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
60avg 73
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
73-91
73
91
-18
54avg 73
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
no box
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-15
12-35
16-23
20-24
24-18
20-16
18-15
17-14
23-29
18-17
23-27
17-19
16-21
23-13
18-19
20-21
23-22
15-21
15-27
23-21
21-24
19-35
18-27
24-12
29-15
22-22
22-25
17-19
20-18
9-21
14-22
20-9
22-24
23-29
20-23
26-23
18-16
29-21
24-20
167.2Avg total
81.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.186.1169.3-3.043%
Season at home (7)85.181.1166.3+4.071%
Season away (7)81.191.1172.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)81.186.1167.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.587.5162.0-12.918%
vs Similar (9)84.087.2171.2-3.222%
vs Weaker (10)89.680.5170.1+9.190%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 80
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 80
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 80
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
21-16
23-11
22-29
27-26
20-17
12-20
12-17
23-28
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.3166.9+10.385%
Season at home (6)88.780.0168.7+8.783%
Season away (7)88.676.9165.4+11.786%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.085.6175.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar (6)85.575.7161.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.579.9170.5+10.688%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
53.3%
Under 163.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
41.3%
Under 168.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
30.2%
Under 173.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Vilkaviskis total 81.5
Over 81.5
43.8%
Under 81.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilkaviskis total 85.5
Over 85.5
29.5%
Under 85.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilkaviskis total 89.5
Over 89.5
18.1%
Under 89.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 79
Over 79
73.4%
Under 79
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 83
Over 83
58.6%
Under 83
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 87
Over 87
42.4%
Under 87
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Vilkaviskis -3
VILK -3
24.5%
JURB +3
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
VILK
No market prices yet.
JURB
No market prices yet.
Spread Vilkaviskis 0
VILK 0
32.5%
JURB 0
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
VILK
No market prices yet.
JURB
No market prices yet.
Spread Vilkaviskis +3
VILK +3
40.7%
JURB -3
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
VILK
No market prices yet.
JURB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
VilkaviskisJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/11
NKL
80.7Avg total
42.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.7-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.580.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.541.882.4-1.327%-
vs Similar (9)45.144.789.8+0.456%-
vs Weaker (10)44.838.783.5+6.190%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.084.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.036.280.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.335.880.1+8.571%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.8
56.3%
54.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.8
26.9%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
67.1%11.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WLLWLLWLWL
Jurbarkas
LWWWWLWWLW
#11
League position
#2
-5.7
Net rating
+8.7
90.8
Offensive rating
90.6
96.5
Defensive rating
81.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.9%
3-point %
30.0%
48.4%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 90.6Defence96.5 · 81.9Shooting51.2% · 48.5%3-point %26.9% · 30.0%Ball care15.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vilkaviskis wins
5
Jurbarkas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKedainiai BC97-80
12/11/26AMazeikiai96-103 OT
07/11/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-80
05/11/26HUkmerges Stekas97-74
03/11/26HVytis VDU81-107
31/10/26APlunges Olimpas73-91
29/10/26HRytas 274-72
24/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-87
22/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-73
17/10/26ATelsiai70-94
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANeptunas 267-82
12/11/26HPlunges Olimpas93-82
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game86.181.191.1
Point differential-3.0+4.0-10.0
Avg total169.3166.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game88.688.788.6
Allowed / game78.380.076.9
Point differential+10.3+8.7+11.7
Avg total166.9168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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