PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 84-65
22-27 21-13 17-12 24-13
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game107.0
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga
Lithuania
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game91.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 2· Vilkavi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Kretinga
03 Oct 2026
VILK84
KRET65
08 Nov 2025
VILK83
KRET94
25 Jan 2025
VILK89
KRET87
19 Oct 2023
VILK79
KRET74
16 Feb 2023
VILK93
KRET61
08 Dec 2022
VILK56
KRET86
18 Nov 2021
VILK86
KRET73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 74
H27/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
100-95
100
95
+5
89avg 74
A31/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 74
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
77-104
77
104
-27
69avg 74
A11/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 74
H14/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 74
A17/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
82avg 74
A23/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 74
H25/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 74
A28/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
95avg 74
A01/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-21
26-25
18-14
29-21
22-26
20-23
29-25
23-21
29-21
18-23
29-21
31-27
13-33
16-24
17-20
20-14
16-28
26-16
10-18
11-20
16-14
26-19
12-24
24-24
31-24
22-27
14-26
25-17
16-31
23-20
14-19
26-19
17-21
22-25
10-21
23-29
33-28
21-28
27-22
175.0Avg total
84.9Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.0107.0211.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.0107.0211.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)84.990.1175.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)82.691.6174.2-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.485.4161.8-9.020%
vs Similar (15)78.581.7160.3-3.227%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.977.3165.2+10.690%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 77
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 77
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 77
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 77
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 77
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
64avg 77
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
96avg 77
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 77
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 77
H01/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
18-22
25-19
19-22
17-19
28-21
21-21
24-29
27-25
13-27
22-16
31-19
21-11
26-20
27-27
20-22
22-25
25-25
23-22
25-19
17-19
22-20
15-23
24-34
19-28
17-19
25-18
30-26
16-21
20-12
20-21
13-21
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
178.5Avg total
88.1Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.190.4178.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)83.091.0174.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.492.3171.6-12.918%
vs Similar (16)83.482.8166.1+0.662%
vs Weaker (3)107.093.0200.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
VilkaviskisKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H27/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A31/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A11/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A23/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H25/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A01/10
NKL
91.0Avg total
44.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.082.9+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.638.681.2+4.069%-
Last 30 away (17)41.442.884.2-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.191.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.489.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
vs Similar (15)40.942.483.3-1.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.138.783.8+6.490%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
83.9Avg total
40.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.682.8-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.583.7+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.243.781.9-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.283.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.645.081.6-8.418%-
vs Similar (16)40.241.281.4-0.944%-
vs Weaker (3)53.341.394.7+12.0100%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.5
56.3%
54.5%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.3
32.0%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
67.1%14.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.4
53.9%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.817.3
64.6%
67.1%17.3
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LLLLLLLWWW
Kretinga
LLLWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#15
-6.0
Net rating
-2.5
94.6
Offensive rating
95.0
100.6
Defensive rating
97.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.0%
3-point %
32.1%
51.3%
Assist %
55.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 95.0Defence100.6 · 97.5Shooting53.5% · 51.8%3-point %32.0% · 32.1%Ball care16.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vilkaviskis wins
5
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Kretinga v Vilkaviskis83-77
08/11/25Vilkaviskis v Kretinga83-94
25/01/25Vilkaviskis v Kretinga89-87
03/10/24Kretinga v Vilkaviskis93-85
09/12/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis75-83
19/10/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga79-74
18/02/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis91-73
16/02/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga93-61
08/12/22Vilkaviskis v Kretinga56-86
27/10/22Kretinga v Vilkaviskis78-90
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2104-107
28/04/26AVytis VDU75-86
25/04/26HVytis VDU78-87
23/04/26AVytis VDU91-101
17/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga65-77
14/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga72-76
11/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga77-104
04/04/26HSilute99-86
31/03/26ASilute100-95
27/03/26HSilute88-82
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
08/04/26HVytis VDU69-75
04/04/26AVytis VDU107-103 OT
31/03/26HVytis VDU78-96
27/03/26AVytis VDU95-91
22/03/26HRytas 294-80
19/03/26ARytas 293-87
14/03/26AUkmerges Stekas107-103 OT
12/03/26HJurbarkas77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game107.0-107.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total211.0-211.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-15.0-15.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas110100%96.068.0+28.0
2 Omega-Tauras220100%101.580.5+21.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga110100%86.070.0+16.0
4 Telsiai110100%91.077.0+14.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
6 Silute110100%92.085.0+7.0
7 Vytis VDU110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Neptunas 221150%81.576.0+5.5
9 Ukmerges Stekas1010%89.090.0-1.0
10 Vilkaviskis1010%104.0107.0-3.0
11 Plunges Olimpas1010%85.092.0-7.0
12 Rytas 21010%77.091.0-14.0
13 Kretinga1010%76.091.0-15.0
14 Mazeikiai1010%70.086.0-16.0
15 Alytaus Patriotai2020%75.5102.0-26.5
16 Kedainiai BC1010%89.0127.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2221172484
Kretinga2713121365
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.