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Virginia Tech vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-92
42-39 27-53
Position#122
Record17-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#167
Record11-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia Tech v Florida State
14 Feb 2026
VIRG69
FLOR92
13 Mar 2024
VIRG76
FLOR86
13 Feb 2024
VIRG83
FLOR75
04 Mar 2023
VIRG82
FLOR60
09 Feb 2021
VIRG v FLOR
upcoming
01 Feb 2020
VIRG63
FLOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
37-45
37-37
41-38
38-39
38-38
45-34
44-42
30-37
46-37
22-37
49-48
36-30
35-35
31-40
27-32
24-36
49-46
40-33
36-33
147.7Avg total
73.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.674.0153.6+5.568%
Season at home (15)83.571.7155.3+11.887%
Season away (10)73.677.5151.1-3.940%
Last 10 (10)73.674.1147.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)69.874.0143.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.279.0145.2-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.275.6157.8+6.669%
vs Weaker (6)81.769.0150.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
69-113
69
113
-44
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A24/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-42
45-49
31-56
38-57
40-43
46-51
34-31
34-38
38-37
27-26
34-46
46-37
36-23
27-38
41-33
47-47
41-32
41-47
32-32
26-29
154.0Avg total
74.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.978.8158.7+1.146%
Season at home (16)82.977.2160.1+5.656%
Season away (8)73.981.9155.8-8.025%
Last 10 (10)74.679.4154.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)74.272.8147.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.485.4157.9-13.021%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.478.3157.6+1.145%
vs Weaker (5)91.262.8154.0+28.480%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
Virginia TechFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A12/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.669.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.134.271.3+2.858%-
Last 30 away (11)30.135.465.5-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.768.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.265.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)25.836.562.2-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.335.272.6+2.150%-
vs Weaker (6)38.730.569.2+8.2100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H11/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
36.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.174.4+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.835.674.5+3.263%-
Last 30 away (11)34.539.774.3-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.574.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.270.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.642.877.4-8.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.733.671.4+4.173%-
vs Weaker (5)43.829.072.8+14.880%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia Tech wins
3
Florida State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AClemson76-66
07/02/26ANC State73-82
31/01/26HDuke58-72
28/01/26HGeorgia Tech71-65
24/01/26ALouisville71-85
22/01/26ASyracuse76-74
17/01/26HNotre Dame89-76
15/01/26ASMU Mustangs76-77
10/01/26HCalifornia78-75
08/01/26HStanford68-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HVirginia58-61
07/02/26ANotre Dame82-79
31/01/26HStanford88-80
29/01/26HCalifornia63-61
24/01/26ASMU Mustangs80-83
21/01/26AMiami (FL)65-63
17/01/26HWake Forest68-69
14/01/26ASyracuse86-94
10/01/26HNC State69-113
03/01/26HDuke87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW68%
HomeLWWWL87%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%87%40%
Points / game79.683.573.6
Allowed / game74.071.777.5
Point differential+5.5+11.8-3.9
Avg total153.6155.3151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %16%20%10%
Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %46%56%25%
Points / game79.982.973.9
Allowed / game78.877.281.9
Point differential+1.1+5.6-8.0
Avg total158.7160.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 Miami (FL)2419579%83.869.8+14.0
4 North Carolina2419579%81.970.7+11.2
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2418675%87.170.9+16.2
7 NC State2518772%85.374.3+11.0
8 SMU Mustangs2417771%86.577.5+9.0
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech2517868%79.674.0+5.5
11 Stanford2516964%75.972.7+3.2
12 Syracuse25141156%76.471.9+4.5
13 Wake Forest24121250%80.277.6+2.6
14 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
15 Florida State24111346%79.978.8+1.1
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Pittsburgh2591636%70.171.5-1.4
18 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech422769
Florida State395392
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