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Virginia vs Clemson Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 76-56
37-25 39-31
Position#36
Record24-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game60.4
vs
Position#60
Record23-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Virginia v Clemson
01 Mar 2025
VIRG58
CLEM71
10 Mar 2023
VIRG76
CLEM56
28 Feb 2023
VIRG64
CLEM57
22 Dec 2021
VIRG50
CLEM67
05 Feb 2020
VIRG51
CLEM44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Clemson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A23/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
38-42
34-20
29-30
25-27
33-31
29-26
32-32
29-25
28-30
21-28
27-35
26-42
37-29
28-23
36-34
36-20
39-40
25-24
43-35
124.5Avg total
63.6Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.260.4128.6+7.780%
Season at home (18)68.756.8125.5+11.894%
Season away (12)67.465.8133.2+1.658%
Last 10 (10)63.660.9124.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)63.662.0125.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.059.5117.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.263.1132.3+6.173%
vs Weaker (13)68.557.5126.0+11.192%
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ClemsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H16/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A19/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H23/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H05/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-30
31-32
35-35
39-43
33-42
38-49
47-26
47-28
36-39
37-44
45-32
46-41
54-29
42-42
23-28
34-36
48-29
39-35
39-36
41-18
147.1Avg total
77.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.667.6143.2+8.072%
Season at home (20)78.265.0143.2+13.185%
Season away (12)71.471.9143.3-0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.769.4147.1+8.350%
Last 5 (5)82.265.2147.4+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.970.6145.5+4.369%
vs Weaker (17)76.965.7142.6+11.276%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
VirginiaClemson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A23/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H10/03
NCAA
55.0Avg total
28.3Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.527.859.3+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.725.156.8+6.672%-
Last 30 away (12)31.331.863.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)28.326.755.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)27.227.454.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.029.960.9+1.147%-
vs Weaker (13)32.925.858.8+7.185%-
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ClemsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H23/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.466.7+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.829.865.6+5.963%-
Last 30 away (11)34.434.268.5+0.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.670.9+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.872.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.933.266.2-0.331%-
vs Weaker (17)37.130.167.1+7.065%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia wins
1
Clemson wins
DateGameScore
01/03/23Virginia v Clemson64-57
05/01/22Clemson v Virginia65-75
23/12/21Virginia v Clemson50-67
16/01/21Clemson v Virginia50-85
06/02/20Virginia v Clemson51-44
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HNorth Carolina68-59
04/03/23HLouisville75-60
01/03/23HClemson64-57
25/02/23ANorth Carolina63-71
23/02/23ABoston College48-63
18/02/23HNotre Dame57-55
16/02/23ALouisville61-58
11/02/23HDuke69-62 OT
08/02/23HNC State63-50
04/02/23AVirginia Tech68-74
Clemsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HNC State80-54
05/03/23HNotre Dame87-64
01/03/23AVirginia57-64
25/02/23ANC State96-71
23/02/23HSyracuse91-73
19/02/23ALouisville73-83
16/02/23HFlorida State94-54
11/02/23ANorth Carolina71-91
04/02/23HMiami (FL)74-78
01/02/23ABoston College54-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %80%94%58%
Points / game68.268.767.4
Allowed / game60.456.865.8
Point differential+7.7+11.8+1.6
Avg total128.6125.5133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Clemson
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %72%85%50%
Points / game75.678.271.4
Allowed / game67.665.071.9
Point differential+8.0+13.1-0.5
Avg total143.2143.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%65%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia3024680%68.260.4+7.7
2 Duke3325876%72.964.4+8.5
3 Clemson3223972%75.667.6+8.0
4 NC State33231070%78.270.8+7.4
5 Pittsburgh33221167%76.170.5+5.6
6 North Carolina33201361%76.270.9+5.3
7 Miami (FL)64372758%76.573.3+3.2
8 Virginia Tech33191458%74.269.8+4.5
9 Wake Forest33191458%76.673.8+2.8
10 Syracuse32171553%74.172.9+1.2
11 Boston College33161748%66.670.2-3.6
12 Georgia Tech33151845%69.770.8-1.0
13 Stanford33141942%70.368.4+2.0
14 Notre Dame32112134%69.672.1-2.5
15 SMU Mustangs32102231%70.275.6-5.3
16 Florida State3292328%69.376.2-6.9
17 Louisville3242812%63.975.8-11.8
18 California323299%58.370.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia373976
Clemson253156
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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