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Virginia vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 69-62 (OT)
25-27 33-31 11-4
Position#36
Record18-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game60.4
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Duke
USA
Position#39
Record17-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Virginia v Duke
17 Feb 2025
VIRG62
DUKE80
11 Mar 2023
VIRG49
DUKE59
11 Feb 2023
VIRG69
DUKE62
23 Feb 2022
VIRG61
DUKE65
29 Feb 2020
VIRG52
DUKE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-23
32-45
35-26
38-40
27-29
38-29
33-25
34-33
40-31
38-37
42-32
34-35
35-27
41-30
36-35
31-27
30-32
38-42
34-20
29-30
132.6Avg total
69.8Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.060.4130.4+9.682%
Season at home (13)69.556.2125.6+13.392%
Season away (9)70.866.4137.2+4.367%
Last 10 (10)69.862.8132.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)70.062.0132.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.061.8116.8-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.563.1131.6+5.464%
vs Weaker (11)70.256.5126.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-44
38-40
37-33
28-31
32-43
45-26
34-30
30-42
38-38
30-28
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
137.9Avg total
69.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.964.1136.0+7.871%
Season at home (13)77.159.8136.8+17.3100%
Season away (11)65.869.3135.1-3.536%
Last 10 (10)69.268.7137.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)71.666.4138.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.270.3138.5-2.150%
vs Weaker (20)75.363.9139.2+11.480%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
VirginiaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
34.5Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.827.258.0+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.625.355.9+5.261%-
Last 30 away (12)31.230.061.2+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)34.528.062.5+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.429.264.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)22.828.251.0-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.329.060.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (11)33.525.358.8+8.382%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.069.4+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.431.269.6+7.279%-
Last 30 away (11)33.036.069.0-3.045%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.470.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.937.170.0-4.240%-
vs Weaker (20)38.230.969.1+7.380%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
2
Duke wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Virginia v Duke61-65
08/02/22Duke v Virginia68-69
21/02/21Duke v Virginia66-65
29/02/20Virginia v Duke52-50
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HNC State63-50
04/02/23AVirginia Tech68-74
31/01/23ASyracuse67-62
28/01/23HBoston College76-57
21/01/23AWake Forest76-67
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68
14/01/23AFlorida State67-58
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
07/01/23HSyracuse73-66
04/01/23APittsburgh65-68
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
21/01/23HMiami (FL)68-66
14/01/23AClemson64-72
12/01/23HPittsburgh77-69
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
05/01/23ANC State60-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %82%92%67%
Points / game70.069.570.8
Allowed / game60.456.266.4
Point differential+9.6+13.3+4.3
Avg total130.4125.6137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %71%100%36%
Points / game71.977.165.8
Allowed / game64.159.869.3
Point differential+7.8+17.3-3.5
Avg total136.0136.8135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2218482%70.060.4+9.6
2 NC State2620677%78.969.0+9.9
3 Pittsburgh2518772%74.967.8+7.1
4 Clemson2518772%73.768.0+5.6
5 Duke2417771%71.964.1+7.8
6 North Carolina2516964%78.472.2+6.3
7 Wake Forest2516964%78.073.2+4.8
8 Virginia Tech25151060%74.768.8+5.9
9 Syracuse25151060%74.670.3+4.3
10 Miami (FL)49272255%76.172.5+3.6
11 Boston College26121446%66.370.5-4.2
12 Stanford24101442%68.466.4+2.0
13 Notre Dame25101540%71.072.7-1.7
14 Georgia Tech2491538%67.271.0-3.8
15 SMU Mustangs2591636%69.474.1-4.7
16 Florida State2681831%70.275.6-5.4
17 California2432112%59.168.7-9.5
18 Louisville2432112%63.175.4-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Virginia25331169
Duke2731462
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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