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Virginia vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 60-57
27-28 33-29
Position#230
Record14-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Position#177
Record16-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia v Florida State
04 Mar 2025
VIRG60
FLOR57
03 Dec 2022
VIRG62
FLOR57
26 Feb 2022
VIRG63
FLOR64
28 Jan 2020
VIRG61
FLOR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
32-35
40-29
42-42
31-38
43-37
34-19
39-38
41-36
34-25
40-33
33-37
29-43
33-37
34-46
32-35
44-33
39-42
32-27
26-44
142.0Avg total
70.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)64.966.6131.5-1.648%
Season at home (17)63.662.2125.8+1.453%
Season away (12)66.872.7139.5-5.842%
Last 10 (10)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)68.475.4143.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)60.770.5131.2-9.824%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.162.1130.2+6.073%
vs Weaker (2)72.058.0130.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
46-45
15-35
51-41
41-36
35-41
29-28
38-32
21-35
51-35
19-36
27-36
31-31
43-35
31-45
50-44
43-49
42-47
30-47
35-53
148.7Avg total
70.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.473.2148.7+2.255%
Season at home (16)76.770.9147.6+5.869%
Season away (13)73.976.2150.1-2.238%
Last 10 (10)70.378.4148.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)70.284.6154.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.385.2155.6-14.911%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.571.0146.5+4.569%
vs Weaker (8)80.165.8145.9+14.475%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -9.0-9.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.9+0.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -9.0-9.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.9+0.9
VirginiaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.330.862.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.129.759.7+0.450%-
Last 30 away (12)33.132.665.7+0.542%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.369.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.472.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.631.561.1-1.935%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.031.364.3+1.755%-
vs Weaker (2)36.022.558.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
28.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.966.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.031.865.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.266.6-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)28.537.566.0-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.672.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.440.773.1-8.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.729.261.8+3.569%-
vs Weaker (8)35.130.265.4+4.975%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia wins
3
Florida State wins
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HClemson58-71
27/02/25AWake Forest83-75
22/02/25ANorth Carolina66-81
18/02/25HDuke62-80
15/02/25AVirginia Tech73-70
08/02/25HGeorgia Tech75-61
04/02/25APittsburgh73-57
01/02/25HVirginia Tech74-75
30/01/25AMiami (FL)82-71
25/01/25HNotre Dame59-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ADuke65-100
25/02/25HNorth Carolina85-96
22/02/25ALouisville81-89
20/02/25HMiami (FL)74-66
15/02/25HClemson46-72
13/02/25AWake Forest72-70
05/02/25HNotre Dame67-60
01/02/25ABoston College76-77
30/01/25HVirginia Tech66-76
26/01/25AStanford71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayWWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %48%53%42%
Points / game64.963.666.8
Allowed / game66.662.272.7
Point differential-1.6+1.4-5.8
Avg total131.5125.8139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeLWLWL69%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%69%38%
Points / game75.476.773.9
Allowed / game73.270.976.2
Point differential+2.2+5.8-2.2
Avg total148.7147.6150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2923679%79.569.2+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
8 Pittsburgh29161355%76.571.5+5.0
9 Florida State29161355%75.473.2+2.2
10 Georgia Tech30161453%74.772.8+2.0
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 California29131645%74.575.4-0.9
13 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
14 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
15 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
16 Boston College29121741%70.675.1-4.6
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)3062420%74.181.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia273360
Florida State282957
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