Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 94-78

26-13 20-18 26-29 22-18

Position#8

Record7-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game77.4

Varese 🏆

Avellino

Position#10

Record8-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game80.6

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Varese v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

85-82

H06/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

63-74

-11

A13/11

Lega A

Siena

74-79

-5

A20/11

Lega A

Venezia

73-67

H26/11

Lega A

Sassari

79-90

-11

A11/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

79-73

H18/12

Lega A

Pesaro

68-72

-4

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

67-83

-16

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

96-80

+16

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

61-69

-8

A08/01

Lega A

27-23

23-14

14-26

21-19

12-27

18-18

19-9

14-20

14-15

17-23

29-17

14-24

22-19

16-18

16-15

19-15

21-25

24-24

21-21

13-20

19-11

19-22

22-18

19-22

18-21

23-15

13-17

14-19

20-17

11-22

21-23

15-21

25-11

21-20

22-24

28-25

8-16

18-20

17-16

18-17

151.4Avg total

74.5Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	76.4	77.4	153.8	-1.1	50%
Season at home (7)	81.9	76.7	158.6	+5.1	86%
Season away (7)	70.9	78.1	149.0	-7.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	76.9	151.4	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	75.4	149.6	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	69.3	77.7	147.0	-8.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.9	75.6	154.4	+3.3	72%
vs Weaker (2)	77.5	88.5	166.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

96-79

+17

H06/11

Lega A

Cantu

55-90

-35

A13/11

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

82-91

-9

H20/11

Lega A

Pesaro

82-72

+10

A27/11

Lega A

Biella

#12

82-84 OT

-2

A04/12

Lega A

Siena

77-83 OT

-6

H11/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

99-96 OT

A18/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

84-74

+10

H27/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

89-90

-1

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

64-62

H03/01

Lega A

25-16

27-14

16-26

28-23

12-23

16-17

10-21

17-29

21-22

19-16

28-20

14-33

18-14

24-17

14-21

26-20

27-14

15-25

16-7

14-26

23-18

16-20

16-17

17-17

24-22

19-23

27-22

14-17

25-16

22-21

11-16

26-21

29-17

18-22

14-14

28-37

26-11

9-16

18-19

11-16

163.1Avg total

81.0Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.1	80.6	161.7	+0.6	57%
Season at home (7)	83.1	79.1	162.3	+4.0	71%
Season away (7)	79.1	82.0	161.1	-2.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	82.1	163.1	-1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	81.0	163.6	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	82.5	84.8	167.3	-2.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	76.9	78.2	155.2	-1.3	44%
vs Weaker (6)	92.7	80.2	172.8	+12.5	83%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.3	36.1	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.1	35.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.7	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.3	17.9	34.2	-1.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	25.5	45.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	18.2	41.9	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	16.8	42.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.4	20.3	41.8	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.8	18.5	42.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.8	18.3	38.2	+1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	19.2	37.8	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	72%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	20.7	42.8	+1.5	50%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

50-37

+13

H06/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

30-45

-15

A13/11

Lega A

Siena

31-38

-7

A20/11

Lega A

Venezia

38-37

H26/11

Lega A

Sassari

45-49

-4

A11/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

38-33

H18/12

Lega A

Pesaro

41-36

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

31-39

-8

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

46-31

+15

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

26-36

-10

A08/01

Lega A

75.7Avg total

37.6Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.1	74.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	34.6	73.4	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	39.2	74.4	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.0	71.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.7	38.1	72.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	40.5	77.0	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

52-30

+22

H06/11

Lega A

Cantu

28-40

-12

A13/11

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

40-38

H20/11

Lega A

Pesaro

42-31

+11

A27/11

Lega A

Biella

#12

42-39

A04/12

Lega A

Siena

39-38

H11/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

43-45

-2

A18/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

47-37

+10

H27/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

47-39

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

35-27

H03/01

Lega A

77.9Avg total

41.5Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.5	80.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	37.2	80.9	+6.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	39.6	80.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	36.4	77.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.7	38.0	81.7	+5.7	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.7	38.4	79.1	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.0	39.2	85.2	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.6	36.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.1	38.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.8	36.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	20.8	36.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.1	17.8	34.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	19.8	42.7	+3.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	26.5	51.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.6	39.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	24.2	46.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	19.2	41.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	38.1	72.5	-3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.8	75.7	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.6	39.6	74.2	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.4	38.0	77.4	+1.4	72%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.9	77.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	40.7	80.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	39.1	74.9	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.2	78.7	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.2	75.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.0	45.0	83.0	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	34.9	38.4	73.3	-3.6	28%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.0	39.0	84.0	+6.0	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
30/01/11	Varese v Avellino	83-85
24/10/10	Avellino v Varese	85-69
07/03/10	Avellino v Varese	76-67
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/12	A	Cremona	61-69
03/01/12	H	Treviso	96-80
30/12/11	H	Cantu	67-83
27/12/11	A	Pesaro	68-72
18/12/11	H	Biella	79-73
11/12/11	A	Sassari	79-90
26/11/11	H	Venezia	73-67
20/11/11	A	Siena	74-79
13/11/11	A	Virtus Bologna	63-74
06/11/11	H	Caserta	85-82

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/12	H	Cremona	64-62
30/12/11	A	Olimpia Milano	89-90
27/12/11	H	Caserta	84-74
18/12/11	A	Virtus Roma	99-96 OT
11/12/11	H	Siena	77-83 OT
04/12/11	A	Biella	82-84 OT
27/11/11	A	Pesaro	82-72
20/11/11	H	Casale Monferrato	82-91
13/11/11	A	Cantu	55-90
06/11/11	H	Sassari	96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	50%	86%	14%
Points / game	76.4	81.9	70.9
Allowed / game	77.4	76.7	78.1
Point differential	-1.1	+5.1	-7.3
Avg total	153.8	158.6	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Avellino

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	57%
Home	WLLWW	71%
Away	LWLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	57%	71%	43%
Points / game	81.1	83.1	79.1
Allowed / game	80.6	79.1	82.0
Point differential	+0.6	+4.0	-2.9
Avg total	161.7	162.3	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	29%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	21%	14%	29%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	14	11	3	79%	79.0	70.2	+8.8
2	Olimpia Milano	14	10	4	71%	76.2	71.4	+4.8
3	Cantu	14	9	5	64%	73.9	68.4	+5.5
4	Virtus Bologna	14	9	5	64%	79.4	77.6	+1.9
5	Venezia	14	8	6	57%	77.3	75.8	+1.5
6	Avellino	14	8	6	57%	81.1	80.6	+0.6
7	Pesaro	14	8	6	57%	73.6	74.6	-1.1
8	Biella	14	7	7	50%	74.5	73.7	+0.8
9	Varese	14	7	7	50%	76.4	77.4	-1.1
10	Sassari	14	7	7	50%	78.1	79.9	-1.9
11	Virtus Roma	15	7	8	47%	79.7	81.5	-1.8
12	Caserta	14	6	8	43%	78.2	78.6	-0.4
13	Sutor Montegranaro	14	5	9	36%	74.8	77.1	-2.3
14	Treviso	14	5	9	36%	75.2	77.6	-2.4
15	Cremona	15	5	10	33%	71.7	77.7	-6.1
16	Casale Monferrato	14	4	10	29%	73.6	76.2	-2.6
17	Teramo	14	4	10	29%	71.9	75.6	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	26	20	26	22	94
Avellino	13	18	29	18	78

← all games of the day

Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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