Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 74-66

14-21 19-14 17-15 24-16

Position#13

Record9-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game80.0

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Caserta

Position#7

Record12-12

FormLWLWW

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game71.8

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

69-78

-9

H12/01

Lega A

Sassari

87-90

-3

A19/01

Lega A

Cremona

#14

85-90

-5

H26/01

Lega A

Siena

57-54

H02/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

84-86

-2

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-89

-23

A23/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

85-89 OT

-4

H02/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

74-82

-8

A09/03

Lega A

Reggiana

70-71

-1

H16/03

Lega A

Brindisi

77-68

A23/03

Lega A

19-24

19-16

19-21

12-17

19-23

19-25

28-17

21-25

20-23

21-25

20-19

24-23

11-8

16-15

13-17

17-14

20-26

24-22

18-16

22-22

10-15

17-26

22-27

17-21

18-22

16-18

22-23

17-10

21-23

24-23

12-19

17-17

20-23

16-11

16-19

18-18

20-19

25-18

16-9

16-22

155.1Avg total

75.4Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.4	80.0	158.4	-1.5	38%
Season at home (12)	79.3	76.9	156.2	+2.4	50%
Season away (12)	77.5	83.0	160.5	-5.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	79.7	155.1	-4.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	79.8	154.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	74.4	82.7	157.1	-8.3	23%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	81.0	82.9	163.9	-1.9	33%
vs Weaker (5)	85.4	79.2	164.6	+6.2	60%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

80-74

H12/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

60-73

-13

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

100-88

100

+12

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-61

-18

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

74-68

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-82

-3

A23/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

76-57

+19

H02/03

Lega A

Brindisi

53-64

-11

A09/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

75-68

H16/03

Lega A

Cantu

64-60

H23/03

Lega A

18-14

14-16

26-25

22-19

6-17

19-22

10-18

25-16

18-15

22-30

25-15

35-28

9-15

10-13

10-12

14-21

8-10

15-18

22-18

29-22

12-22

22-19

18-18

27-23

28-13

11-8

13-23

24-13

13-21

15-11

19-8

6-24

22-22

19-11

19-14

15-21

24-14

9-10

18-18

13-18

139.9Avg total

70.4Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	72.7	71.8	144.5	+0.9	50%
Season at home (13)	74.3	70.5	144.8	+3.8	69%
Season away (11)	70.7	73.3	144.0	-2.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	69.5	139.9	+0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	66.2	135.6	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.4	75.1	145.5	-4.8	38%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	71.1	71.2	142.3	-0.1	47%
vs Weaker (7)	81.7	74.1	155.9	+7.6	71%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.5	39.7	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	23.9	40.3	-7.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.6	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.9	35.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	16.3	32.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	17.5	34.6	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.7	18.3	35.1	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	15.8	32.9	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	15.8	31.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	11.8	27.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	15.9	33.3	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	57%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

38-40

-2

H12/01

Lega A

Sassari

38-48

-10

A19/01

Lega A

Cremona

#14

41-48

-7

H26/01

Lega A

Siena

27-23

H02/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

44-48

-4

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

27-41

-14

A23/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

34-40

-6

H02/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

45-46

-1

A09/03

Lega A

Reggiana

36-34

H16/03

Lega A

Brindisi

45-37

A23/03

Lega A

78.0Avg total

37.5Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.9	78.4	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	37.4	75.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	44.4	81.5	-7.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	40.5	78.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.4	41.2	76.5	-5.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

32-30

H12/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

25-39

-14

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

40-45

-5

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

19-28

-9

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

23-28

-5

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

34-41

-7

A23/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

39-21

+18

H02/03

Lega A

Brindisi

28-32

-4

A09/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

41-33

H16/03

Lega A

Cantu

33-24

H23/03

Lega A

63.5Avg total

31.4Scored

32.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	34.5	70.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.0	33.0	69.0	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	36.3	71.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	32.1	63.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	30.2	65.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.2	34.4	69.6	+0.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	34.1	34.3	68.3	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.3	35.3	74.6	+4.0	57%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	18.7	34.1	-3.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.9	21.1	36.0	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.4	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.3	39.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.4	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	19.6	39.9	+0.6	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	40.8	81.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	37.6	74.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	37.0	71.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.4	40.2	78.5	-1.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.5	40.1	80.6	+0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	38.2	82.0	+5.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.2	75.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	38.6	77.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	37.7	73.3	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.4	76.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.0	70.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.1	40.8	75.9	-5.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.3	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/13	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	65-57
11/03/13	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	70-72
11/11/12	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	65-56
22/04/12	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	84-66
30/12/11	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	80-87
27/02/11	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	69-61
13/11/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	63-71
28/03/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	67-74
18/02/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-88
28/11/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	72-84

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/14	A	Brindisi	77-68
16/03/14	H	Reggiana	70-71
09/03/14	A	Venezia	74-82
02/03/14	H	Virtus Roma	85-89 OT
23/02/14	A	Olimpia Milano	66-89
16/02/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	84-86
02/02/14	H	Siena	57-54
26/01/14	H	Cremona	85-90
19/01/14	A	Sassari	87-90
12/01/14	H	Cantu	69-78

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/14	H	Cantu	64-60
16/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	75-68
09/03/14	A	Brindisi	53-64
02/03/14	H	Avellino	76-57
23/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	79-82
15/02/14	H	Reggiana	74-68
02/02/14	A	Olimpia Milano	43-61
26/01/14	H	Pesaro	100-88
19/01/14	A	Venezia	60-73
12/01/14	H	Pistoia	80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	LLWLL	50%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	78.4	79.3	77.5
Allowed / game	80.0	76.9	83.0
Point differential	-1.5	+2.4	-5.5
Avg total	158.4	156.2	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	33% (6)	25% (4)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Caserta

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	50%	69%	27%
Points / game	72.7	74.3	70.7
Allowed / game	71.8	70.5	73.3
Point differential	+0.9	+3.8	-2.5
Avg total	144.5	144.8	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	23%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	25% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	24	19	5	79%	80.5	70.3	+10.2
2	Cantu	25	17	8	68%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
3	Siena	24	16	8	67%	75.8	68.5	+7.3
4	Brindisi	24	16	8	67%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
5	Sassari	24	15	9	62%	85.9	79.6	+6.2
6	Virtus Roma	24	15	9	62%	77.7	76.4	+1.2
7	Reggiana	24	12	12	50%	75.7	73.0	+2.7
8	Caserta	24	12	12	50%	72.7	71.8	+0.9
9	Venezia	24	11	13	46%	80.1	79.8	+0.3
10	Pistoia	24	10	14	42%	76.5	79.1	-2.7
11	Avellino	24	10	14	42%	74.8	80.0	-5.2
12	Varese	25	10	15	40%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
13	Virtus Bologna	24	9	15	38%	78.4	80.0	-1.5
14	Cremona	24	8	16	33%	75.7	82.5	-6.9
15	Sutor Montegranaro	24	7	17	29%	77.6	86.4	-8.8
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	14	19	17	24	74
Caserta	21	14	15	16	66

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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