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Virtus Bologna vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 96-73
27-13 18-16 21-24 30-20
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro
03 Nov 2013
VIR96
SMO73
03 Feb 2013
VIR83
SMO80
07 Mar 2012
VIR77
SMO72
21 Nov 2010
VIR77
SMO79
11 Oct 2009
VIR76
SMO68
10 Jan 2009
VIR79
SMO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutor Montegranaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#11
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H27/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
91-101
91
101
-10
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H07/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#3
L
110-120 OT
110
120
-10
H21/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#13
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
A20/10
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
28-7
17-34
24-18
21-21
21-30
19-24
30-26
17-16
16-24
17-15
16-30
10-23
16-17
13-19
16-16
25-24
23-30
29-24
25-24
24-23
17-22
27-17
25-25
18-16
17-18
17-27
17-18
22-21
21-28
33-16
22-23
7-28
20-12
28-15
16-16
18-32
19-24
15-17
13-16
171.2Avg total
82.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.386.3169.7-3.067%
Season at home (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)76.085.5161.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)82.888.4171.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)82.485.0167.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.883.6156.4-10.717%
vs Similar (9)79.479.6159.0-0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A24/03
Lega A
Biella
#17
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A01/04
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
H07/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
94-108
94
108
-14
H21/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
22-16
23-16
19-24
16-21
23-11
31-22
16-19
24-26
27-27
25-23
17-15
14-20
15-30
17-16
15-19
30-27
23-28
18-28
23-25
18-29
19-21
25-23
28-21
20-18
13-27
13-24
18-13
20-27
25-17
12-15
18-19
13-21
18-18
19-40
18-23
18-12
18-11
13-19
30-29
165.0Avg total
79.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.083.7157.7-9.733%
Season at home (2)77.074.5151.5+2.550%
Season away (1)68.0102.0170.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)79.585.5165.0-6.040%
Last 5 (5)75.285.4160.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.690.1169.7-10.419%
vs Similar (12)86.282.8169.0+3.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Virtus BolognaSutor Montegranaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H27/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H07/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H21/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A28/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/10
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A28/10
Lega A
82.0Avg total
38.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.277.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.080.1+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.341.474.7-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.582.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.641.578.1-4.933%-
vs Similar (9)39.137.676.7+1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.040.375.3-5.333%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A24/03
Lega A
Biella
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A01/04
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H07/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H27/10
Lega A
81.9Avg total
39.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.382.1+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.937.980.9+5.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.783.3-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.281.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.642.982.6-3.338%-
vs Similar (12)45.437.582.9+7.958%-
vs Weaker (2)37.036.573.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/13ASiena65-89
20/10/13ACremona87-82 OT
13/10/13HSassari98-88
05/05/13HCantu69-79
28/04/13ABrindisi93-87
21/04/13HSassari110-120 OT
14/04/13ASiena55-75
07/04/13HVenezia66-85
30/03/13APesaro91-101
27/03/13HAvellino94-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/13HReggiana79-71
20/10/13AVenezia68-102
13/10/13HVirtus Roma75-78
05/05/13AVirtus Roma64-82
28/04/13HSiena90-94
21/04/13HPesaro94-108
14/04/13ACantu61-85
07/04/13HVarese93-91
01/04/13ABiella86-73
24/03/13AOlimpia Milano85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.398.076.0
Allowed / game86.388.085.5
Point differential-3.0+10.0-9.5
Avg total169.7186.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.077.068.0
Allowed / game83.774.5102.0
Point differential-9.7+2.5-34.0
Avg total157.7151.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena32167%81.771.3+10.3
2 Brindisi32167%81.073.7+7.3
3 Varese32167%79.773.3+6.3
4 Sassari32167%90.384.7+5.7
5 Cantu32167%83.079.3+3.7
6 Virtus Roma32167%75.772.7+3.0
7 Olimpia Milano32167%81.779.0+2.7
8 Avellino32167%81.379.0+2.3
9 Virtus Bologna32167%83.386.3-3.0
10 Caserta42250%78.276.5+1.8
11 Reggiana42250%69.570.0-0.5
12 Venezia31233%79.778.7+1.0
13 Pesaro31233%80.787.7-7.0
14 Sutor Montegranaro31233%74.083.7-9.7
15 Pistoia3030%79.790.0-10.3
16 Cremona3030%79.393.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2718213096
Sutor Montegranaro1316242073
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