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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-77
15-20 21-16 13-17 26-24
Position#6
Record27-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#1
Record33-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game75.6
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
98-64
98
64
+34
100avg 82
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 82
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
H15/05
German Cup
Oldenburg
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 82
A20/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 82
A22/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 82
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 82
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 82
H03/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
21-14
17-17
25-15
22-25
17-21
24-19
31-16
18-26
18-23
32-20
16-15
19-32
27-13
20-16
27-27
11-24
23-15
28-19
13-19
19-11
19-14
12-25
20-16
16-17
17-25
33-25
30-21
20-16
14-21
15-20
24-14
18-28
15-19
24-19
21-26
21-16
16-23
16-14
19-27
166.2Avg total
85.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)86.978.3165.2+8.666%
Season at home (20)86.074.8160.8+11.270%
Season away (21)87.881.6169.4+6.162%
Last 10 (10)85.181.1166.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)77.879.4157.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0104.0206.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.579.1160.6+2.450%
vs Weaker (17)91.776.9168.6+14.882%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
80avg 78
H04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
95avg 78
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#3
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A15/05
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A16/05
German Cup
Hamburg
#7
W
82-59
82
59
+23
80avg 78
H20/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-83
95
83
+12
98avg 78
H22/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 78
A24/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
71-73
71
73
-2
60avg 78
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
92avg 78
H01/06
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
79avg 78
A03/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-27
17-16
21-14
31-25
23-21
17-11
20-24
24-14
31-35
28-19
29-28
29-17
10-24
19-24
21-20
30-18
18-13
22-8
12-20
27-22
21-19
20-24
27-18
30-16
18-19
14-19
23-19
16-20
21-14
20-15
14-24
28-18
19-15
19-24
26-21
16-21
23-16
14-16
27-19
164.4Avg total
86.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)86.175.6161.7+10.582%
Season at home (21)86.174.2160.3+11.981%
Season away (19)86.177.1163.1+9.084%
Last 10 (10)86.677.8164.4+8.880%
Last 5 (5)84.675.8160.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.585.0161.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.579.8162.4+2.755%
vs Weaker (17)89.777.6167.3+12.182%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/05
German Cup
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A22/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/06
BBL
78.7Avg total
38.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.682.6+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.436.679.9+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)42.743.085.7-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.178.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.049.085.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.638.277.8+1.442%-
vs Weaker (17)45.940.085.9+5.965%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A15/05
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/05
German Cup
Hamburg
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A24/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H01/06
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/06
BBL
85.1Avg total
45.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.684.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.136.578.5+5.677%-
Last 30 away (17)46.842.188.8+4.765%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.585.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.079.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.543.590.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.640.582.1+1.255%-
vs Weaker (17)46.538.685.2+7.982%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.5
54.1%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.4
38.2%
37.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.8
80.0%
78.0%16.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.520.1
61.8%
54.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.5
36.2%
37.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.213.1
80.9%
78.0%13.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWWLWLWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
+6.4
Net rating
+13.3
113.4
Offensive rating
117.4
107.0
Defensive rating
104.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.2%
3-point %
36.2%
63.8%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 117.4Defence107.0 · 104.1Shooting55.4% · 58.3%3-point %38.2% · 36.2%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
9
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
03/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin72-80
01/06/21Alba Berlin v Ulm92-78
30/05/21Alba Berlin v Ulm71-73
07/03/21Ulm v Alba Berlin76-84
19/12/20Alba Berlin v Ulm93-83
11/02/20Ulm v Alba Berlin106-112 OT
03/11/19Alba Berlin v Ulm109-89
18/05/19Alba Berlin v Ulm107-78
02/04/19Alba Berlin v Ulm92-81
20/10/18Ulm v Alba Berlin74-92
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/21HAlba Berlin72-80
01/06/21AAlba Berlin78-92
30/05/21AAlba Berlin73-71
26/05/21HOldenburg96-88
24/05/21HOldenburg70-66
22/05/21AOldenburg75-77
20/05/21AOldenburg93-88
15/05/21HBayern102-104 OT
09/05/21ABonn94-81
07/05/21ABayern98-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/21AUlm80-72
01/06/21HUlm92-78
30/05/21HUlm71-73
24/05/21AHamburg85-73
22/05/21HHamburg95-83
20/05/21HHamburg82-59
16/05/21ABayern79-85
15/05/21AGottingen112-96
09/05/21AChemnitz91-81
04/05/21HLudwigsburg79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL66%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %66%70%62%
Points / game86.986.087.8
Allowed / game78.374.881.6
Point differential+8.6+11.2+6.1
Avg total165.2160.8169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%45%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWWWWW84%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %82%81%84%
Points / game86.186.186.1
Allowed / game75.674.277.1
Point differential+10.5+11.9+9.0
Avg total161.7160.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%76%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin4033782%86.175.6+10.5
2 Ludwigsburg4334979%87.478.4+9.0
3 Bayern42301271%86.280.0+6.2
4 Oldenburg38261268%91.383.7+7.5
5 Ulm41271466%86.978.3+8.6
6 Crailsheim Merlins38251366%85.782.5+3.3
7 Hamburg37211657%83.980.7+3.3
8 Bamberg39192049%84.182.6+1.5
9 Basketball Braunschweig34161847%84.087.0-3.0
10 Bayreuth34151944%84.384.6-0.3
11 Gottingen34132138%84.590.1-5.6
12 Frankfurt34132138%76.982.8-5.9
13 Bonn34122235%82.384.8-2.5
14 Chemnitz34122235%79.187.6-8.5
15 Syntainics MBC3492526%82.789.9-7.2
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg3492526%77.587.8-10.3
17 Giessen3482624%85.693.9-8.2
18 Vechta3472721%79.987.6-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1521132675
Alba Berlin2016172477
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