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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-56
21-17 23-18 28-15 25-6
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game72.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Varese
27 Mar 2027
VIR v VAR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VIR104
VAR85
27 Apr 2025
VIR104
VAR67
08 Oct 2023
VIR115
VAR84
07 May 2023
VIR98
VAR82
03 Oct 2021
VIR97
VAR56
27 Feb 2021
VIR85
VAR76
19 Oct 2019
VIR87
VAR80
12 May 2019
VIR84
VAR72
22 Apr 2018
VIR69
VAR71
13 Mar 2016
VIR76
VAR67
04 Apr 2015
VIR86
VAR78
19 Apr 2014
VIR77
VAR78
21 Oct 2012
VIR74
VAR84
13 Nov 2011
VIR74
VAR63
20 Mar 2011
VIR69
VAR71
14 Mar 2010
VIR80
VAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 85
A25/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 85
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
83avg 85
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 85
A07/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
76-58
76
58
+18
72avg 85
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
62avg 85
H11/06
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 85
A26/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-20
21-18
23-18
13-17
24-23
18-13
23-22
23-19
25-20
19-14
16-24
16-21
24-20
18-18
25-13
17-16
20-18
15-18
24-6
19-24
22-19
14-8
18-11
16-14
20-22
18-10
20-20
20-11
14-20
16-16
22-24
23-20
21-15
23-20
23-29
30-17
26-26
28-21
18-24
154.1Avg total
81.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.088.0190.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.088.0190.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.472.7154.1+8.7100%
Last 5 (5)82.274.2156.4+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (10)79.273.5152.7+5.780%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.180.1169.2+9.083%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 71
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 71
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 71
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 71
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
84-108
84
108
-24
73avg 71
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 71
H26/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
16-30
29-31
23-20
16-27
16-19
21-10
17-32
16-19
26-23
19-24
22-27
15-18
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
163.8Avg total
78.6Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.685.2163.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)74.879.8154.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.586.9166.4-7.436%
vs Similar (15)80.284.9165.1-4.733%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
Virtus BolognaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/06
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A26/09
Lega A
79.2Avg total
41.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.281.1+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.280.0+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.182.2+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.079.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.679.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (10)39.739.679.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.539.683.1+3.961%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.782.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.980.3+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.545.885.3-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.446.685.9-7.236%-
vs Similar (15)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.0%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
74.7%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.2
57.7%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.8
73.4%
74.7%13.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWWW
Varese
WLWLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#12
+13.6
Net rating
+1.9
108.9
Offensive rating
111.8
95.3
Defensive rating
109.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.0%
3-point %
36.5%
69.8%
Assist %
51.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 111.8Defence95.3 · 109.9Shooting53.9% · 56.3%3-point %39.0% · 36.5%Ball care19.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21ATrento102-88
21/09/21AOlimpia Milano90-84
20/09/21AVenezia72-71
18/09/21HTortona74-66
11/06/21HOlimpia Milano73-62
09/06/21HOlimpia Milano76-58
07/06/21AOlimpia Milano83-72
05/06/21AOlimpia Milano83-77
02/06/21HBrindisi78-75
25/05/21ABrindisi83-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
08/09/21HSassari82-92
06/09/21ACremona70-80
10/05/21ABrindisi84-108
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
18/04/21ATreviso103-94
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
11/04/21AReggiana77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total190.0-190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%83.067.5+15.5
2 Virtus Bologna110100%102.088.0+14.0
3 Treviso220100%86.076.5+9.5
4 Varese110100%75.072.0+3.0
5 Trieste110100%84.082.0+2.0
6 Reggiana110100%81.080.0+1.0
7 Venezia21150%82.075.5+6.5
8 Brindisi21150%85.582.0+3.5
9 Sassari21150%77.581.0-3.5
10 Tortona21150%78.084.5-6.5
11 Fortitudo Bologna1010%80.081.0-1.0
12 Pesaro1010%73.075.0-2.0
13 Brescia2020%74.577.0-2.5
14 Basket Napoli1010%63.073.0-10.0
15 Cremona1010%71.088.0-17.0
16 Trento2020%80.097.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2123282597
Varese171815656
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