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Virtus Bologna vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.5
Virtus Bologna
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma
03 Jan 2021
VIR v VRO
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
VIR74
VRO67
03 May 2015
VIR90
VRO77
02 Mar 2014
VIR85
VRO89
25 Nov 2012
VIR85
VRO79
09 Oct 2011
VIR93
VRO91
09 Jan 2011
VIR87
VRO79
17 Jan 2010
VIR81
VRO61
22 Mar 2009
VIR89
VRO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H20/11
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
A22/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H06/12
Lega A
Monaco
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A09/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A13/12
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H16/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
16-17
28-12
17-27
25-22
22-19
20-17
24-13
12-27
26-19
16-14
24-23
10-25
12-15
25-16
27-12
20-7
23-18
16-17
18-18
26-21
31-17
16-21
19-14
26-20
26-21
19-11
27-20
23-19
26-28
26-22
17-12
24-23
14-23
20-12
10-15
22-22
30-22
23-14
25-22
158.6Avg total
85.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.076.5160.5+7.562%
Season at home (7)82.481.6164.0+0.929%
Season away (6)85.870.7156.5+15.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.273.4158.6+11.880%
Last 5 (5)90.075.8165.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar (7)83.780.3164.0+3.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.573.5157.9+11.082%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Virtus BolognaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/11
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A22/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/12
Lega A
Monaco
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A09/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A13/12
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H16/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
Lega A
83.7Avg total
43.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.180.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.680.6+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.283.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.643.292.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.043.381.3-5.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.537.580.0+5.068%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.8
57.3%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
75.8%13.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWWLWW
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#16
+15.8
Net rating
-16.4
109.6
Offensive rating
100.3
93.7
Defensive rating
116.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.1%
3-point %
31.5%
77.5%
Assist %
56.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 100.3Defence93.7 · 116.7Shooting56.6% · 50.7%3-point %37.1% · 31.5%Ball care20.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 21.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
12/01/20Virtus Roma v Virtus Bologna68-97
25/09/19Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma74-67
03/05/15Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma90-77
04/01/15Virtus Roma v Virtus Bologna90-84
02/03/14Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma85-89 OT
17/11/13Virtus Roma v Virtus Bologna81-89
24/03/13Virtus Roma v Virtus Bologna90-70
25/11/12Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma85-79
21/01/12Virtus Roma v Virtus Bologna78-82
09/10/11Virtus Bologna v Virtus Roma93-91 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/20HPesaro100-80
27/12/20HOlimpia Milano68-73
22/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra92-81
20/12/20ATreviso98-72
16/12/20HAntwerp Giants92-73
13/12/20ATrieste77-60
09/12/20AMonaco74-68
06/12/20HSassari78-83
22/11/20AFortitudo Bologna91-71
20/11/20HLietkabelis82-73
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%29%100%
Points / game84.082.485.8
Allowed / game76.581.670.7
Point differential+7.5+0.9+15.2
Avg total160.5164.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%29%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%89.172.9+16.1
2 Brindisi1310377%87.579.8+7.6
3 Sassari149564%89.685.9+3.7
4 Virtus Bologna138562%84.076.5+7.5
5 Venezia148657%78.676.9+1.6
6 Pesaro147750%82.380.9+1.4
7 Trento126650%78.679.2-0.6
8 Reggiana126650%77.177.8-0.7
9 Treviso146843%84.490.1-5.7
10 Cremona125742%83.585.2-1.7
11 Brescia135838%78.381.7-3.4
12 Trieste114736%74.878.7-3.9
13 Fortitudo Bologna145936%79.682.6-3.1
14 Cantu145936%76.881.5-4.7
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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