Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 83-71

20-18 28-16 23-16 12-21

Position#2

Record17-10

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game80.7

Virtus Roma 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#5

Record17-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game73.6

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

83-70

+13

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

64-99

-35

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

88-93

-5

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

88-72

+16

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

98-76

+22

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

74-89

-15

A22/03

Lega A

Ferrara

88-93

-5

H29/03

Lega A

Treviso

62-79

-17

A08/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

99-75

+24

H11/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

84-75

A19/04

Lega A

22-21

20-12

23-23

18-14

15-31

15-24

15-25

19-19

22-30

28-24

17-25

21-14

26-23

23-11

18-18

21-20

25-19

24-17

21-16

28-24

15-21

19-25

24-17

16-26

25-16

19-23

20-24

24-30

22-24

10-21

14-17

16-17

24-21

23-18

23-17

29-19

26-14

15-19

11-16

32-26

164.9Avg total

82.8Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	85.2	80.7	165.9	+4.5	63%
Season at home (13)	87.5	78.6	166.1	+8.8	77%
Season away (14)	83.1	82.6	165.8	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	82.1	164.9	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	82.2	163.6	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.8	94.2	171.0	-17.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	84.2	82.8	167.0	+1.3	33%
vs Weaker (18)	83.3	76.8	160.1	+6.5	78%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

76-74

H01/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

81-84

-3

A05/03

Euroleague

Cantu

80-64

+16

A08/03

Lega A

Gdynia

#24

72-96

-24

H12/03

Euroleague

Avellino

#10

85-71 OT

+14

H15/03

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

75-65

+10

A22/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

88-85

A29/03

Lega A

Teramo

97-88

H04/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

69-66

A11/04

Lega A

Treviso

83-68

+15

H19/04

Lega A

21-24

21-11

18-18

16-21

20-24

19-15

20-20

22-25

17-17

16-12

16-18

31-17

16-30

22-26

22-14

12-26

20-17

16-18

22-18

9-14

12-14

18-12

31-18

14-21

21-29

19-12

20-20

28-24

15-21

24-17

26-24

32-26

15-23

22-10

13-14

19-19

22-17

26-19

14-16

21-16

156.7Avg total

80.6Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.7	73.6	151.4	+4.1	63%
Season at home (14)	81.9	74.5	156.4	+7.4	71%
Season away (13)	73.2	72.7	145.9	+0.5	54%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	76.1	156.7	+4.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	74.4	156.8	+8.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	76.6	84.4	161.0	-7.9	43%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.4	75.7	154.1	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (8)	81.1	73.6	154.8	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.9	41.5	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	22.9	40.1	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.5	39.3	+2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.7	43.0	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.1	18.4	37.4	+0.7	39%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.1	36.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	17.8	34.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.2	35.5	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.0	35.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	50%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

42-33

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

30-55

-25

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

50-54

-4

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

49-34

+15

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

49-36

+13

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-46

-12

A22/03

Lega A

Ferrara

44-39

H29/03

Lega A

Treviso

32-45

-13

A08/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

47-39

H11/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

41-33

A19/04

Lega A

83.2Avg total

41.8Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	38.3	80.9	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	42.2	81.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	48.5	88.0	-9.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.7	39.7	82.3	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.4	37.7	78.2	+2.7	72%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

42-35

H01/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

39-39

A05/03

Euroleague

Cantu

33-29

A08/03

Lega A

Gdynia

#24

38-56

-18

H12/03

Euroleague

Avellino

#10

36-35

H15/03

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

30-26

A22/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

40-41

-1

A29/03

Lega A

Teramo

39-38

H04/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

37-33

A11/04

Lega A

Treviso

48-36

+12

H19/04

Lega A

75.0Avg total

38.2Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.7	75.3	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	39.4	77.1	-1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	37.9	73.4	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.8	73.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	41.6	76.7	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.7	38.7	76.4	-1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.9	36.2	72.1	-0.4	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.1	35.1	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	23.3	40.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.7	37.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	16.7	37.2	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.8	38.1	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.6	47.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.8	20.8	42.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.4	42.2	+1.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	19.5	41.8	+2.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.1	78.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.3	78.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	42.7	78.2	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.2	40.2	79.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.9	37.6	78.5	+3.3	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	37.7	78.8	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	36.5	77.4	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	39.1	80.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.6	83.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	42.9	84.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.5	36.7	76.2	+2.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.5	35.2	78.8	+8.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/09	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	68-85

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	84-75
11/04/09	H	NSB Napoli	99-75
08/04/09	A	Treviso	62-79
29/03/09	H	Ferrara	88-93
22/03/09	A	Virtus Bologna	74-89
15/03/09	H	Pesaro	98-76
11/03/09	H	Partizan	88-72
08/03/09	A	Siena	88-93
04/03/09	A	Unicaja	64-99
01/03/09	H	Udine	83-70

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/09	H	Treviso	83-68
11/04/09	A	Fortitudo Bologna	69-66
04/04/09	H	Teramo	97-88
29/03/09	A	Udine	88-85
22/03/09	A	NSB Napoli	75-65
15/03/09	H	Avellino	85-71 OT
12/03/09	H	Gdynia	72-96
08/03/09	A	Cantu	80-64
05/03/09	A	Olympiacos	81-84
01/03/09	H	Ferrara	76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	63%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	63%	77%	50%
Points / game	85.2	87.5	83.1
Allowed / game	80.7	78.6	82.6
Point differential	+4.5	+8.8	+0.5
Avg total	165.9	166.1	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	54%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	15%	23%	7%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	63%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	LWWWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	63%	71%	54%
Points / game	77.7	81.9	73.2
Allowed / game	73.6	74.5	72.7
Point differential	+4.1	+7.4	+0.5
Avg total	151.4	156.4	145.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	25% (4)	62% (8)
Overtime %	11%	14%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	28	27	1	96%	88.4	71.9	+16.5
2	Virtus Roma	27	17	10	63%	85.2	80.7	+4.5
3	Olimpia Milano	27	17	10	63%	77.7	73.6	+4.1
4	Virtus Bologna	27	17	10	63%	78.6	77.4	+1.2
5	Teramo	26	16	10	62%	83.5	81.7	+1.7
6	Treviso	27	15	12	56%	76.3	75.0	+1.4
7	Biella	27	13	14	48%	83.2	82.2	+1.0
8	Cantu	27	13	14	48%	79.6	82.6	-3.0
9	Ferrara	27	12	15	44%	77.8	79.0	-1.3
10	Avellino	28	12	16	43%	76.8	76.2	+0.6
11	Pesaro	28	12	16	43%	82.1	82.0	+0.2
12	Sutor Montegranaro	27	11	16	41%	76.4	81.3	-4.9
13	NSB Napoli	27	10	17	37%	72.9	77.8	-4.9
14	Caserta	27	10	17	37%	75.1	80.7	-5.5
15	Fortitudo Bologna	27	9	18	33%	75.6	80.5	-4.9
16	Udine	27	6	21	22%	78.6	85.9	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	20	28	23	12	83
Olimpia Milano	18	16	16	21	71

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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