Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 78-91

18-18 22-30 17-26 21-17

Position#13

Record13-16

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game81.1

Virtus Roma

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#3

Record18-10

FormLWWWW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game73.7

Lega ARound 31

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

78-76

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

77-76

H26/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

71-87

-16

A04/03

Lega A

Sassari

68-72

-4

H07/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-73

-1

A17/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

90-80

+10

A25/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

102-99 OT

102

H01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

88-82

A07/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

85-93

-8

H16/04

Lega A

Venezia

69-83

-14

A22/04

Lega A

23-20

17-24

18-14

20-18

22-25

21-19

16-17

18-15

18-24

14-26

20-17

19-20

27-14

14-27

12-17

15-14

20-22

14-19

17-17

21-15

18-15

23-20

15-27

34-18

21-15

13-15

33-28

16-25

16-18

23-15

23-34

26-15

21-15

26-29

17-20

21-29

22-27

19-15

10-28

18-13

162.1Avg total

80.0Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.2	81.1	160.3	-2.0	45%
Season at home (14)	82.4	81.0	163.4	+1.4	50%
Season away (15)	76.1	81.3	157.4	-5.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	82.1	162.1	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	87.4	174.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	73.3	79.0	152.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar (24)	80.4	81.8	162.1	-1.4	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

67-58

A23/02

Euroleague

Casale Monferrato

#18

83-60

+23

H26/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#16

85-72

+13

H29/02

Euroleague

Siena

68-77

-9

A04/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

95-89

H18/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

73-77

-4

A25/03

Lega A

Venezia

79-70

H01/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

98-92

A08/04

Lega A

Cantu

72-64

H15/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

90-77

+13

A22/04

Lega A

16-11

18-21

19-14

14-12

15-21

14-18

27-9

27-12

20-21

26-19

20-15

19-17

14-18

16-17

20-23

18-19

17-16

25-12

30-32

23-29

19-20

18-16

18-25

27-11

16-17

17-21

19-21

23-24

25-27

27-22

23-19

9-11

29-15

20-21

14-17

23-23

27-19

16-17

24-18

154.6Avg total

81.0Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.8	73.7	151.5	+4.0	64%
Season at home (14)	80.9	72.3	153.2	+8.6	86%
Season away (14)	74.6	75.1	149.7	-0.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	73.6	154.6	+7.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	76.0	158.4	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.2	70.0	134.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (9)	67.1	68.0	135.1	-0.9	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	81.8	75.2	156.9	+6.6	69%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.4	40.5	-4.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.8	17%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	18.5	31.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.9	18.8	34.7	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	15.9	36.6	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	17.5	34.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.6	16.6	32.1	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	62%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

40-44

-4

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

43-44

-1

H26/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

32-50

-18

A04/03

Lega A

Sassari

41-41

H07/03

Lega A

Cantu

34-41

-7

A17/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

41-35

A25/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

34-30

H01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

39-33

A07/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

47-44

H16/04

Lega A

Venezia

41-42

-1

A22/04

Lega A

79.6Avg total

39.2Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.8	76.6	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	37.6	76.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	41.6	76.6	-6.7	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.4	79.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.0	41.7	78.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (24)	36.8	39.3	76.1	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

34-32

A23/02

Euroleague

Casale Monferrato

#18

29-39

-10

H26/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#16

46-40

H29/02

Euroleague

Siena

30-35

-5

A04/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

42-28

+14

H18/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

37-36

A25/03

Lega A

Venezia

43-28

+15

H01/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

48-51

-3

A08/04

Lega A

Cantu

38-26

+12

H15/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

50-42

A22/04

Lega A

75.4Avg total

39.7Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	35.7	74.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.7	75.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.6	79.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	36.0	65.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	31.4	35.3	66.8	-3.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.7	56%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.1	38.1	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.6	37.8	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	27.4	47.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	18.3	36.2	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.3	19.0	38.4	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.7	35.3	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	17.4	33.3	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	16.2	31.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.2	16.1	33.3	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.1	18.6	36.8	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.0	38.6	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.2	18.9	41.1	+3.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.8	78.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	38.4	78.1	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	47.4	90.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.3	37.3	73.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (24)	40.6	39.2	79.8	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	35.8	73.8	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	36.6	77.9	+4.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	35.1	70.3	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.9	79.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	34.0	68.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	32.7	68.3	+3.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.4	37.5	77.9	+2.9	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	83-75
06/03/11	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	80-62
21/11/10	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	76-70
25/04/10	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	64-66
03/01/10	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	77-69
26/04/09	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	83-71
04/01/09	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	68-85

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/12	A	Venezia	69-83
16/04/12	H	Teramo	85-93
07/04/12	A	Avellino	88-82
01/04/12	H	Treviso	102-99 OT
25/03/12	A	Caserta	90-80
17/03/12	A	Cantu	72-73
07/03/12	H	Sassari	68-72
04/03/12	A	Cremona	71-87
26/02/12	H	Siena	77-76
12/02/12	A	Varese	78-76

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/12	A	Avellino	90-77
15/04/12	H	Cantu	72-64
08/04/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	98-92
01/04/12	H	Venezia	79-70
25/03/12	A	Cremona	73-77
18/03/12	H	Caserta	95-89
04/03/12	A	Siena	68-77
29/02/12	H	Fenerbahce	85-72
26/02/12	H	Casale Monferrato	83-60
23/02/12	A	Panathinaikos	67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	45%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	45%	50%	40%
Points / game	79.2	82.4	76.1
Allowed / game	81.1	81.0	81.3
Point differential	-2.0	+1.4	-5.1
Avg total	160.3	163.4	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	29% (7)	60% (5)
Overtime %	17%	29%	7%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	64%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	WLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	64%	86%	43%
Points / game	77.8	80.9	74.6
Allowed / game	73.7	72.3	75.1
Point differential	+4.0	+8.6	-0.6
Avg total	151.5	153.2	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	43%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	28	21	7	75%	81.4	71.7	+9.8
3	Cantu	29	19	10	66%	74.5	70.1	+4.4
4	Olimpia Milano	28	18	10	64%	77.8	73.7	+4.0
5	Pesaro	28	18	10	64%	75.5	74.5	+1.0
6	Sassari	29	18	11	62%	80.0	77.9	+2.1
7	Venezia	29	17	12	59%	76.4	74.4	+2.0
8	Virtus Bologna	29	17	12	59%	75.8	75.2	+0.6
9	Varese	29	15	14	52%	75.6	74.6	+1.0
10	Virtus Roma	29	13	16	45%	79.2	81.1	-2.0
11	Cremona	30	13	17	43%	72.3	75.6	-3.3
12	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.9	81.3	-4.4
13	Biella	29	12	17	41%	76.3	77.4	-1.1
14	Caserta	29	12	17	41%	77.3	79.2	-1.9
15	Treviso	29	12	17	41%	74.9	78.1	-3.1
16	Sutor Montegranaro	29	11	18	38%	78.1	79.6	-1.5
17	Teramo	29	11	18	38%	74.1	77.4	-3.3
18	Casale Monferrato	29	6	23	21%	73.0	76.4	-3.4
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	18	22	17	21	78
Olimpia Milano	18	30	26	17	91

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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