Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 68-79

19-16 14-18 15-16 20-29

Position#14

Record4-6

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game76.2

Virtus Roma

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#2

Record8-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game76.1

Lega ARound 11

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#12

87-78

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

100-69

100

+31

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

83-87

-4

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

76-64

+12

A26/11

Eurocup

Pistoia

#10

84-94

-10

A30/11

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

80-98

-18

A03/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

63-50

+13

H07/12

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

78-72

H09/12

Eurocup

Avellino

#13

70-74

-4

A13/12

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

66-80

-14

A17/12

Eurocup

20-26

24-11

23-15

27-22

20-19

30-13

21-16

18-20

18-22

26-29

11-21

23-12

25-14

17-17

18-25

19-20

22-20

25-29

21-30

14-18

21-28

24-22

18-10

21-17

8-12

16-11

18-14

24-21

14-18

22-19

12-23

22-25

16-10

20-16

16-21

12-16

17-23

21-20

155.3Avg total

78.7Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	75.4	76.2	151.6	-0.8	40%
Season at home (4)	75.0	68.5	143.5	+6.5	75%
Season away (6)	75.7	81.3	157.0	-5.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	76.6	155.3	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	74.8	146.2	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	71.2	77.1	148.3	-5.9	36%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	74.0	152.7	+4.7	71%
vs Weaker (11)	83.0	78.4	161.4	+4.6	64%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

83-64

+19

H16/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

74-80

-6

H20/11

Euroleague

Varese

#12

105-97

105

A23/11

Lega A

Barcelona

80-84

-4

A28/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#17

96-61

+35

H30/11

Lega A

Bayern

#24

83-81

H03/12

Euroleague

Sassari

112-111

112

111

A07/12

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#11

66-64

H11/12

Euroleague

Caserta

#16

78-71

H14/12

Lega A

Turow Zgorzelec

#27

101-96

101

A18/12

Euroleague

18-15

19-21

27-9

19-19

23-21

14-23

12-18

25-18

23-17

20-23

30-31

32-26

19-16

23-20

14-21

24-27

26-22

24-14

23-14

23-11

20-19

17-19

22-22

24-21

24-32

27-21

30-19

31-39

18-11

14-17

20-23

14-13

17-22

17-14

26-16

18-19

22-17

25-22

25-27

29-30

168.7Avg total

87.8Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	85.7	76.1	161.8	+9.6	80%
Season at home (5)	85.4	68.4	153.8	+17.0	100%
Season away (5)	86.0	83.8	169.8	+2.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	80.9	168.7	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	84.6	172.6	+3.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.6	81.3	153.9	-8.7	14%
vs Similar (10)	76.4	72.8	149.2	+3.6	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	87.3	77.3	164.7	+10.0	83%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.7	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.5	37.4	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.2	18.4	38.7	+1.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.5	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	18.8	35.4	-2.3	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	33%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#12

40-52

-12

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

50-37

+13

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

39-36

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

34-33

A26/11

Eurocup

Pistoia

#10

37-45

-8

A30/11

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

35-48

-13

A03/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

39-27

+12

H07/12

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

42-35

H09/12

Eurocup

Avellino

#13

34-48

-14

A13/12

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

28-37

-9

A17/12

Eurocup

77.6Avg total

37.8Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.4	37.4	76.8	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	39.1	75.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.0	74.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.5	37.5	72.0	-2.9	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.9	37.2	77.1	+2.7	64%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

37-36

H16/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

37-44

-7

H20/11

Euroleague

Varese

#12

43-40

A23/11

Lega A

Barcelona

42-36

A28/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#17

50-36

+14

H30/11

Lega A

Bayern

#24

37-38

-1

H03/12

Euroleague

Sassari

51-53

-2

A07/12

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#11

32-28

H11/12

Euroleague

Caserta

#16

34-36

-2

H14/12

Lega A

Turow Zgorzelec

#27

47-39

A18/12

Euroleague

79.6Avg total

41.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	36.1	73.7	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.9	78.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.6	41.1	77.7	-4.6	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.7	35.6	74.3	+3.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.8	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	17.2	35.7	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	18.5	34.9	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	14.6	34.3	+5.1	86%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.1	40.9	+0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	20.7	37.9	-3.6	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.1	17.4	41.5	+6.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	18.4	39.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	18.5	39.2	+2.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.4	47.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.4	75.5	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	35.6	75.2	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.9	38.8	75.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.8	71.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.3	38.6	73.9	-3.4	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.4	33.3	71.7	+5.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.3	38.2	78.5	+2.1	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	38.3	79.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	34.9	75.9	+6.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	42.1	84.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	42.3	89.1	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	45.8	93.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.0	40.1	76.1	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	48.2	39.0	87.2	+9.2	92%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
16/03/14	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	85-61
02/12/13	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	61-55
17/02/13	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	66-79
22/10/12	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	87-82
25/04/12	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	78-91
03/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	83-75
06/03/11	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	80-62
21/11/10	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	76-70
25/04/10	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma	64-66
03/01/10	Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano	77-69

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/14	A	Oldenburg	66-80
13/12/14	A	Avellino	70-74
09/12/14	H	Nymburk	78-72
07/12/14	H	Cremona	63-50
03/12/14	A	Real Betis	80-98
30/11/14	A	Pistoia	84-94
26/11/14	A	Nancy	76-64
22/11/14	A	Reggiana	83-87
18/11/14	H	Spirou Charleroi	100-69
16/11/14	H	Varese	87-78

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/14	A	Turow Zgorzelec	101-96
14/12/14	H	Caserta	78-71
11/12/14	H	Panathinaikos	66-64
07/12/14	A	Sassari	112-111
03/12/14	H	Bayern	83-81
30/11/14	H	Pesaro	96-61
28/11/14	A	Barcelona	80-84
23/11/14	A	Varese	105-97
20/11/14	H	Fenerbahce	74-80
16/11/14	H	Cantu	83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	40%	75%	17%
Points / game	75.4	75.0	75.7
Allowed / game	76.2	68.5	81.3
Point differential	-0.8	+6.5	-5.7
Avg total	151.6	143.5	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	80%	100%	60%
Points / game	85.7	85.4	86.0
Allowed / game	76.1	68.4	83.8
Point differential	+9.6	+17.0	+2.2
Avg total	161.8	153.8	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Venezia	11	9	2	82%	78.5	75.0	+3.5
2	Olimpia Milano	10	8	2	80%	85.7	76.1	+9.6
3	Reggiana	10	8	2	80%	82.5	77.3	+5.2
4	Brindisi	11	7	4	64%	77.6	72.3	+5.4
5	Trento	11	7	4	64%	83.7	80.7	+3.0
6	Sassari	10	6	4	60%	85.6	81.6	+4.0
7	Cremona	11	6	5	55%	76.5	73.7	+2.8
8	Avellino	11	6	5	55%	74.9	72.8	+2.1
9	Varese	11	5	6	45%	84.5	85.2	-0.6
10	Virtus Bologna	11	5	6	45%	73.6	78.0	-4.4
11	Virtus Roma	10	4	6	40%	75.4	76.2	-0.8
12	Cantu	11	4	7	36%	77.4	79.1	-1.7
13	Pistoia	11	4	7	36%	73.3	75.7	-2.5
14	Capo d'Orlando	11	4	7	36%	70.2	72.8	-2.6
15	Pesaro	11	3	8	27%	70.5	83.8	-13.3
16	Caserta	11	0	11	0%	72.8	80.8	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	19	14	15	20	68
Olimpia Milano	16	18	16	29	79

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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