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Vitoria vs CA Queluz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.7
PortugalLPBRound 9· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v CA Queluz
05 Dec 2026
VITO v CA Q
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
VITO103
CA Q96
08 Mar 2025
VITO104
CA Q77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 71
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 71
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 71
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 71
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 71
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 71
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 71
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 71
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 78
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 78
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 78
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 78
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 78
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 78
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
20-18
23-18
20-30
27-20
20-14
24-23
26-24
11-28
173.0Avg total
86.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.891.7179.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Season away (3)90.788.3179.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.686.4173.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.888.0174.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.093.5173.5-13.59%
vs Similar (13)83.183.8166.8-0.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)97.089.2186.2+7.867%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
VitoriaCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/11
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.644.688.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.589.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.646.488.0-4.736%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.784.9-0.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.1%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
CA Queluz
LWWLWLWLWW
#9
League position
#8
-5.3
Net rating
+0.7
83.7
Offensive rating
98.7
88.9
Defensive rating
98.0
45.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.1%
3-point %
36.4%
55.8%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 98.7Defence88.9 · 98.0Shooting45.6% · 53.4%3-point %29.1% · 36.4%Ball care14.7% · 13.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Vitoria   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
1
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Vitoria v CA Queluz103-96
18/10/25CA Queluz v Vitoria76-72
08/03/25Vitoria v CA Queluz104-77
13/11/24CA Queluz v Vitoria79-86
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOvarense81-89
07/11/26HCAB Madeira90-86
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.885.090.7
Allowed / game91.795.088.3
Point differential-3.8-10.0+2.3
Avg total179.5180.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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