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Vitoria vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-77
25-11 22-19 33-25 24-22
Position#9
Record5-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.1
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game89.1
PortugalLPBRound 16· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v CA Queluz
05 Dec 2026
VITO v CA Q
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
VITO103
CA Q96
08 Mar 2025
VITO104
CA Q77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 72
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 72
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 72
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 72
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
122-88
122
88
+34
116avg 72
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 72
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 72
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 72
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 72
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
64avg 72
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
25-16
28-12
26-22
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
18-21
14-20
17-30
20-18
14-24
25-20
17-21
18-27
29-20
38-20
28-25
27-23
18-20
22-26
22-32
20-27
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
22-17
23-25
19-19
22-12
15-22
16-28
22-18
15-17
176.3Avg total
87.5Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.784.1163.9-4.436%
Season at home (7)77.982.6160.4-4.729%
Season away (7)81.685.7167.3-4.143%
Last 10 (10)87.588.8176.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.291.0176.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.189.9167.0-12.89%
vs Similar (10)77.881.4159.2-3.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.173.9158.0+10.275%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 75
A17/12
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-81
62
81
-19
51avg 75
H21/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 75
H04/01
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 75
A11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
60-76
60
76
-16
50avg 75
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 75
H25/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 75
A02/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 75
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
63avg 75
A22/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
80avg 75
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
19-25
11-24
26-15
18-16
13-27
22-22
9-16
28-20
14-19
21-10
13-18
22-23
18-27
19-12
25-24
14-26
18-17
13-18
15-15
17-21
21-13
14-18
19-22
29-26
26-17
27-24
20-31
18-29
21-21
26-24
13-29
24-26
14-19
22-22
21-15
28-23
16-28
14-24
29-24
163.1Avg total
77.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.489.1171.5-6.727%
Season at home (8)79.683.5163.1-3.938%
Season away (7)85.695.4181.0-9.914%
Last 10 (10)77.685.5163.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.092.5173.5-11.59%
vs Similar (8)85.584.0169.5+1.562%
vs Weaker (10)81.174.9156.0+6.270%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
VitoriaCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/03
Taca da Liga
86.0Avg total
42.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.880.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.641.077.6-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)42.640.583.1+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.186.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.085.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.343.881.1-6.518%-
vs Similar (10)37.740.077.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.837.679.4+4.175%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/12
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/01
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A02/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H01/03
Taca da Liga
84.5Avg total
39.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.884.3-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.641.081.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.547.087.5-6.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.884.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.687.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.947.587.5-7.618%-
vs Similar (8)43.546.089.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (10)39.738.077.7+1.750%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.0
49.3%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.3
36.5%
32.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.816.1
67.6%
69.2%16.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.2
50.0%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
32.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
69.2%12.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LWLWLWLLLW
CA Queluz
LLLWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#11
-1.5
Net rating
-9.5
108.8
Offensive rating
97.7
110.3
Defensive rating
107.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.6%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
32.5%
63.5%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 97.7Defence110.3 · 107.3Shooting52.0% · 49.5%3-point %36.5% · 32.5%Ball care19.2% · 21.6%Off. rebounds33.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vitoria   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vitoria wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24CA Queluz v Vitoria79-86
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ABenfica68-85
15/02/25AEsgueira86-73
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
25/01/25AImortal82-105
18/01/25AVasco Da Gama122-88
11/01/25HOliveirense74-92
04/01/25HBenfica69-89
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92
18/12/24HCD Povoa94-72
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HSporting CP87-99
22/02/25AEsgueira81-82
15/02/25HSporting CP78-103
02/02/25ACD Povoa102-98
25/01/25HGalitos Barreiro71-74
18/01/25HGalitos Barreiro60-76
11/01/25AOvarense84-86
04/01/25HGalomar76-67
21/12/24HFC Porto62-81
17/12/24AFC Porto75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game79.777.981.6
Allowed / game84.182.685.7
Point differential-4.4-4.7-4.1
Avg total163.9160.4167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game82.479.685.6
Allowed / game89.183.595.4
Point differential-6.7-3.9-9.9
Avg total171.5163.1181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1615194%90.475.6+14.9
2 FC Porto1412286%88.878.1+10.6
3 Sporting CP1510567%84.778.0+6.7
4 Ovarense149564%79.477.3+2.1
5 Oliveirense159660%86.479.6+6.8
6 Galitos Barreiro157847%77.977.9-0.1
7 Esgueira167944%82.287.5-5.3
8 Imortal156940%77.485.5-8.1
9 Vitoria145936%79.784.1-4.4
10 CA Queluz1541127%82.489.1-6.7
11 CD Povoa1531220%73.281.8-8.6
12 Galomar1421214%72.881.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria25223324104
CA Queluz1119252277
← all games of the day
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