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Vitoria vs Galomar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-56
17-9 19-13 24-22 22-12
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.6
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.9
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vitoria v Galomar
19 Apr 2025
VITO85
GALO74
16 Dec 2023
VITO82
GALO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galomar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
75avg 68
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 68
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
93avg 68
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 68
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 68
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 68
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
no box
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 68
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 68
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 68
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-28
27-21
21-23
22-20
21-22
28-15
19-25
17-17
23-13
30-22
26-14
17-18
20-24
15-12
23-16
13-28
15-25
23-24
21-17
19-20
27-15
24-22
12-22
17-24
11-19
17-6
16-12
26-18
15-20
16-20
17-24
25-11
14-15
18-24
15-14
29-23
7-22
16-13
14-20
158.0Avg total
79.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.481.6159.0-4.144%
Season at home (5)77.877.0154.8+0.860%
Season away (4)77.087.2164.2-10.225%
Last 10 (10)79.079.0158.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.9101.3183.1-19.40%
vs Similar (12)90.789.6180.2+1.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.478.5164.9+7.980%
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
94-80
94
80
+14
90avg 67
H30/09
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
66avg 67
A07/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
74-87
74
87
-13
59avg 67
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 67
H21/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 67
A28/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 67
H04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
44avg 67
A18/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 67
H25/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
88avg 67
A02/12
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 67
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
23-14
23-24
20-25
17-14
19-17
20-23
23-20
22-22
14-24
23-16
15-25
15-25
15-18
21-20
25-15
15-30
15-23
16-16
23-7
8-17
15-20
30-24
17-17
21-28
16-24
16-16
21-16
18-24
12-23
21-18
17-16
20-22
25-7
16-17
21-19
25-20
20-24
19-23
25-31
157.6Avg total
77.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.978.9155.8-2.033%
Season at home (4)77.079.2156.2-2.225%
Season away (5)76.878.6155.4-1.840%
Last 10 (10)77.580.1157.6-2.630%
Last 5 (5)76.681.2157.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.280.6153.8-7.420%
vs Similar (4)76.578.5155.0-2.025%
vs Weaker (20)86.574.6161.1+11.990%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
VitoriaGalomar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
78.1Avg total
37.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.885.8+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.488.5+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.383.0-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.278.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.350.490.7-10.114%-
vs Similar (12)43.742.285.8+1.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.638.182.7+6.580%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H30/09
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H21/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A28/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A18/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H25/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A02/12
LPB
Imortal
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
77.6Avg total
36.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.937.274.1-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)41.241.282.5+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.377.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.843.276.0-10.420%-
vs Similar (4)37.042.579.5-5.525%-
vs Weaker (20)41.237.778.9+3.550%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.2
49.0%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.9
31.7%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.612.8
62.1%
69.3%12.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.2
52.9%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
33.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
69.3%14.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LWLLWLWWWL
Galomar
LWLLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#10
-3.4
Net rating
-3.9
99.4
Offensive rating
102.9
102.9
Defensive rating
106.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
28.2%
53.7%
Assist %
45.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 102.9Defence102.9 · 106.8Shooting48.4% · 49.4%3-point %31.7% · 28.2%Ball care20.9% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Vitoria   ■ Galomar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vitoria wins
0
Galomar wins
No previous meetings.
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AEsgueira66-78
01/12/23HPortimonense72-64
25/11/23AImortal74-82
18/11/23HCD Povoa74-83 OT
12/11/23APortimonense82-79
04/11/23AFC Porto72-94
28/10/23HLusitania75-70
21/10/23AEsgueira96-66
14/10/23HLusitania90-82
08/10/23HSporting CP89-92
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AImortal89-98
02/12/23AImortal82-65
25/11/23HFC Porto68-81
18/11/23AEsgueira74-84
04/11/23HBenfica70-78
28/10/23AOliveirense69-76
21/10/23HPortimonense76-78
14/10/23AEsgueira74-87
07/10/23ACD Povoa79-74
30/09/23HLusitania94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game77.477.877.0
Allowed / game81.677.087.2
Point differential-4.1+0.8-10.2
Avg total159.0154.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Galomar
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game76.977.076.8
Allowed / game78.979.278.6
Point differential-2.0-2.2-1.8
Avg total155.8156.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto880100%88.971.8+17.1
2 Sporting CP98189%95.281.3+13.9
3 Oliveirense76186%82.172.3+9.9
4 Benfica96367%88.867.9+20.9
5 Portimonense95456%73.176.1-3.0
6 CD Povoa94544%83.386.3-3.0
7 Vitoria94544%77.481.6-4.1
8 Ovarense94544%74.879.2-4.4
9 Galomar93633%76.978.9-2.0
10 Imortal93633%71.280.9-9.7
11 Esgueira91811%71.688.2-16.7
12 Lusitania8080%71.187.8-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1719242282
Galomar913221256
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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