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Vitoria vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-83 (OT)
17-24 11-19 17-6 16-12 13-22
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game87.5
PortugalLPBRound 7· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vitoria v CD Povoa
01 Nov 2026
VITO68
CD P75
18 Dec 2024
VITO94
CD P72
15 Dec 2024
VITO75
CD P78
18 Nov 2023
VITO74
CD P83
08 Apr 2023
VITO96
CD P92
17 Dec 2022
VITO79
CD P76
11 Dec 2021
VITO65
CD P77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
82-119
82
119
-37
no box
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
no box
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
66avg 71
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-107
66
107
-41
46avg 71
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
75avg 71
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 71
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
93avg 71
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 71
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 71
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 71
A12/11
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
17-24
25-31
15-35
32-33
15-35
28-23
26-21
28-16
20-18
13-24
18-18
17-28
22-25
10-25
17-29
18-20
23-28
27-21
21-23
22-20
21-22
28-15
19-25
17-17
23-13
30-22
26-14
17-18
20-24
15-12
23-16
13-28
15-25
23-24
21-17
19-20
27-15
24-22
12-22
172.9Avg total
83.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.584.2163.7-4.750%
Season at home (3)81.079.3160.3+1.767%
Season away (3)78.089.0167.0-11.033%
Last 10 (10)83.289.7172.9-6.550%
Last 5 (5)83.078.2161.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.599.9183.4-16.412%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.088.9178.9+1.162%
vs Weaker (9)90.679.4170.0+11.189%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
46-97
46
97
-51
no box
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 75
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 75
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 75
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 75
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 75
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 75
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 75
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
12-20
8-28
10-25
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
167.7Avg total
79.9Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.287.5172.7-2.333%
Season at home (3)76.791.3168.0-14.70%
Season away (3)93.783.7177.3+10.067%
Last 10 (10)79.987.8167.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)88.687.0175.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.390.3160.7-20.011%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.574.7154.2+4.869%
vs Weaker (8)83.074.9157.9+8.162%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
VitoriaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Taca da Liga
86.9Avg total
41.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.387.4+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.342.990.2+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.984.2-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.886.9-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.050.191.1-9.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.241.886.0+2.562%-
vs Weaker (9)46.639.686.1+7.078%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
83.7Avg total
38.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.778.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.937.072.9-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)40.644.985.5-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.083.7-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.487.8-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.846.981.7-12.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.837.575.3+0.254%-
vs Weaker (8)42.238.981.1+3.462%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.2
48.1%
51.0%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.4%
33.5%27.8
🏀 Free throws23.615.0
63.5%
69.3%15.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.7
55.4%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.6%
33.5%23.6
🏀 Free throws23.714.9
62.7%
69.3%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WLWWWLLWLL
CD Povoa
WWLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#6
-1.7
Net rating
+0.4
102.2
Offensive rating
105.5
103.9
Defensive rating
105.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
34.6%
52.2%
Assist %
45.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 105.5Defence103.9 · 105.1Shooting49.5% · 54.1%3-point %34.4% · 34.6%Ball care19.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Vitoria   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Vitoria v CD Povoa96-92
11/03/23CD Povoa v Vitoria97-84
17/12/22Vitoria v CD Povoa79-76
01/10/22CD Povoa v Vitoria76-86
26/03/22CD Povoa v Vitoria87-81
11/12/21Vitoria v CD Povoa65-77
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23APortimonense82-79
04/11/23AFC Porto72-94
28/10/23HLusitania75-70
21/10/23AEsgueira96-66
14/10/23HLusitania90-82
08/10/23HSporting CP89-92
04/10/23ABenfica66-107
23/09/23HOvarense79-76
14/05/23HFC Porto101-112
10/05/23AFC Porto82-119
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
10/05/23ABenfica46-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game79.581.078.0
Allowed / game84.279.389.0
Point differential-4.7+1.7-11.0
Avg total163.7160.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game85.276.793.7
Allowed / game87.591.383.7
Point differential-2.3-14.7+10.0
Avg total172.7168.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto550100%92.671.8+20.8
2 Sporting CP660100%96.081.0+15.0
3 Oliveirense54180%76.269.2+7.0
4 Portimonense54180%75.676.0-0.4
5 Benfica64267%88.869.5+19.3
6 Ovarense63350%79.079.8-0.8
7 Vitoria63350%79.584.2-4.7
8 Galomar62433%78.080.0-2.0
9 CD Povoa62433%85.287.5-2.3
10 Imortal72529%70.681.7-11.1
11 Lusitania6060%75.790.2-14.5
12 Esgueira6060%70.290.0-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vitoria171117161374
CD Povoa24196122283
← all games of the day
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