Vitoria vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	82.5	85.2	167.8	-2.8	50%
Season at home (2)	84.0	84.0	168.0	+0.0	50%
Season away (2)	81.0	86.5	167.5	-5.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	91.8	179.9	-3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	84.6	168.6	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	85.1	100.7	185.9	-15.6	14%
vs Similar (15)	88.2	88.0	176.2	+0.2	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	94.0	80.9	174.9	+13.1	86%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLusitania

Date

Competition

FC Porto

97-92

no box

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

77-82

-5

no box

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

74-107

107

-33

no box

A06/05

LPB

Sporting CP

65-99

-34

no box

A10/05

LPB

Sporting CP

73-93

-20

no box

H14/05

LPB

Imortal

66-80

-14

-2avg 57

H23/09

LPB

Galomar

#10

80-94

-14

71avg 57

A30/09

LPB

Ovarense

82-85

-3

81avg 57

H07/10

LPB

Vitoria

82-90

-8

62avg 57

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

83-107

107

-24

75avg 57

A21/10

LPB

32-18

16-26

24-21

25-27

17-14

16-25

26-21

18-22

18-31

18-26

19-24

19-26

22-19

14-29

11-24

18-27

27-15

21-28

7-23

17-20

16-14

15-27

18-19

17-28

14-23

24-23

25-20

22-18

21-18

12-28

27-21

20-22

22-21

15-28

25-19

23-23

20-27

24-25

16-32

170.8Avg total

77.9Scored

92.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.8	91.5	169.2	-13.8	0%
Season at home (2)	74.0	82.5	156.5	-8.5	0%
Season away (2)	81.5	100.5	182.0	-19.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	92.9	170.8	-15.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	91.2	169.8	-12.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	76.0	87.5	163.4	-11.5	21%
vs Similar (5)	78.6	75.6	154.2	+3.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.4	43.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.0	25.1	47.1	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.3	39.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	22.6	47.9	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	24.6	45.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	25.7	19.6	45.3	+6.1	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.6	38.4	-4.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.7	20.5	39.1	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

42-49

-7

A15/04

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

47-37

+10

A22/04

LPB

Esgueira

49-40

H06/05

LPB

FC Porto

42-53

-11

A10/05

LPB

FC Porto

47-68

-21

H14/05

LPB

Ovarense

48-34

+14

H23/09

LPB

Benfica

39-53

-14

A04/10

LPB

Sporting CP

41-48

-7

H08/10

LPB

Lusitania

#12

43-42

H14/10

Taca da Liga

Esgueira

40-30

+10

A21/10

LPB

89.2Avg total

43.8Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	43.3	87.8	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.6	44.0	91.6	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	42.5	83.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.9	49.7	92.6	-6.9	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	48.0	39.9	87.9	+8.1	86%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

48-44

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

33-39

-6

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

36-57

-21

A06/05

LPB

Sporting CP

36-48

-12

A10/05

LPB

Sporting CP

45-42

H14/05

LPB

Imortal

33-34

-1

H23/09

LPB

Galomar

#10

31-51

-20

A30/09

LPB

Ovarense

43-36

H07/10

LPB

Vitoria

42-43

-1

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

43-50

-7

A21/10

LPB

83.4Avg total

39.0Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.1	79.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	41.9	77.6	-6.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.8	42.6	80.3	-4.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.9	45.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.9	24.1	46.1	-2.2	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.6	19.7	43.3	+3.9	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	22.5	41.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	23.9	43.6	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.9	44.0	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	26.2	44.2	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-3.9	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.6	45.8	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.7	45.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	24.6	45.8	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	27.7	48.3	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	23.1	45.5	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	46.5	90.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	44.9	90.4	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	48.2	91.4	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	46.4	90.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.2	85.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.3	51.0	93.3	-8.7	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.4	47.2	91.6	-2.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	45.6	40.0	85.6	+5.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	43.8	81.6	-5.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	42.2	80.2	-4.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	45.5	83.3	-7.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	48.5	87.4	-9.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	48.4	88.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.9	44.8	82.7	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 83.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.0	49.3%	51.0%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.2	34.6%	33.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	24.6	16.0	65.0%	69.3%	16.0

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 77.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.0	54.1%	51.0%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.2	30.0%	33.5%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.8	77.5%	69.3%	15.8

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	23.2	54.5%	51.0%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	7.8	30.7%	33.5%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.2	68.3%	69.3%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	23.2	54.2%	51.0%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	9.2	42.2%	33.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.4	72.6%	69.3%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	23.2	54.5%	51.0%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	7.8	30.7%	33.5%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.2	68.3%	69.3%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	23.2	54.2%	51.0%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	9.2	42.2%	33.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.4	72.6%	69.3%	16.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vitoria

WWLLWLLWWW

Lusitania

LLLLLLLLLW

League position

#12

-0.5

Net rating

-16.3

103.9

Offensive rating

96.9

104.4

Defensive rating

113.2

50.3%

Effective FG%

50.5%

51.3%

Opp. effective FG%

57.3%

19.1%

Turnover %

22.9%

31.2%

Off. rebound %

23.4%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.33

34.6%

3-point %

30.0%

49.3%

Assist %

51.5%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Vitoria ■ Lusitania

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/23	Vitoria v Lusitania	90-82
08/01/23	Lusitania v Vitoria	90-86 OT
22/10/22	Vitoria v Lusitania	82-89
03/01/22	Vitoria v Lusitania	75-73
16/10/21	Lusitania v Vitoria	80-71
24/01/21	Lusitania v Vitoria	87-70
24/10/20	Vitoria v Lusitania	71-81
04/01/20	Lusitania v Vitoria	79-92
12/10/19	Vitoria v Lusitania	68-69
05/03/19	Lusitania v Vitoria	84-91

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/23	A	Esgueira	96-66
14/10/23	H	Lusitania	90-82
08/10/23	H	Sporting CP	89-92
04/10/23	A	Benfica	66-107
23/09/23	H	Ovarense	79-76
14/05/23	H	FC Porto	101-112
10/05/23	A	FC Porto	82-119
06/05/23	H	Esgueira	101-99
22/04/23	A	Sangalhos	86-81
15/04/23	A	Imortal	91-84

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/23	A	Sporting CP	83-107
14/10/23	A	Vitoria	82-90
07/10/23	H	Ovarense	82-85
30/09/23	A	Galomar	80-94
23/09/23	H	Imortal	66-80
14/05/23	H	Sporting CP	73-93
10/05/23	A	Sporting CP	65-99
06/05/23	A	Benfica	74-107
29/04/23	A	Imortal	77-82
22/04/23	H	FC Porto	97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLW	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	82.5	84.0	81.0
Allowed / game	85.2	84.0	86.5
Point differential	-2.8	+0.0	-5.5
Avg total	167.8	168.0	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	77.8	74.0	81.5
Allowed / game	91.5	82.5	100.5
Point differential	-13.8	-8.5	-19.0
Avg total	169.2	156.5	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	3	3	0	100%	92.0	73.3	+18.7
2	Sporting CP	4	4	0	100%	94.5	83.2	+11.2
3	Oliveirense	3	3	0	100%	75.7	66.0	+9.7
4	Portimonense	3	3	0	100%	81.0	76.0	+5.0
5	Benfica	4	2	2	50%	88.0	72.2	+15.8
6	Galomar	4	2	2	50%	82.2	81.5	+0.8
7	Ovarense	4	2	2	50%	84.2	84.8	-0.5
8	Vitoria	4	2	2	50%	82.5	85.2	-2.8
9	Imortal	4	1	3	25%	75.0	78.2	-3.2
10	CD Povoa	4	1	3	25%	82.8	87.0	-4.2
11	Lusitania	4	0	4	0%	77.8	91.5	-13.8
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	0%	71.6	94.2	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	17	20	15	23	75
Lusitania	18	24	12	16	70

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Vitoria vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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