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Vitoria vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-72
24-21 19-13 15-20 16-18
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game85.3
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game94.3
PortugalLPBRound 4· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Portimonense
24 Oct 2026
VITO74
PORT72
01 Dec 2023
VITO72
PORT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
69-115
69
115
-46
56avg 72
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
77avg 72
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 72
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
71avg 72
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 72
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 72
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 72
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 72
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 72
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 72
A18/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
15-29
19-29
12-25
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
171.0Avg total
82.0Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.385.3160.7-10.033%
Season at home (1)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
Season away (2)77.584.5162.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)82.089.0171.0-7.040%
Last 5 (5)79.885.2165.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.591.2169.7-12.721%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.985.3174.1+3.671%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 75
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
63avg 75
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 75
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
60avg 75
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 75
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 75
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 75
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 75
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#4
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 75
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 75
H17/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-24
27-7
19-16
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
155.5Avg total
75.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.794.3173.0-15.70%
Season at home (2)82.589.0171.5-6.50%
Season away (1)71.0105.0176.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)75.180.4155.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)78.688.2166.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.982.7159.6-5.830%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.475.9151.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (12)81.475.2156.7+6.267%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
VitoriaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
80.3Avg total
37.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.185.2-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.482.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.888.3-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.580.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.074.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.544.884.3-5.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.442.787.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#4
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
79.6Avg total
36.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.377.1-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.039.578.5-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.175.8-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.079.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.287.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.143.581.6-5.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.039.877.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker (12)37.535.573.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.019.8
46.0%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
31.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.817.3
64.6%
71.1%17.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
51.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.9
29.9%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.412.5
58.4%
71.1%12.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWWLWLLWL
Portimonense
LLLLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#11
-7.9
Net rating
-8.4
84.8
Offensive rating
79.8
92.6
Defensive rating
88.3
45.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
21.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.2%
3-point %
29.9%
51.8%
Assist %
77.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence84.8 · 79.8Defence92.6 · 88.3Shooting45.8% · 48.5%3-point %30.2% · 29.9%Ball care14.8% · 21.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Vitoria   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
0
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Portimonense v Vitoria72-81
01/12/23Vitoria v Portimonense72-64
12/11/23Portimonense v Vitoria79-82
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
14/03/26HFC Porto69-115
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73
07/04/26HImortal B76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game75.371.077.5
Allowed / game85.387.084.5
Point differential-10.0-16.0-7.0
Avg total160.7158.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.782.571.0
Allowed / game94.389.0105.0
Point differential-15.7-6.5-34.0
Avg total173.0171.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto330100%99.390.0+9.3
2 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
3 Braga32167%93.079.7+13.3
4 Benfica32167%87.377.0+10.3
5 CD Povoa32167%75.370.3+5.0
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CA Queluz21150%90.096.5-6.5
8 Oliveirense21150%79.087.0-8.0
9 CAB Madeira31233%80.080.0+0.0
10 Vitoria31233%75.385.3-10.0
11 Portimonense3030%78.794.3-15.7
12 Esgueira3030%71.789.0-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2419151674
Portimonense2113201872
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