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VMI vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-78
36-34 22-44
Position#364
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#149
Record7-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · VMI v Samford
01 Jan 2026
VMI58
SAMF78
27 Feb 2025
VMI83
SAMF95
10 Feb 2024
VMI63
SAMF102
18 Feb 2023
VMI61
SAMF96
20 Jan 2022
VMI99
SAMF80
13 Feb 2021
VMI85
SAMF56
04 Jan 2020
VMI75
SAMF78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
89-36
89
36
+53
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
66-19
37-39
30-30
26-49
28-38
38-44
42-55
33-31
37-47
20-45
28-36
32-45
25-37
49-18
40-18
51-32
35-38
43-44
47-53
150.0Avg total
74.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.176.2154.3+1.838%
Season at home (5)94.057.4151.4+36.680%
Season away (8)68.188.0156.1-19.912%
Last 10 (10)74.775.3150.0-0.630%
Last 5 (5)74.073.2147.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.778.0146.7-9.325%
vs Similar (3)79.381.3160.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (6)83.064.3147.3+18.7100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
106-51
106
51
+55
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
40-34
30-41
38-27
33-41
29-36
32-40
40-41
37-32
41-31
14-42
31-47
31-34
26-49
42-50
51-40
60-18
46-33
41-17
44-32
149.6Avg total
75.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.275.8153.1+1.454%
Season at home (5)85.667.8153.4+17.880%
Season away (8)72.080.9152.9-8.938%
Last 10 (10)75.773.9149.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.272.4149.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.083.7142.7-24.70%
vs Similar (15)74.777.3152.0-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.570.5158.0+16.991%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
VMISamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/12
NCAA
75.1Avg total
36.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.070.9-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.532.970.4+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)32.838.771.4-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.275.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.738.871.5-6.035%-
vs Similar (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (6)40.328.568.8+11.8100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H19/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.772.4-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.134.173.2+5.046%-
Last 30 away (17)33.238.671.9-5.435%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.071.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.269.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.740.367.0-13.70%-
vs Similar (15)32.537.570.1-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.733.777.5+10.082%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
VMI wins
8
Samford wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25VMI v Samford83-95
10/01/25Samford v VMI81-68
10/02/24VMI v Samford63-102
13/01/24Samford v VMI134-96
18/02/23VMI v Samford61-96
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
13/02/21VMI v Samford85-56
31/12/20Samford v VMI84-71
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ARadford90-97
09/12/25HLoyola Maryland86-70
06/12/25HChristendom89-36
29/11/25AUCF Knights57-82
26/11/25ABowling Green48-81
24/11/25ABuffalo70-78
23/11/25AStetson80-99
20/11/25ARichmond Spiders54-87
15/11/25HJacksonville Dolphins67-69
12/11/25HVirginia106-54
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HReinhardt85-49
15/12/25HBryan106-51
08/12/25HCornell93-90
06/12/25AVCU Rams57-83
26/11/25AUtah Valley State45-89
25/11/25AGeorgia State78-63
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT
15/11/25AArkansas75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%80%12%
Points / game78.194.068.1
Allowed / game76.257.488.0
Point differential+1.8+36.6-19.9
Avg total154.3151.4156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%80%38%
Points / game77.285.672.0
Allowed / game75.867.880.9
Point differential+1.4+17.8-8.9
Avg total153.1153.4152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %15%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1410471%78.370.5+7.8
2 East Tennessee St149564%78.266.2+12.0
3 Wofford149564%75.673.4+2.2
4 Mercer148657%82.973.5+9.4
5 Samford137654%77.275.8+1.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs136746%77.771.3+6.4
7 VMI135838%78.176.2+1.8
8 Western Carolina124833%77.081.2-4.2
9 NC Greensboro134931%78.479.1-0.7
10 Citadel1441029%70.873.7-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI362258
Samford344478
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