PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Washington faces Utah Tech on 19 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Washington as the clear favourite, giving it an 88% chance of winning, a reflection of their undefeated 2-0 season, 83.5 points scored per game and 70.0 allowed per game, and their top-tier 69th league position. Utah Tech, meanwhile, sits at 315th with a 1-3 record, 80.5 points per game and 87.2 allowed per game, and has lost all three of its road outings, scoring only 73.0 and conceding 99.0 on the road. Washington's last five games include two home victories, 77-64 over Miss. Valley St. and 90-76 over Colgate, and a recent loss to Wisconsin 82-85 away, while Utah Tech's recent outings show a 73-79 loss to California, a 86-118 defeat to Utah State, and a 103-52 home win over Grace College Lancers. The only prior meeting was in 2022 when Washington won 78-67. Pythia projects a 82-68 scoreline, 150.6 total points, an 88% probability that Washington will win and a 12% chance for Utah Tech, with a 2% overtime probability. The projected spread is 14 points in Washington's favour, and the model assigns a 88% probability that Washington will cover. The game will be a decisive showcase of Washington's early-season dominance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 83.5 | 70.0 | 153.5 | +13.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 83.5 | 70.0 | 153.5 | +13.5 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 74.4 | 152.7 | +3.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 77.8 | 160.0 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 69.0 | 79.7 | 148.7 | -10.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 77.8 | 75.8 | 153.6 | +2.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 78.2 | 67.1 | 145.3 | +11.1 | 70% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 80.5 | 87.2 | 167.8 | -6.8 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 103.0 | 52.0 | 155.0 | +51.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 73.0 | 99.0 | 172.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.7 | 84.7 | 165.4 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 87.0 | 165.8 | -8.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 77.5 | 91.0 | 168.5 | -13.5 | 12% |
| vs Similar (16) | 72.4 | 73.4 | 145.8 | -1.0 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 86.3 | 67.8 | 154.2 | +18.5 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.9 | 36.2 | 71.1 | -1.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.3 | 34.9 | 72.2 | +2.4 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.1 | 37.6 | 69.7 | -5.6 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.0 | 36.6 | 71.6 | -1.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 39.6 | 76.0 | -3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 31.8 | 39.7 | 71.5 | -7.8 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 33.6 | 37.1 | 70.7 | -3.6 | 36% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 38.5 | 32.8 | 71.3 | +5.7 | 60% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 36.4 | 33.9 | 70.3 | +2.6 | 48% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.1 | 30.9 | 70.0 | +8.1 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.0 | 36.7 | 70.7 | -2.7 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (9) | 40.0 | 36.8 | 76.8 | +3.2 | 44% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 35.8 | 77.2 | +5.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 33.9 | 37.0 | 70.9 | -3.1 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 34.0 | 32.8 | 66.8 | +1.2 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 46.0 | 33.3 | 79.3 | +12.7 | 83% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | California | 73-79 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Utah State | 86-118 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Grace College Lancers | 103-52 |
| 03/11/26 | A | New Mexico | 60-100 |
| 14/03/26 | A | California Baptist | 72-86 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Abilene Christian | 80-74 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Utah Valley State | 101-104 OT |
| 01/03/26 | A | Southern Utah | 67-81 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Abilene Christian | 85-81 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Tarleton | 80-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 83.5 | 83.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 70.0 | 70.0 | - |
| Point differential | +13.5 | +13.5 | - |
| Avg total | 153.5 | 153.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLL | 25% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.5 | 103.0 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.2 | 52.0 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -6.8 | +51.0 | -26.0 |
| Avg total | 167.8 | 155.0 | 172.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UCLA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 101.3 | 58.3 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  Nebraska | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 60.7 | +28.3 |
| 3 |  Rutgers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 56.3 | +28.3 |
| 4 |  Michigan State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 66.2 | +26.8 |
| 5 |  Oregon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 68.7 | +26.3 |
| 6 |  Indiana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 68.0 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 58.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Minnesota | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 58.5 | +20.2 |
| 9 |  USC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.3 | 71.3 | +17.0 |
| 10 | Washington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 |
| 11 |  Illinois | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 104.5 | 71.2 | +33.2 |
| 12 |  Purdue | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.5 | 69.0 | +9.5 |
| 13 |  Northwestern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.8 | 61.8 | +9.0 |
| 14 |  Iowa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 64.7 | +20.3 |
| 15 |  Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.7 | 74.3 | +7.3 |
| 16 |  Penn State | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.6 | 75.6 | +2.0 |
| 17 |  Ohio State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 79.2 | +1.8 |
| 18 |  Maryland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.3 | 80.0 | +4.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Utah Valley State | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 78.0 | +14.5 |
| 2 |  UT Arlington | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 69.2 | +19.8 |
| 3 |  Tarleton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.2 | 70.5 | +10.8 |
| 4 |  Southern Utah | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 96.8 | 69.6 | +27.2 |
| 5 |  Abilene Christian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 71.0 | 83.7 | -12.7 |
| 6 | Utah Tech | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 80.5 | 87.2 | -6.8 |
| 7 |  California Baptist | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.8 | 77.0 | -10.2 |
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