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Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.0/10
🧊 Cold
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Golden State Warriors
27 Mar 2027
WAS v GSW
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
WAS117
GSW125
04 Nov 2024
WAS112
GSW125
27 Feb 2024
WAS112
GSW123
16 Jan 2023
WAS118
GSW127
27 Mar 2022
WAS123
GSW115
21 Apr 2021
WAS118
GSW114
03 Feb 2020
WAS117
GSW125
24 Jan 2019
WAS118
GSW126
28 Feb 2018
WAS101
GSW109
28 Feb 2017
WAS112
GSW108
03 Feb 2016
WAS121
GSW134
24 Feb 2015
WAS107
GSW114
05 Jan 2014
WAS96
GSW112
08 Dec 2012
WAS97
GSW101
05 Mar 2012
WAS100
GSW120
02 Mar 2011
WAS102
GSW106
06 Apr 2010
WAS112
GSW94
25 Nov 2008
WAS124
GSW100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 97
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 97
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 97
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 97
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 97
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
140-144 OT
140
144
-4
136avg 97
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
32-33
29-31
29-30
31-27
223.3Avg total
107.6Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.0115.8225.8-5.831%
Season at home (5)114.0114.2228.2-0.240%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)107.6115.7223.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)111.8126.6238.4-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.4128.6240.0-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 98
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 98
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 98
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 98
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 98
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 98
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 98
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 98
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
108-115
108
115
-7
97avg 98
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
85-123
85
123
-38
69avg 98
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
20-35
31-21
28-29
29-30
14-38
19-25
27-34
25-26
227.4Avg total
118.2Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.7112.4229.1+4.362%
Season at home (7)120.6105.3225.9+15.386%
Season away (6)112.2120.7232.8-8.533%
Last 10 (10)118.2109.2227.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)115.4108.8224.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7117.6222.2-12.911%
vs Similar (9)111.9116.2228.1-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)123.0114.2237.2+8.883%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Washington WizardsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H13/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
54.9Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.462.2116.6-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.262.5117.7-7.48%-
Last 30 away (17)53.861.9115.8-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)54.959.6114.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.0114.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.265.0119.2-10.85%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A14/11
NBA
108.4Avg total
55.7Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.856.6111.4-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.554.8111.3+1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)53.258.2111.4-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)55.752.7108.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.2104.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.057.6108.6-6.622%-
vs Similar (9)52.056.4108.4-4.411%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)59.756.0115.7+3.750%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.9
56.2%
54.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.0
34.2%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
77.3%19.6
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.716.7
41.0%
35.1%50.1
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
77.3%19.0
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLWWLL
Golden State Warriors
LLWWWWWWWW
#23
League position
#11
-4.3
Net rating
+3.0
111.7
Offensive rating
112.8
116.0
Defensive rating
109.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.2%
3-point %
41.0%
57.3%
Assist %
69.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 112.8Defence116.0 · 109.8Shooting54.4% · 57.4%3-point %34.2% · 41.0%Ball care13.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 19.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDetroit Pistons140-144 OT
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs85-123
12/11/26AHouston Rockets108-115
10/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans138-87
08/11/26HOrlando Magic126-119 OT
06/11/26HMiami Heat120-100
03/11/26HPhoenix Suns116-113
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%40%25%
Points / game110.0114.0107.5
Allowed / game115.8114.2116.8
Point differential-5.8-0.2-9.2
Avg total225.8228.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game116.7120.6112.2
Allowed / game112.4105.3120.7
Point differential+4.3+15.3-8.5
Avg total229.1225.9232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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