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Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 117-125
23-34 34-30 29-34 31-27
Position#30
Record16-50
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game123.7
vs
Position#20
Record32-35
FormLLLLL
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Golden State Warriors
27 Mar 2027
WAS v GSW
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
WAS117
GSW125
04 Nov 2024
WAS112
GSW125
27 Feb 2024
WAS112
GSW123
16 Jan 2023
WAS118
GSW127
27 Mar 2022
WAS123
GSW115
21 Apr 2021
WAS118
GSW114
03 Feb 2020
WAS117
GSW125
24 Jan 2019
WAS118
GSW126
28 Feb 2018
WAS101
GSW109
28 Feb 2017
WAS112
GSW108
03 Feb 2016
WAS121
GSW134
24 Feb 2015
WAS107
GSW114
05 Jan 2014
WAS96
GSW112
08 Dec 2012
WAS97
GSW101
05 Mar 2012
WAS100
GSW120
02 Mar 2011
WAS102
GSW106
06 Apr 2010
WAS112
GSW94
25 Nov 2008
WAS124
GSW100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
98-119
98
119
-21
89avg 98
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
96-126
96
126
-30
78avg 98
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
125-134
125
134
-9
113avg 98
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
118-123
118
123
-5
96avg 98
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
109-126
109
126
-17
84avg 98
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
112-122
112
122
-10
79avg 98
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
118-138
118
138
-20
99avg 98
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
129-150
129
150
-21
117avg 98
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
131-136 OT
131
136
-5
118avg 98
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-111
100
111
-11
92avg 98
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
23-25
21-40
34-19
26-37
30-39
24-22
16-28
33-25
31-36
28-37
33-36
30-26
21-34
29-34
38-29
24-27
30-30
27-40
28-29
23-37
26-30
35-26
28-29
35-32
30-35
28-35
25-36
29-40
33-36
35-37
32-37
26-36
30-27
25-33
42-27
27-29
14-35
31-29
28-18
242.1Avg total
113.6Scored
128.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.7123.7236.3-11.024%
Season at home (33)114.1123.1237.2-8.933%
Season away (33)111.2124.3235.5-13.115%
Last 10 (10)113.6128.5242.1-14.90%
Last 5 (5)118.0131.4249.4-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)110.4124.1234.5-13.712%
vs Similar (6)116.5118.7235.2-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-113
109
113
-4
103avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
101-129
101
129
-28
95avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
101-114
101
114
-13
86avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
109avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 106
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
116-119
116
119
-3
107avg 106
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
113avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
117-127
117
127
-10
99avg 106
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
20-15
33-31
37-36
34-31
40-22
22-23
37-36
20-33
27-32
25-34
29-30
31-19
25-23
23-35
22-37
30-20
21-27
30-35
20-19
28-34
26-33
29-19
14-18
27-29
28-30
29-32
32-28
30-26
21-31
32-32
35-29
28-31
20-38
39-31
30-27
35-21
19-24
26-38
27-27
229.1Avg total
112.0Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)115.1114.4229.5+0.748%
Season at home (34)117.9115.6233.6+2.356%
Season away (33)112.2113.1225.2-0.939%
Last 10 (10)112.0117.1229.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)112.2118.0230.2-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)117.3116.8234.1+0.644%
vs Similar (13)108.3113.0221.3-4.731%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)124.9117.1242.0+7.862%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Washington WizardsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A14/03
NBA
119.2Avg total
54.1Scored
65.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.163.1117.3-9.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.359.5112.9-6.233%-
Last 30 away (15)54.966.7121.7-11.813%-
Last 10 (10)54.165.1119.2-11.010%-
Last 5 (5)54.667.4122.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.163.2117.3-9.121%-
vs Similar (6)54.362.8117.2-8.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/03
NBA
107.9Avg total
52.9Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.757.4114.1-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.461.2120.6-1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)52.651.8104.4+0.858%-
Last 10 (10)52.955.0107.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)52.459.4111.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)60.961.8122.7-0.967%-
vs Similar (13)51.654.7106.3-3.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)60.257.0117.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.527.8
53.0%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.7
37.0%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.9
76.1%
78.1%16.9
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.1
54.4%
54.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.815.2
33.2%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
78.1%14.2
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLLL
Golden State Warriors
LLLLLWLLWL
#30
League position
#20
-13.9
Net rating
-5.1
105.8
Offensive rating
112.0
119.7
Defensive rating
117.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
12.7%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.0%
3-point %
33.2%
56.4%
Assist %
70.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 112.0Defence119.7 · 117.1Shooting54.0% · 52.1%3-point %37.0% · 33.2%Ball care14.5% · 13.3%Off. rebounds12.7% · 30.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ABoston Celtics100-111
12/03/26AOrlando Magic131-136 OT
10/03/26AMiami Heat129-150
08/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans118-138
06/03/26HUtah Jazz112-122
04/03/26AOrlando Magic109-126
03/03/26HHouston Rockets118-123
01/03/26HToronto Raptors125-134
27/02/26AAtlanta Hawks96-126
25/02/26AAtlanta Hawks98-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26ANew York Knicks107-110
14/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves117-127
11/03/26HChicago Bulls124-130 OT
10/03/26AUtah Jazz116-119
08/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder97-104
06/03/26AHouston Rockets115-113 OT
03/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers101-114
01/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers101-129
26/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies133-112
25/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans109-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %24%33%15%
Points / game112.7114.1111.2
Allowed / game123.7123.1124.3
Point differential-11.0-8.9-13.1
Avg total236.3237.2235.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%6%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayWWLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %48%56%39%
Points / game115.1117.9112.2
Allowed / game114.4115.6113.1
Point differential+0.7+2.3-0.9
Avg total229.5233.6225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)50% (4)36% (14)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder66521479%118.4107.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs65471872%118.8111.7+7.0
3 Detroit Pistons67481972%117.2109.8+7.5
4 Boston Celtics67442366%114.2107.0+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers66422464%116.5115.0+1.4
6 New York Knicks67422563%116.6110.6+6.0
7 Houston Rockets66412562%114.1109.9+4.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers68412760%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Denver Nuggets68412760%120.7116.7+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves68412760%118.5115.2+3.3
11 Phoenix Suns66392759%112.9110.8+2.1
12 Orlando Magic64372758%115.6113.9+1.7
13 Toronto Raptors66382858%113.8111.8+2.0
14 Miami Heat67382957%120.6116.6+4.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers68373154%115.6116.0-0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks67363154%117.7116.6+1.1
17 Los Angeles Clippers67343351%113.4112.6+0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets68343450%115.5112.3+3.2
19 Golden State Warriors67323548%115.1114.4+0.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers68323647%115.1117.6-2.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks67283942%111.2116.1-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls67274040%115.7120.2-4.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies66234335%115.7118.4-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks68234534%113.2118.1-4.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans68224632%115.4119.8-4.4
26 Utah Jazz68204829%117.3124.9-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings69185126%110.8120.6-9.7
28 Brooklyn Nets67175025%106.7115.6-8.9
29 Washington Wizards66165024%112.7123.7-11.0
30 Indiana Pacers68155322%111.2119.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards23342931117
Golden State Warriors34303427125
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