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Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 131-126
38-25 34-35 20-34 39-32
Position#20
Record35-38
FormLLLWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game114.8
vs
Position#30
Record17-55
FormLLLLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game123.9
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Washington Wizards
04 Mar 2027
GSW v WAS
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
GSW131
WAS126
18 Jan 2025
GSW122
WAS114
22 Dec 2023
GSW129
WAS118
13 Feb 2023
GSW135
WAS126
14 Mar 2022
GSW126
WAS112
09 Apr 2021
GSW107
WAS110
01 Mar 2020
GSW110
WAS124
24 Oct 2018
GSW144
WAS122
27 Oct 2017
GSW120
WAS117
02 Apr 2017
GSW139
WAS115
29 Mar 2016
GSW102
WAS94
23 Mar 2015
GSW107
WAS76
28 Jan 2014
GSW85
WAS88
23 Mar 2013
GSW101
WAS92
27 Mar 2011
GSW114
WAS104
18 Dec 2009
GSW109
WAS118
19 Jan 2009
GSW119
WAS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
116-119
116
119
-3
107avg 106
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
113avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
117-127
117
127
-10
99avg 106
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
99-120
99
120
-21
85avg 106
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
101-115
101
115
-14
94avg 106
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
110-126
110
126
-16
98avg 106
A22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
136avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
109-106
109
106
+3
109avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
28-30
29-32
32-28
30-26
21-31
32-32
35-29
28-31
20-38
39-31
30-27
35-21
19-24
26-38
27-27
34-23
30-34
34-29
27-31
23-36
27-27
23-26
26-31
26-21
24-36
23-30
28-28
36-35
25-28
20-39
29-24
34-31
29-42
35-25
28-28
25-30
25-28
27-28
32-20
234.6Avg total
114.5Scored
120.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.0114.8229.7+0.248%
Season at home (35)117.7115.3233.0+2.357%
Season away (38)112.5114.2226.7-1.739%
Last 10 (10)114.5120.1234.6-5.630%
Last 5 (5)111.2119.6230.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)110.4117.4227.9-7.022%
vs Similar (12)107.3114.5221.8-7.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)123.7119.4243.1+4.267%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
118-138
118
138
-20
99avg 99
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
129-150
129
150
-21
117avg 99
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
131-136 OT
131
136
-5
118avg 99
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-111
100
111
-11
92avg 99
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-125
117
125
-8
98avg 99
H16/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
117-130
117
130
-13
103avg 99
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-117
95
117
-22
82avg 99
H19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-132
111
132
-21
98avg 99
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-145
113
145
-32
98avg 99
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
133-110
133
110
+23
104avg 99
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
30-35
28-35
25-36
29-40
33-36
35-37
32-37
26-36
30-27
25-33
42-27
27-29
14-35
31-29
28-18
23-34
34-30
29-34
31-27
32-32
25-31
26-37
34-30
14-35
38-25
26-28
17-29
32-32
32-37
32-34
15-29
27-32
25-36
29-37
32-40
33-20
39-25
32-30
29-35
245.8Avg total
116.4Scored
129.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)112.8123.9236.7-11.124%
Season at home (37)113.7123.4237.1-9.730%
Season away (35)111.9124.5236.3-12.617%
Last 10 (10)116.4129.4245.8-13.010%
Last 5 (5)113.8126.8240.6-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)111.5126.6238.1-15.012%
vs Similar (6)119.5115.7235.2+3.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
Golden State WarriorsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H26/03
NBA
114.7Avg total
54.6Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.458.9114.2-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.163.9121.0-6.831%-
Last 30 away (17)54.155.0109.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)54.660.1114.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)54.862.8117.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.462.2119.7-4.844%-
vs Similar (12)51.056.2107.2-5.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.159.1118.2+0.033%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H16/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A26/03
NBA
121.7Avg total
57.8Scored
63.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.062.8117.8-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.560.9115.4-6.429%-
Last 30 away (13)55.665.4121.0-9.815%-
Last 10 (10)57.863.9121.7-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)59.461.0120.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.763.8118.5-9.017%-
vs Similar (6)56.259.2115.3-3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.527.4
57.7%
54.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.613.7
32.9%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.418.6
79.5%
78.1%18.6
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.027.8
55.6%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.9
38.2%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
78.1%16.1
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWLLLWLLLL
Washington Wizards
WLLLLLLLLL
#20
League position
#30
-5.4
Net rating
-12.0
109.8
Offensive rating
107.5
115.2
Defensive rating
119.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
15.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
38.2%
67.4%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 107.5Defence115.2 · 119.6Shooting53.8% · 56.3%3-point %32.9% · 38.2%Ball care16.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 15.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HBrooklyn Nets109-106
24/03/26ADallas Mavericks137-131 OT
22/03/26AAtlanta Hawks110-126
20/03/26ADetroit Pistons101-115
18/03/26ABoston Celtics99-120
16/03/26AWashington Wizards125-117
16/03/26ANew York Knicks107-110
14/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves117-127
11/03/26HChicago Bulls124-130 OT
10/03/26AUtah Jazz116-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26AUtah Jazz133-110
22/03/26ANew York Knicks113-145
21/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder111-132
19/03/26HDetroit Pistons95-117
17/03/26HDetroit Pistons117-130
16/03/26HGolden State Warriors117-125
14/03/26ABoston Celtics100-111
12/03/26AOrlando Magic131-136 OT
10/03/26AMiami Heat129-150
08/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans118-138

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLLLLW57%
AwayWLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %48%57%39%
Points / game115.0117.7112.5
Allowed / game114.8115.3114.2
Point differential+0.2+2.3-1.7
Avg total229.7233.0226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%37%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)60% (5)36% (14)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %24%30%17%
Points / game112.8113.7111.9
Allowed / game123.9123.4124.5
Point differential-11.1-9.7-12.6
Avg total236.7237.1236.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder72571579%118.6107.9+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs71531875%119.2111.4+7.8
3 Detroit Pistons73532073%117.6109.8+7.8
4 Boston Celtics73492467%114.1106.9+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers72472565%116.6114.9+1.7
6 New York Knicks72462664%116.8110.5+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets75472863%121.3116.9+4.4
8 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%119.4115.2+4.2
9 Minnesota Timberwolves73452862%118.3114.4+3.8
10 Houston Rockets73442960%114.1110.2+3.9
11 Toronto Raptors72413157%114.2112.2+1.9
12 Phoenix Suns72403256%112.7110.8+1.9
13 Atlanta Hawks74413355%118.2116.5+1.7
14 Philadelphia 76ers73403355%116.2116.5-0.4
15 Orlando Magic71383354%115.6114.7+1.0
16 Charlotte Hornets73393453%116.3111.6+4.7
17 Miami Heat73393453%120.5117.7+2.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers74383651%113.8112.5+1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers74373750%115.5116.7-1.2
20 Golden State Warriors73353848%115.0114.8+0.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks72294340%110.6116.6-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls73294440%116.3120.9-4.6
23 New Orleans Pelicans75255033%115.3119.3-4.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies73244933%115.0119.1-4.1
25 Dallas Mavericks73235032%114.0119.3-5.3
26 Utah Jazz74215328%117.5125.3-7.8
27 Sacramento Kings74195526%110.8121.2-10.3
28 Washington Wizards72175524%112.8123.9-11.1
29 Brooklyn Nets73175623%106.3115.7-9.4
30 Indiana Pacers74165822%111.9120.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors38342039131
Washington Wizards25353432126
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