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Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 118-123
30-26 21-34 29-34 38-29
Position#30
Record16-43
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game123.0
Washington Wizards
USA
vs
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record37-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets
15 Nov 2026
WAS v HOU
upcoming
02 Mar 2026
WAS118
HOU123
07 Jan 2025
WAS112
HOU135
19 Mar 2024
WAS114
HOU137
09 Apr 2023
WAS109
HOU114
05 Jan 2022
WAS111
HOU114
15 Feb 2021
WAS131
HOU119
30 Oct 2019
WAS158
HOU159
26 Nov 2018
WAS135
HOU131
29 Dec 2017
WAS121
HOU103
07 Nov 2016
WAS106
HOU114
09 Dec 2015
WAS103
HOU109
29 Mar 2015
WAS91
HOU99
11 Jan 2014
WAS107
HOU114
23 Feb 2013
WAS105
HOU103
16 Jan 2012
WAS106
HOU114
10 Nov 2010
WAS98
HOU91
09 Mar 2010
WAS88
HOU96
21 Nov 2008
WAS91
HOU103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
126-117
126
117
+9
119avg 99
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
113-127
113
127
-14
99avg 99
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
101-132
101
132
-31
87avg 99
H08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-138
113
138
-25
94avg 99
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
112-105
112
105
+7
103avg 99
H20/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
131-118
131
118
+13
134avg 99
H21/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
112-129
112
129
-17
103avg 99
H22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
98-119
98
119
-21
89avg 99
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
96-126
96
126
-30
78avg 99
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
125-134
125
134
-9
113avg 99
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
22-31
39-32
31-33
20-46
27-34
35-21
31-26
33-37
19-37
23-33
26-25
24-40
37-36
28-32
24-30
26-24
33-23
29-33
24-25
22-27
35-41
35-24
39-26
37-38
19-23
28-44
28-24
20-35
23-25
21-40
34-19
26-37
30-39
24-22
16-28
33-25
31-36
28-37
33-36
237.2Avg total
112.7Scored
124.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)112.2123.0235.2-10.827%
Season at home (31)114.1123.1237.2-9.035%
Season away (28)110.1122.9233.0-12.818%
Last 10 (10)112.7124.5237.2-11.830%
Last 5 (5)112.4125.2237.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)109.2121.6230.8-12.425%
vs Similar (6)117.7114.8232.5+2.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
99-109
99
109
-10
91avg 108
H06/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-106
112
106
+6
104avg 108
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
102-95
102
95
+7
96avg 108
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-105
102
105
-3
98avg 108
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
105-101
105
101
+4
95avg 108
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
106-108
106
108
-2
102avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
125-105
125
105
+20
134avg 108
H24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
128-97
128
97
+31
128avg 108
H26/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
113-108
113
108
+5
108avg 108
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
105-115
105
115
-10
94avg 108
A28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
23-32
26-30
24-18
28-28
18-24
34-22
32-32
27-26
24-26
27-20
24-23
29-22
27-24
20-24
26-35
24-33
29-19
27-26
25-23
21-27
33-26
37-22
15-33
38-22
30-25
32-28
25-30
33-22
44-28
31-26
20-21
22-29
21-24
38-27
32-28
28-32
24-19
31-34
22-30
214.6Avg total
109.7Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)114.5109.2223.8+5.363%
Season at home (27)113.8107.0220.7+6.874%
Season away (32)115.2111.1226.3+4.153%
Last 10 (10)109.7104.9214.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)115.4106.6222.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)101.5108.5210.0-7.050%
vs Similar (13)103.6104.3207.9-0.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)114.5108.7223.3+5.867%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
Washington WizardsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H20/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H21/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H01/03
NBA
120.6Avg total
55.1Scored
65.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.561.9117.4-6.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.458.8114.3-3.444%-
Last 30 away (12)55.666.5122.1-10.925%-
Last 10 (10)55.165.5120.6-10.430%-
Last 5 (5)55.265.2120.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.262.4117.5-7.233%-
vs Similar (6)56.860.0116.8-3.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H06/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-50
77
50
+27
H26/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A28/02
NBA
106.6Avg total
54.9Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.6108.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.354.1111.4+3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)51.552.9104.4-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.951.7106.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)58.850.8109.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.053.5100.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (13)52.453.6106.0-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.553.5111.1+4.053%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.130.1
54.6%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.5
34.8%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
78.1%15.0
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.5
56.5%
54.8%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.5
37.1%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
78.1%15.2
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLWWLLLW
Houston Rockets
LWWWLWLWWL
#30
League position
#8
-11.2
Net rating
+4.9
107.0
Offensive rating
112.8
118.2
Defensive rating
107.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.2%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.8%
3-point %
37.1%
58.7%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 112.8Defence118.2 · 107.9Shooting53.7% · 56.2%3-point %34.8% · 37.1%Ball care14.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Washington Wizards wins
8
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
13/11/25Houston Rockets v Washington Wizards135-112
08/01/25Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets112-135
12/11/24Houston Rockets v Washington Wizards107-92
19/03/24Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets114-137
15/03/24Houston Rockets v Washington Wizards135-119
09/04/23Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets109-114
26/01/23Houston Rockets v Washington Wizards103-108
22/03/22Houston Rockets v Washington Wizards115-97
06/01/22Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets111-114
16/02/21Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets131-119
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HToronto Raptors125-134
27/02/26AAtlanta Hawks96-126
25/02/26AAtlanta Hawks98-119
22/02/26HCharlotte Hornets112-129
21/02/26HIndiana Pacers131-118
20/02/26HIndiana Pacers112-105
12/02/26ACleveland Cavaliers113-138
08/02/26HMiami Heat101-132
07/02/26ABrooklyn Nets113-127
06/02/26ADetroit Pistons126-117
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AMiami Heat105-115
27/02/26AOrlando Magic113-108
26/02/26HSacramento Kings128-97
24/02/26HUtah Jazz125-105
22/02/26ANew York Knicks106-108
20/02/26ACharlotte Hornets105-101
12/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers102-105
11/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers102-95
07/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-106
06/02/26HCharlotte Hornets99-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLWWLL35%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593128
Win %27%35%18%
Points / game112.2114.1110.1
Allowed / game123.0123.1122.9
Point differential-10.8-9.0-12.8
Avg total235.2237.2233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%16%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)57% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %3%3%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592732
Win %63%74%53%
Points / game114.5113.8115.2
Allowed / game109.2107.0111.1
Point differential+5.3+6.8+4.1
Avg total223.8220.7226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%30%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)67% (9)40% (10)
Overtime %10%4%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder60461477%119.0108.1+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons59451476%117.3109.4+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs58411771%117.8111.7+6.1
4 Boston Celtics60402067%115.0107.4+7.6
5 New York Knicks59372263%117.0111.2+5.8
6 Houston Rockets59372263%114.5109.2+5.3
7 Minnesota Timberwolves61382362%119.1114.6+4.6
8 Cleveland Cavaliers62382461%119.2115.0+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers59362361%115.9115.2+0.7
10 Denver Nuggets61372461%120.3116.0+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors59352459%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns59342558%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers60332755%116.4115.9+0.5
14 Miami Heat60322853%120.0117.0+3.0
15 Orlando Magic57302753%114.4114.2+0.2
16 Golden State Warriors60312952%115.6114.1+1.5
17 Atlanta Hawks62313150%117.4117.4+0.0
18 Charlotte Hornets61303149%116.0113.0+3.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers59283147%112.1112.3-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers62293347%115.2118.4-3.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks59263344%111.8115.7-3.8
22 Chicago Bulls61253641%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies59233639%115.7117.7-2.0
24 Dallas Mavericks60213935%113.9117.7-3.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans62194331%115.1120.4-5.3
26 Utah Jazz60184230%117.8125.7-8.0
27 Washington Wizards59164327%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets60154525%107.0115.4-8.5
29 Indiana Pacers61154625%111.4119.6-8.2
30 Sacramento Kings62144823%110.3121.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards30212938118
Houston Rockets26343429123
← all games of the day
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