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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-132
33-37 19-37 23-33 26-25
Position#30
Record14-37
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game122.7
vs
Position#17
Record27-25
FormWLWLL
Points / game119.7
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
106-110
106
110
-4
101avg 99
H19/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
97-107
97
107
-10
84avg 99
H23/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
115-119
115
119
-4
106avg 99
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
115-111
115
111
+4
103avg 99
H28/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
109-99
109
99
+10
101avg 99
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
111-142
111
142
-31
97avg 99
H31/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
116-112
116
112
+4
114avg 99
H01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
101-132
101
132
-31
84avg 99
H04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
126-117
126
117
+9
119avg 99
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
113-127
113
127
-14
99avg 99
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
27-28
28-25
25-31
23-27
23-21
29-33
22-26
34-35
24-31
23-27
34-26
26-28
34-25
26-34
29-24
25-23
32-20
25-29
27-27
27-41
21-36
36-31
27-34
23-14
30-34
35-34
28-30
22-38
23-34
26-30
30-30
34-21
22-31
39-32
31-33
20-46
27-34
35-21
31-26
228.5Avg total
110.9Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)112.4122.7235.0-10.327%
Season at home (26)113.7123.0236.7-9.335%
Season away (25)111.0122.3233.3-11.320%
Last 10 (10)110.9117.6228.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)113.4126.0239.4-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)112.1120.4232.5-8.332%
vs Similar (5)114.2111.0225.2+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-117
130
117
+13
123avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-116
147
116
+31
144avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
104avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
124-133
124
133
-9
122avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-113
116
113
+3
111avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
118-125
118
125
-7
106avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
134-91
134
91
+43
136avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
115-127
115
127
-12
107avg 106
H04/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
96-98
96
98
-2
86avg 106
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
45-39
23-25
30-28
31-38
32-26
29-39
18-24
35-34
38-18
35-37
39-27
32-21
26-27
24-29
29-25
27-34
41-25
20-40
36-34
34-31
28-20
29-34
25-28
25-31
38-25
21-35
34-34
34-13
28-27
39-22
33-29
23-33
27-34
31-31
34-29
29-15
30-23
15-36
22-24
235.0Avg total
120.1Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)119.7117.7237.3+2.052%
Season at home (26)121.9117.6239.5+4.362%
Season away (26)117.4117.7235.2-0.342%
Last 10 (10)120.1114.9235.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)115.8110.8226.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.7119.1233.9-4.429%
vs Similar (13)113.3119.2232.5-5.931%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)122.8112.9235.7+9.970%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H19/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H28/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
48-77
48
77
-29
H31/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
45-72
45
72
-27
H04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A07/02
NBA
111.6Avg total
52.3Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.161.0117.1-4.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.759.5115.2-3.841%-
Last 30 away (13)56.663.1119.7-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)52.359.3111.6-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)49.865.8115.6-16.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)56.061.6117.6-5.636%-
vs Similar (5)56.658.4115.0-1.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H29/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A30/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H04/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A07/02
NBA
117.4Avg total
63.5Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.256.8117.0+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.457.5116.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)61.056.1117.1+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)63.553.9117.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)59.250.4109.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.755.6116.3+5.157%-
vs Similar (13)58.657.5116.1+1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)62.056.7118.7+5.370%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.726.3
50.9%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.613.9
36.0%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.6
79.4%
78.1%16.6
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.030.1
53.8%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.613.3
33.6%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws25.320.0
79.1%
78.1%20.0
They take 95.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWLWLWWLLL
Miami Heat
LLWLWLWWLW
#30
League position
#17
-6.6
Net rating
+4.9
109.0
Offensive rating
113.3
115.6
Defensive rating
108.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.2%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
33.6%
63.4%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 113.3Defence115.6 · 108.4Shooting52.2% · 52.4%3-point %36.0% · 33.6%Ball care14.8% · 12.2%Off. rebounds27.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABrooklyn Nets113-127
06/02/26ADetroit Pistons126-117
04/02/26HNew York Knicks101-132
01/02/26HSacramento Kings116-112
31/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers111-142
30/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-99
28/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers115-111
24/01/26ACharlotte Hornets115-119
23/01/26HDenver Nuggets97-107
19/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers106-110
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABoston Celtics96-98
04/02/26HAtlanta Hawks115-127
01/02/26HChicago Bulls134-91
01/02/26HChicago Bulls118-125
30/01/26AChicago Bulls116-113
29/01/26HOrlando Magic124-133
26/01/26APhoenix Suns111-102
25/01/26AUtah Jazz147-116
23/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-127
21/01/26ASacramento Kings130-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeWWLWL35%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %27%35%20%
Points / game112.4113.7111.0
Allowed / game122.7123.0122.3
Point differential-10.3-9.3-11.3
Avg total235.0236.7233.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)57% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game119.7121.9117.4
Allowed / game117.7117.6117.7
Point differential+2.0+4.3-0.3
Avg total237.3239.5235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder51391276%119.8108.3+11.5
2 Detroit Pistons51381375%117.5109.7+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs50341668%117.5112.2+5.3
4 Boston Celtics53341964%115.1108.4+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets53341964%120.4116.3+4.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers50321864%116.1115.5+0.6
7 New York Knicks51321963%117.1111.9+5.2
8 Houston Rockets51321963%115.1110.0+5.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves53322160%119.5114.8+4.7
10 Cleveland Cavaliers53322160%119.7115.9+3.7
11 Phoenix Suns52312160%114.1110.9+3.2
12 Toronto Raptors52312160%114.2112.3+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%116.7115.1+1.5
14 Orlando Magic49262353%115.0115.4-0.4
15 Golden State Warriors53282553%115.6113.5+2.1
16 Miami Heat52272552%119.7117.7+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks54262848%117.5118.4-0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets53252847%116.0114.0+2.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers53252847%115.8118.0-2.2
20 Los Angeles Clippers51242747%112.3113.1-0.7
21 Chicago Bulls53242945%117.0120.5-3.5
22 Milwaukee Bucks50212942%112.0115.7-3.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies51203139%115.3117.5-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks52193337%114.2117.2-3.0
25 Utah Jazz53163730%118.3126.7-8.4
26 Brooklyn Nets51143727%107.3114.9-7.6
27 Washington Wizards51143727%112.4122.7-10.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans54144026%114.6120.9-6.3
29 Indiana Pacers52133925%110.7118.4-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings54124222%110.8120.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards33192326101
Miami Heat37373325132
← all games of the day
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