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Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.0/10
🧊 Cold
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder
07 Jan 2027
WAS v OKC
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
WAS111
OKC132
12 Jan 2025
WAS95
OKC136
08 Jan 2024
WAS128
OKC136
16 Nov 2022
WAS120
OKC121
11 Jan 2022
WAS122
OKC118
19 Apr 2021
WAS119
OKC107
02 Nov 2018
WAS111
OKC134
30 Jan 2018
WAS102
OKC96
13 Feb 2017
WAS120
OKC98
10 Nov 2015
WAS101
OKC125
21 Jan 2015
WAS103
OKC105
01 Feb 2014
WAS96
OKC81
07 Jan 2013
WAS101
OKC99
18 Jan 2012
WAS105
OKC102
14 Mar 2011
WAS89
OKC116
29 Dec 2009
WAS98
OKC110
27 Dec 2008
WAS104
OKC95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 98
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 98
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 98
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 98
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 98
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
140-144 OT
140
144
-4
136avg 98
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
32-33
29-31
29-30
31-27
223.3Avg total
107.6Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.0115.8225.8-5.831%
Season at home (5)114.0114.2228.2-0.240%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)107.6115.7223.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)111.8126.6238.4-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.4128.6240.0-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 104
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 104
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 104
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 104
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 104
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
112-113
112
113
-1
103avg 104
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
32-28
18-28
35-32
23-30
27-33
17-24
40-25
28-31
223.2Avg total
112.5Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.2107.4218.5+3.862%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (8)109.8113.2223.0-3.538%
Last 10 (10)112.5110.7223.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)113.0105.2218.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)114.0106.7220.7+7.367%
vs Similar (13)108.2112.5220.7-4.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)117.1107.3224.4+9.879%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Washington WizardsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H13/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
54.9Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.462.2116.6-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.262.5117.7-7.48%-
Last 30 away (17)53.861.9115.8-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)54.959.6114.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.0114.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.265.0119.2-10.85%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A14/11
NBA
110.6Avg total
57.7Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.753.6110.3+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)56.355.2111.6+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.9110.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.4107.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.351.7114.0+10.767%-
vs Similar (13)54.553.6108.1+0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)57.554.1111.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.9
56.2%
54.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.0
34.2%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
77.3%19.6
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.4
50.4%
54.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.1
34.2%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.8
83.2%
77.3%18.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWWWLLW
#23
League position
#12
-4.3
Net rating
-1.1
111.7
Offensive rating
104.8
116.0
Defensive rating
105.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
34.2%
57.3%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 104.8Defence116.0 · 105.9Shooting54.4% · 50.7%3-point %34.2% · 34.2%Ball care13.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDetroit Pistons140-144 OT
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers112-113
12/11/26APortland Trail Blazers108-118
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%40%25%
Points / game110.0114.0107.5
Allowed / game115.8114.2116.8
Point differential-5.8-0.2-9.2
Avg total225.8228.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%100%38%
Points / game111.2113.4109.8
Allowed / game107.498.0113.2
Point differential+3.8+15.4-3.5
Avg total218.5211.4223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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