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Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 111-132
32-32 32-37 32-34 15-29
Position#30
Record16-53
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game123.7
Washington Wizards
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆
USA
Position#1
Record54-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder
07 Jan 2027
WAS v OKC
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
WAS111
OKC132
12 Jan 2025
WAS95
OKC136
08 Jan 2024
WAS128
OKC136
16 Nov 2022
WAS120
OKC121
11 Jan 2022
WAS122
OKC118
19 Apr 2021
WAS119
OKC107
02 Nov 2018
WAS111
OKC134
30 Jan 2018
WAS102
OKC96
13 Feb 2017
WAS120
OKC98
10 Nov 2015
WAS101
OKC125
21 Jan 2015
WAS103
OKC105
01 Feb 2014
WAS96
OKC81
07 Jan 2013
WAS101
OKC99
18 Jan 2012
WAS105
OKC102
14 Mar 2011
WAS89
OKC116
29 Dec 2009
WAS98
OKC110
27 Dec 2008
WAS104
OKC95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
118-123
118
123
-5
96avg 99
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
109-126
109
126
-17
84avg 99
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
112-122
112
122
-10
79avg 99
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
118-138
118
138
-20
99avg 99
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
129-150
129
150
-21
117avg 99
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
131-136 OT
131
136
-5
118avg 99
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-111
100
111
-11
92avg 99
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-125
117
125
-8
98avg 99
H16/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
117-130
117
130
-13
103avg 99
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-117
95
117
-22
82avg 99
H19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
21-34
29-34
38-29
24-27
30-30
27-40
28-29
23-37
26-30
35-26
28-29
35-32
30-35
28-35
25-36
29-40
33-36
35-37
32-37
26-36
30-27
25-33
42-27
27-29
14-35
31-29
28-18
23-34
34-30
29-34
31-27
32-32
25-31
26-37
34-30
14-35
38-25
26-28
17-29
242.4Avg total
114.6Scored
127.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)112.5123.7236.2-11.223%
Season at home (36)113.8123.1236.9-9.431%
Season away (33)111.2124.3235.5-13.115%
Last 10 (10)114.6127.8242.4-13.20%
Last 5 (5)112.0123.8235.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)111.4124.7236.1-13.212%
vs Similar (6)116.5118.7235.2-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
127-121 OT
127
121
+6
123avg 108
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 108
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 108
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
97avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
100avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
129-126
129
126
+3
118avg 108
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
104-102
104
102
+2
94avg 108
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-103
116
103
+13
103avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
113-108
113
108
+5
105avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
121-92
121
92
+29
116avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
31-26
27-24
30-24
36-25
22-24
25-20
17-18
26-22
29-32
32-22
29-32
25-23
25-17
27-40
26-20
34-28
33-26
19-29
18-14
37-40
29-20
30-33
33-33
27-28
29-31
24-24
24-19
23-22
24-31
33-23
36-27
26-22
25-28
34-29
28-29
28-11
32-13
31-31
30-37
217.7Avg total
113.3Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)118.3107.7226.0+10.679%
Season at home (34)117.7107.3225.0+10.582%
Season away (34)118.9108.1227.1+10.876%
Last 10 (10)113.3104.4217.7+8.9100%
Last 5 (5)116.6106.2222.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)109.6108.0217.6+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)115.6106.0221.6+9.676%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
Washington WizardsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H16/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/03
NBA
118.5Avg total
54.4Scored
64.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.662.9117.5-8.223%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.960.0113.9-6.129%-
Last 30 away (13)55.666.6122.2-11.015%-
Last 10 (10)54.464.1118.5-9.70%-
Last 5 (5)52.662.8115.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.762.9117.6-8.221%-
vs Similar (6)54.362.8117.2-8.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
60-24
60
24
+36
A18/03
NBA
106.2Avg total
56.0Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.852.5110.3+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.852.6108.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)59.652.3111.9+7.281%-
Last 10 (10)56.050.2106.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)56.049.2105.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)54.256.4110.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)58.551.7110.2+6.876%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.526.8
54.1%
54.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.6
38.3%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
78.1%17.2
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.1
56.3%
54.8%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.512.9
32.7%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws22.118.4
83.3%
78.1%18.4
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
#30
League position
#1
-12.3
Net rating
+8.7
107.2
Offensive rating
110.7
119.5
Defensive rating
102.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
10.7%
10.4%
Off. rebound %
17.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.3%
3-point %
32.7%
56.8%
Assist %
58.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 110.7Defence119.5 · 102.0Shooting55.6% · 53.1%3-point %38.3% · 32.7%Ball care15.1% · 10.7%Off. rebounds10.4% · 17.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 100%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
31/10/25Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards127-108
12/01/25Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder95-136
24/12/24Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards123-105
24/02/24Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards147-106
09/01/24Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder128-136
07/01/23Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards127-110
17/11/22Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder120-121
12/01/22Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder122-118
27/11/21Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards99-101
24/04/21Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards109-129
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HDetroit Pistons95-117
17/03/26HDetroit Pistons117-130
16/03/26HGolden State Warriors117-125
14/03/26ABoston Celtics100-111
12/03/26AOrlando Magic131-136 OT
10/03/26AMiami Heat129-150
08/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans118-138
06/03/26HUtah Jazz112-122
04/03/26AOrlando Magic109-126
03/03/26HHouston Rockets118-123
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26ABrooklyn Nets121-92
17/03/26AOrlando Magic113-108
15/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-103
13/03/26HBoston Celtics104-102
09/03/26HDenver Nuggets129-126
08/03/26HGolden State Warriors104-97
05/03/26ANew York Knicks103-100
04/03/26AChicago Bulls116-108
02/03/26ADallas Mavericks100-87
28/02/26HDenver Nuggets127-121 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693633
Win %23%31%15%
Points / game112.5113.8111.2
Allowed / game123.7123.1124.3
Point differential-11.2-9.4-13.1
Avg total236.2236.9235.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %79%82%76%
Points / game118.3117.7118.9
Allowed / game107.7107.3108.1
Point differential+10.6+10.5+10.8
Avg total226.0225.0227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)71% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder68541479%118.3107.7+10.6
2 San Antonio Spurs68501874%118.7111.5+7.2
3 Detroit Pistons70511973%117.4109.5+7.8
4 Boston Celtics70472367%114.4107.0+7.4
5 Los Angeles Lakers69452465%116.6114.9+1.7
6 New York Knicks69442564%116.6110.3+6.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers70432761%119.1114.8+4.3
8 Houston Rockets69422761%113.9109.8+4.1
9 Denver Nuggets71432861%120.7116.5+4.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves71432861%118.6114.8+3.8
11 Toronto Raptors68392957%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns69393057%112.6110.8+1.7
13 Orlando Magic67373055%115.4114.3+1.1
14 Miami Heat69383155%120.5117.1+3.3
15 Atlanta Hawks70383254%117.7116.6+1.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers70383254%115.6116.1-0.5
17 Charlotte Hornets70363451%116.0112.2+3.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers71353649%115.1117.1-2.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers70343649%113.2112.7+0.5
20 Golden State Warriors70333747%114.8114.5+0.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks69284141%111.0116.4-5.3
22 Chicago Bulls70284240%115.8120.2-4.4
23 New Orleans Pelicans71254635%115.6119.3-3.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies69244535%115.7118.6-2.9
25 Dallas Mavericks70234733%113.3118.5-5.2
26 Utah Jazz70214930%117.3124.8-7.5
27 Sacramento Kings71185325%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets70175324%106.2115.3-9.2
29 Washington Wizards69165323%112.5123.7-11.2
30 Indiana Pacers70155521%111.3120.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards32323215111
Oklahoma City Thunder32373429132
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