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Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#18
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder
07 Jan 2027
WAS v OKC
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
WAS111
OKC132
12 Jan 2025
WAS95
OKC136
08 Jan 2024
WAS128
OKC136
14 Jul 2023
WAS105
OKC89
16 Nov 2022
WAS120
OKC121
11 Jan 2022
WAS122
OKC118
19 Apr 2021
WAS119
OKC107
02 Nov 2018
WAS111
OKC134
30 Jan 2018
WAS102
OKC96
13 Feb 2017
WAS120
OKC98
10 Nov 2015
WAS101
OKC125
21 Jan 2015
WAS103
OKC105
01 Feb 2014
WAS96
OKC81
07 Jan 2013
WAS101
OKC99
18 Jan 2012
WAS105
OKC102
14 Mar 2011
WAS89
OKC116
29 Dec 2009
WAS98
OKC110
27 Dec 2008
WAS104
OKC95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Washington Wizards
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 112.2
107.0▼ 5.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 123.0
108.4▼ 14.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 24.8
24.5▼ 0.3
🔥 Form · Oklahoma City Thunder
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.7
108.2▼ 7.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 108.5
104.6▼ 3.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
55%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.7
23.2▼ 2.4
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
106-107
106
107
-1
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
124-120
124
120
+4
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
27-34
24-21
30-25
40-20
16-30
24-28
18-20
32-36
40-37
22-30
28-28
17-23
34-33
19-25
36-26
25-23
26-33
39-37
38-23
21-34
31-26
25-21
25-31
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
222.9Avg total
111.6Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.6111.3222.9+0.350%
Season at home (5)112.2109.2221.4+3.060%
Season away (5)111.0113.4224.4-2.440%
Last 10 (10)111.6111.3222.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)107.0108.4215.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)113.5130.1243.5-16.65%
vs Similar ◀ (5)117.4118.0235.4-0.620%
vs Weaker (5)112.2106.8219.0+5.480%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
L
126-128
126
128
-2
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
89-116
89
116
-27
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
96-120
96
120
-24
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
33-24
26-38
17-26
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
219.8Avg total
109.0Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (4)102.8113.2216.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)108.2104.6212.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)105.0111.0216.0-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)107.2110.2217.4-2.950%
vs Weaker (15)121.9109.9231.8+11.980%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
Washington WizardsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.0Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.562.6118.1-7.013%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.661.8117.5-6.215%-
Last 30 away (17)55.563.1118.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)56.057.9113.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.2110.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)54.465.2119.6-10.85%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.658.4122.0+5.240%-
vs Weaker (5)52.056.2108.2-4.220%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
58.2Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.5113.2+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.354.8115.1+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)56.954.2111.1+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)58.254.3112.5+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.2106.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.751.3105.0+2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.154.1108.2+0.033%-
vs Weaker (15)63.555.5118.9+8.073%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.6
54.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.9
34.9%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws28.222.1
78.4%
76.2%22.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.2%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLLWLWLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-3.5
Net rating
-0.2
101.2
Offensive rating
99.0
104.8
Defensive rating
99.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
36.0%
62.7%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 99.0Defence104.8 · 99.2Shooting53.5% · 52.3%3-point %34.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds17.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
23/10/26HToronto Raptors102-112
21/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks128-116
17/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans106-107
12/10/26HBrooklyn Nets122-131
10/10/26HDetroit Pistons114-108 OT
08/10/26ANew York Knicks111-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
07/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans110-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game111.6112.2111.0
Allowed / game111.3109.2113.4
Point differential+0.3+3.0-2.4
Avg total222.9221.4224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game109.0113.2102.8
Allowed / game110.8109.2113.2
Point differential-1.8+4.0-10.5
Avg total219.8222.3216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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