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Welcome vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 73-86
20-20 20-38 20-16 13-12
Position#12
Record1-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game100.2
vs
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game93.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Cordon
16 Jan 2026
WELC73
CORD86
09 Jan 2025
WELC84
CORD81
24 Jan 2017
WELC87
CORD79
01 Oct 2016
WELC64
CORD61
26 Oct 2012
WELC89
CORD68
20 Oct 2011
WELC95
CORD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 72
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 72
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
82-112
82
112
-30
71avg 72
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
55avg 72
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 72
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
63-102
63
102
-39
36avg 72
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 72
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 72
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 72
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 72
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-37
18-19
15-28
24-18
22-23
15-24
16-25
19-24
17-39
26-27
25-22
14-24
15-18
14-21
15-29
29-15
17-22
27-25
31-27
11-24
13-28
14-31
22-25
14-18
23-28
27-28
11-22
21-25
20-18
26-26
24-23
29-22
23-29
13-26
17-23
22-13
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
179.9Avg total
80.3Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.7100.2181.9-18.57%
Season at home (7)82.196.4178.6-14.314%
Season away (8)81.2103.5184.8-22.20%
Last 10 (10)80.399.6179.9-19.310%
Last 5 (5)82.0101.0183.0-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)81.597.9179.4-16.422%
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.081.7167.7+4.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cordon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
86-107
86
107
-21
81avg 72
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
91avg 72
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
84-97
84
97
-13
77avg 72
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 72
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
77-123
77
123
-46
71avg 72
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
73avg 72
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 72
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 72
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 72
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
58-77
58
77
-19
43avg 72
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-29
20-33
19-23
23-25
28-25
21-21
22-14
20-29
23-18
17-33
24-17
14-26
28-16
25-31
8-11
9-28
26-26
31-35
11-34
21-28
29-34
20-22
20-25
20-27
23-19
18-16
16-29
23-14
12-24
25-26
19-25
23-29
17-19
20-24
21-20
16-19
10-20
11-19
21-19
175.5Avg total
80.1Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.393.7175.1-12.413%
Season at home (8)82.190.4172.5-8.225%
Season away (7)80.497.6178.0-17.10%
Last 10 (10)80.195.4175.5-15.310%
Last 5 (5)77.091.6168.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)79.590.9170.4-11.419%
vs Similar ◀ (2)98.087.5185.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
WelcomeCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
92.7Avg total
39.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.650.692.2-9.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.047.788.7-6.723%-
Last 30 away (17)42.052.994.9-10.918%-
Last 10 (10)39.653.192.7-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)40.455.295.6-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)41.151.892.9-10.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cordon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
88.9Avg total
41.2Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.046.488.4-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.444.586.9-2.231%-
Last 30 away (17)41.747.889.5-6.118%-
Last 10 (10)41.247.788.9-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.685.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)41.147.388.5-6.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)51.039.090.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)47.036.083.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.1
53.3%
53.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.3
32.2%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
70.9%11.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.2
52.4%
53.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.3
30.9%
33.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.711.2
63.3%
70.9%11.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLWLLLLLLL
Cordon
LLLLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#11
-23.1
Net rating
-18.4
95.9
Offensive rating
96.6
119.0
Defensive rating
115.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.3%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
30.9%
63.3%
Assist %
56.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 96.6Defence119.0 · 115.0Shooting51.1% · 50.3%3-point %32.2% · 30.9%Ball care17.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds19.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Welcome   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Welcome wins
3
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Cordon v Welcome98-81
10/01/25Welcome v Cordon84-81
26/10/24Cordon v Welcome95-75
16/02/17Cordon v Welcome91-102
24/01/17Welcome v Cordon87-79
07/01/17Cordon v Welcome74-76
30/11/16Cordon v Welcome76-85
01/10/16Welcome v Cordon64-61
14/12/12Cordon v Welcome80-73
26/10/12Welcome v Cordon89-68
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26ANacional91-120
09/01/26AUnion Atletica75-91
19/12/25HMalvin99-89
11/12/25ADefensor82-103
09/12/25HUrunday63-102
05/12/25HBigua86-98
15/11/25HGoes73-83
10/11/25AAguada82-112
07/11/25AHebraica y Macabi72-96
03/11/25HPenarol80-102
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HPenarol58-77
18/12/25HHebraica y Macabi81-92
13/12/25AUnion Atletica79-89
09/12/25HMalvin77-91
04/12/25HNacional90-109
20/11/25AUrunday77-123
14/11/25HBigua75-84
11/11/25ADefensor84-97
08/11/25HGoes94-85
04/11/25AAguada86-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game81.782.181.2
Allowed / game100.296.4103.5
Point differential-18.5-14.3-22.2
Avg total181.9178.6184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%25%0%
Points / game81.382.180.4
Allowed / game93.790.497.6
Point differential-12.4-8.2-17.1
Avg total175.1172.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1614288%85.670.6+14.9
2 Nacional1511473%93.383.7+9.7
3 Malvin1611569%82.381.1+1.2
4 Aguada149564%94.489.9+4.5
5 Hebraica y Macabi1610662%82.979.9+3.1
6 Bigua169756%88.488.8-0.4
7 Defensor158753%87.285.7+1.5
8 Urunday167944%90.385.8+4.6
9 Union Atletica167944%82.883.4-0.6
10 Goes1641225%83.791.9-8.2
11 Cordon1521313%81.393.7-12.4
12 Welcome151147%81.7100.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2020201373
Cordon2038161286
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