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Welcome vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 99-89
20-18 26-26 24-23 29-22
Position#12
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game100.2
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Malvin
19 Dec 2025
WELC99
MALV89
10 Nov 2024
WELC60
MALV86
08 Jan 2019
WELC72
MALV90
31 Oct 2017
WELC87
MALV78
04 Nov 2016
WELC63
MALV87
28 Dec 2015
WELC87
MALV94
16 Oct 2015
WELC92
MALV85
28 Sep 2012
WELC73
MALV79
23 Mar 2012
WELC52
MALV55
14 Jan 2011
WELC75
MALV89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
92avg 71
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
60avg 71
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
81-98
81
98
-17
78avg 71
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 71
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 71
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
82-112
82
112
-30
71avg 71
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
55avg 71
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 71
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
63-102
63
102
-39
36avg 71
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 71
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
34-26
16-21
21-20
24-29
17-12
17-27
10-16
17-22
19-31
20-20
25-25
23-37
18-19
15-28
24-18
22-23
15-24
16-25
19-24
17-39
26-27
25-22
14-24
15-18
14-21
15-29
29-15
17-22
27-25
31-27
11-24
13-28
14-31
22-25
14-18
23-28
27-28
11-22
21-25
175.4Avg total
78.1Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.0100.2180.2-20.20%
Season at home (6)79.397.7177.0-18.30%
Season away (6)80.7102.8183.5-22.20%
Last 10 (10)78.197.3175.4-19.20%
Last 5 (5)77.299.6176.8-22.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.196.8178.0-15.726%
vs Similar (3)86.081.7167.7+4.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
65avg 74
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 74
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
79avg 74
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 74
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
33avg 74
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
67avg 74
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 74
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
50avg 74
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-29
21-21
16-19
15-28
14-24
28-17
27-11
23-23
16-20
22-16
31-17
19-24
26-19
26-23
19-23
15-22
13-16
23-15
25-17
24-10
21-21
23-20
14-24
17-20
14-14
12-13
9-14
16-12
22-20
15-14
25-26
27-20
19-23
16-18
29-16
19-24
11-25
19-27
18-13
157.7Avg total
79.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.080.3161.3+0.769%
Season at home (7)79.380.9160.1-1.671%
Season away (6)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)79.478.3157.7+1.170%
Last 5 (5)74.074.8148.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.289.1173.3-4.945%
vs Similar (8)77.073.1150.1+3.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.878.6164.5+7.264%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
WelcomeMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
92.3Avg total
40.5Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.249.590.7-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.846.787.5-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)41.651.993.6-10.319%-
Last 10 (10)40.551.892.3-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.653.492.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.750.591.3-9.819%-
vs Similar (3)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
37.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.184.2+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.684.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.684.3-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.979.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.643.987.5-0.345%-
vs Similar (8)34.837.872.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.943.589.4+2.555%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.8
52.1%
53.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.112.5
77.6%
70.9%12.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.8
47.7%
53.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.0
31.7%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.914.3
65.3%
70.9%14.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLLLLL
Malvin
LWWLWWWWWL
#12
League position
#4
-24.3
Net rating
+1.4
97.3
Offensive rating
103.4
121.6
Defensive rating
102.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.9%
3-point %
31.7%
68.0%
Assist %
50.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 103.4Defence121.6 · 102.0Shooting49.5% · 47.6%3-point %30.9% · 31.7%Ball care17.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds18.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Welcome   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Welcome wins
8
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
20/10/25Malvin v Welcome95-94
27/01/25Malvin v Welcome97-70
10/11/24Welcome v Malvin60-86
08/01/19Welcome v Malvin72-90
19/10/18Malvin v Welcome89-73
02/03/18Malvin v Welcome94-85
19/01/18Malvin v Welcome84-75
31/10/17Welcome v Malvin87-78
04/11/16Welcome v Malvin63-87
06/02/16Malvin v Welcome80-84
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25ADefensor82-103
09/12/25HUrunday63-102
05/12/25HBigua86-98
15/11/25HGoes73-83
10/11/25AAguada82-112
07/11/25AHebraica y Macabi72-96
03/11/25HPenarol80-102
29/10/25ACordon81-98
23/10/25HUnion Atletica68-84
20/10/25AMalvin94-95
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HPenarol67-89
09/12/25ACordon91-77
06/12/25AUnion Atletica78-72
18/11/25HHebraica y Macabi52-61
14/11/25HNacional82-75
11/11/25AUrunday76-70
07/11/25HBigua90-89
05/11/25ADefensor92-76
31/10/25HGoes84-80
25/10/25AAguada82-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.079.380.7
Allowed / game100.297.7102.8
Point differential-20.2-18.3-22.2
Avg total180.2177.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game81.079.383.0
Allowed / game80.380.979.7
Point differential+0.7-1.6+3.3
Avg total161.3160.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1412286%86.671.6+15.0
2 Nacional129375%90.682.2+8.3
3 Hebraica y Macabi1410471%82.877.9+4.9
4 Malvin139469%81.080.3+0.7
5 Aguada117464%96.089.8+6.2
6 Defensor127558%88.285.2+3.1
7 Bigua137654%87.288.7-1.5
8 Urunday136746%91.886.1+5.7
9 Union Atletica145936%81.984.4-2.5
10 Goes123925%82.791.1-8.4
11 Cordon1421214%83.094.9-11.9
12 Welcome120120%80.0100.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2026242999
Malvin1826232289
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