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Wisconsin vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-71
0-0 51-34 0-0 41-37
Position#57
Record17-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#29
Record20-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Wisconsin v Michigan State
13 Feb 2026
WISC92
MICH71
26 Jan 2024
WISC81
MICH66
10 Jan 2023
WISC65
MICH69
11 Mar 2022
WISC63
MICH69
21 Jan 2022
WISC74
MICH86
01 Feb 2020
WISC64
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A23/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-31
0-0
35-41
0-0
37-38
0-0
54-50
0-0
28-35
0-0
50-40
0-0
51-29
0-0
45-58
0-0
50-22
0-0
48-49
0-0
41-39
0-0
30-34
0-0
17-35
0-0
50-28
0-0
49-43
0-0
43-39
0-0
30-36
0-0
42-36
0-0
38-44
0-0
43-37
162.1Avg total
84.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.375.8159.1+7.571%
Season at home (14)85.871.1156.9+14.686%
Season away (10)79.982.3162.2-2.450%
Last 10 (10)84.277.9162.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)79.877.2157.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.389.0174.3-3.767%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.677.8153.3-2.242%
vs Weaker (15)86.569.5155.9+17.093%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A17/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-17
0-0
47-34
0-0
28-35
0-0
48-31
0-0
39-32
0-0
42-28
0-0
39-31
0-0
41-32
0-0
28-26
0-0
40-26
0-0
46-23
0-0
45-25
0-0
28-37
0-0
45-36
0-0
26-42
0-0
45-41
0-0
21-32
0-0
52-44
0-0
35-39
0-0
36-32
145.3Avg total
79.3Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.165.6144.8+13.583%
Season at home (16)80.465.8146.2+14.688%
Season away (8)76.665.2141.9+11.475%
Last 10 (10)79.366.0145.3+13.380%
Last 5 (5)81.673.6155.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.077.0149.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.863.2134.0+7.562%
vs Weaker (19)82.165.5147.6+16.695%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +11.2+11.2
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +11.2+11.2
WisconsinMichigan State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A23/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
38.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.674.0+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.134.276.3+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)35.835.271.0+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.273.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.474.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.742.380.0-4.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.637.474.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)41.930.972.8+11.187%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A17/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
32.3Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.667.9+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.631.869.3+5.867%-
Last 30 away (9)33.331.364.7+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.463.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.665.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.737.369.0-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.031.263.2+0.838%-
vs Weaker (19)38.830.969.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wisconsin wins
4
Michigan State wins
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AIllinois92-90 OT
07/02/26AIndiana77-78 OT
31/01/26HOhio State92-82
29/01/26HMinnesota67-63
25/01/26HUSC71-73
23/01/26APenn State98-71
17/01/26HRutgers96-87
14/01/26AMinnesota78-75
10/01/26AMichigan91-88
07/01/26HUCLA80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HIllinois85-82 OT
05/02/26AMinnesota73-76
31/01/26HMichigan71-83
27/01/26ARutgers88-79 OT
24/01/26HMaryland91-48
21/01/26AOregon68-52
17/01/26AWashington80-63
14/01/26HIndiana81-60
08/01/26HNorthwestern76-66
06/01/26HUSC80-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %71%86%50%
Points / game83.385.879.9
Allowed / game75.871.182.3
Point differential+7.5+14.6-2.4
Avg total159.1156.9162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %12%0%30%
Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game79.180.476.6
Allowed / game65.665.865.2
Point differential+13.5+14.6+11.4
Avg total144.8146.2141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2423196%90.868.8+22.0
2 Nebraska2421388%79.866.7+13.2
3 Purdue2420483%82.869.1+13.8
4 Michigan State2420483%79.165.6+13.5
5 Illinois2520580%84.768.9+15.8
6 Iowa2418675%77.864.3+13.5
7 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
8 UCLA2417771%78.869.8+9.0
9 Wisconsin2417771%83.375.8+7.5
10 Indiana2517868%81.571.4+10.2
11 Ohio State2416867%81.673.7+7.9
12 Washington25121348%77.273.0+4.1
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Penn State25111444%75.678.8-3.3
15 Maryland24101442%72.078.6-6.6
16 Northwestern25101540%75.073.2+1.8
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2481633%71.875.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wisconsin05104192
Michigan State03403771
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