PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-66
43-34 38-32
Position#117
Record15-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#154
Record12-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wisconsin v Michigan State
13 Feb 2026
WISC92
MICH71
26 Jan 2024
WISC81
MICH66
10 Jan 2023
WISC65
MICH69
11 Mar 2022
WISC63
MICH69
21 Jan 2022
WISC74
MICH86
01 Feb 2020
WISC64
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A09/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H15/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H23/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-48
42-50
38-30
37-30
38-25
42-28
32-32
51-40
51-38
37-34
35-33
36-27
32-25
39-38
35-39
48-48
39-26
52-53
34-24
27-35
147.9Avg total
77.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.766.9142.6+8.879%
Season at home (13)78.564.5143.0+14.192%
Season away (6)69.572.2141.7-2.750%
Last 10 (10)77.670.3147.9+7.380%
Last 5 (5)75.469.6145.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.966.4129.3-3.629%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.364.9138.2+8.476%
vs Weaker (5)79.067.6146.6+11.4100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
34-37
34-34
28-22
45-33
37-32
39-34
44-32
17-27
145.3Avg total
79.7Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.265.2141.4+11.063%
Season at home (15)78.362.9141.3+15.473%
Season away (4)68.273.8142.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)79.765.6145.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)70.467.8138.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.072.4145.4+0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.370.9145.2+3.356%
vs Weaker (7)83.656.1139.7+27.4100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
WisconsinMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A24/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
36.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.965.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.231.466.6+3.965%-
Last 30 away (10)31.433.064.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.068.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.464.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.734.165.9-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.931.064.9+2.959%-
vs Weaker (5)36.031.267.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
39.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.229.064.2+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.626.261.9+9.470%-
Last 30 away (10)34.534.468.9+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.067.2+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.066.0-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.731.165.8+3.661%-
vs Weaker (7)38.919.958.7+19.086%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wisconsin wins
4
Michigan State wins
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AMinnesota61-59
20/01/24HIndiana91-79
17/01/24APenn State83-87
13/01/24HNorthwestern71-63
11/01/24AOhio State71-60
06/01/24HNebraska88-72
03/01/24HIowa83-72
23/12/23HChicago State80-53
15/12/23HJacksonville State75-60
09/12/23AArizona73-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AMaryland61-59
18/01/24HMinnesota76-66
14/01/24HRutgers73-55
12/01/24AIllinois68-71
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %79%92%50%
Points / game75.778.569.5
Allowed / game66.964.572.2
Point differential+8.8+14.1-2.7
Avg total142.6143.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%77%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19154
Win %63%73%25%
Points / game76.278.368.2
Allowed / game65.262.973.8
Point differential+11.0+15.4-5.5
Avg total141.4141.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2018290%85.869.2+16.5
2 Wisconsin1915479%75.766.9+8.8
3 Nebraska2015575%78.570.0+8.6
4 Illinois1914574%82.769.0+13.7
5 Oregon1914574%78.372.2+6.1
6 Northwestern1914574%73.968.7+5.3
7 Ohio State1913668%76.167.4+8.6
8 Michigan State1912763%76.265.2+11.0
9 Minnesota1912763%76.268.0+8.2
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Maryland2012860%70.264.0+6.2
12 Iowa1911858%85.177.5+7.6
13 Rutgers1810856%68.366.5+1.8
14 Washington2011955%80.376.9+3.4
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 UCLA1981142%65.264.6+0.6
17 USC1981142%75.775.2+0.5
18 Michigan1971237%78.778.7-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin433881
Michigan State343266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.