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Wurzburg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-89 (OT)
23-19 24-25 14-19 17-15 18-11
Position#11
Record11-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#18
Record3-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.8
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 72
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 72
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 72
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 72
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 72
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 72
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 72
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 72
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 72
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 72
A11/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
21-27
24-27
15-23
13-17
163.7Avg total
82.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.184.0167.2-0.948%
Season at home (12)84.281.7165.8+2.550%
Season away (11)82.086.6168.6-4.645%
Last 10 (10)82.381.4163.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)79.680.2159.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.085.0160.0-10.029%
vs Similar (15)85.983.7169.5+2.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 71
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 71
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 71
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 71
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 71
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 71
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
94avg 71
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
87avg 71
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 71
H12/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
27-31
16-25
24-22
27-30
27-32
22-20
22-27
22-23
25-17
27-29
10-19
17-15
175.8Avg total
81.5Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.389.8171.1-8.514%
Season at home (12)81.388.8170.1-7.425%
Season away (10)81.391.1172.4-9.80%
Last 10 (10)81.594.3175.8-12.80%
Last 5 (5)80.891.2172.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.489.1169.5-8.78%
vs Similar (5)76.685.6162.2-9.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
WurzburgBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/03
BBL
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)43.043.486.4-0.354%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.541.084.5+2.569%-
Last 30 away (11)42.546.288.6-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.944.685.4-3.743%-
vs Similar (15)43.542.285.7+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H12/03
BBL
87.4Avg total
40.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.684.7-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.244.484.6-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)40.044.984.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.387.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.290.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.644.885.5-4.233%-
vs Similar (5)38.244.082.2-5.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.6
52.6%
54.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.18.0
41.9%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
75.8%12.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.9
53.7%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.5
35.4%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.1
72.7%
75.8%18.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LLWLWWLLWW
Bayreuth
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#18
+1.1
Net rating
-13.9
112.7
Offensive rating
109.3
111.6
Defensive rating
123.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.43
41.9%
3-point %
35.4%
45.8%
Assist %
70.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 109.3Defence111.6 · 123.2Shooting55.7% · 53.4%3-point %41.9% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
0
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Bayreuth v Wurzburg83-99
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ABonn73-94
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HBayern79-80
08/03/23ALudwigsburg93-102
14/02/23HLudwigsburg94-108
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
05/02/23HUlm64-80
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game83.184.282.0
Allowed / game84.081.786.6
Point differential-0.9+2.5-4.6
Avg total167.2165.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game81.381.381.3
Allowed / game89.888.891.1
Point differential-8.5-7.4-9.8
Avg total171.1170.1172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2220291%90.580.0+10.5
3 Bayern2216673%82.076.7+5.3
4 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
5 Oldenburg2215768%85.481.9+3.5
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm22121055%87.985.3+2.5
8 Bamberg23121152%87.586.3+1.1
9 Wurzburg23111248%83.184.0-0.9
10 Rostock23111248%84.488.7-4.3
11 Chemnitz21101148%84.383.7+0.6
12 Syntainics MBC2391439%83.688.1-4.5
13 Hamburg2381535%82.685.6-3.0
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2371630%86.991.6-4.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig2361726%78.984.7-5.8
17 Frankfurt2351822%78.887.6-8.8
18 Bayreuth2231914%81.389.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Wurzburg232414171896
Bayreuth192519151189
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