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Wurzburg vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-78
14-17 19-14 26-18 24-29
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.3
GermanyBBLRound 14· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Oldenburg
25 Sep 2026
WUR68
OLD77
05 Dec 2025
WUR82
OLD71
01 Feb 2025
WUR102
OLD112
29 Dec 2023
WUR83
OLD78
18 Apr 2023
WUR78
OLD82
15 Oct 2022
WUR87
OLD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 67
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
48avg 67
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
60avg 67
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 67
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 67
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 67
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 67
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 67
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
80avg 67
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
20avg 67
A27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
14-21
20-21
15-23
15-22
20-16
19-16
12-12
17-26
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
34-16
12-11
24-23
27-28
28-19
19-25
21-32
30-20
23-13
5-22
27-28
28-15
161.3Avg total
83.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.275.8158.1+6.467%
Season at home (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
Season away (6)84.774.2158.8+10.583%
Last 10 (10)83.977.4161.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)90.679.8170.4+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.079.7142.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.180.8162.9+1.347%
vs Weaker (7)89.174.7163.9+14.4100%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Oostende
#30
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 78
A15/11
Champions League
Vechta
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 78
H18/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
84-93
84
93
-9
78avg 78
A26/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
W
81-64
81
64
+17
76avg 78
H28/11
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
58-79
58
79
-21
44avg 78
H03/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
W
97-88
97
88
+9
92avg 78
H13/12
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 78
A19/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 78
A23/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
80-104
80
104
-24
74avg 78
A27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
17-36
18-21
24-20
16-23
18-18
13-20
20-24
23-32
22-26
20-12
19-23
23-20
25-14
13-18
20-12
14-20
12-18
19-19
13-22
25-27
21-31
25-11
26-19
25-19
22-21
27-26
11-24
17-18
15-23
19-24
26-20
23-16
17-14
27-26
22-15
18-31
15-27
18-29
29-17
164.8Avg total
80.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.484.3168.7+0.146%
Season at home (6)79.284.7163.8-5.533%
Season away (7)88.984.0172.9+4.957%
Last 10 (10)80.184.7164.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)85.687.6173.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.583.5162.0-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.286.7170.9-2.540%
vs Weaker (10)89.279.4168.6+9.870%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
WurzburgOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/12
BBL
76.6Avg total
40.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.278.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.179.1+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.378.5-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.176.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.441.173.6-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.941.381.2-1.327%-
vs Weaker (7)40.437.477.9+3.071%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#30
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A15/11
Champions League
Vechta
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H18/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A26/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H03/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H13/12
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A27/12
BBL
83.7Avg total
39.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.385.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.142.384.4-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.186.2-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.583.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.485.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.841.080.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.944.985.7-4.027%-
vs Weaker (10)45.640.686.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.6%
54.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.2
38.2%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
76.0%15.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.6
55.4%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
76.0%13.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWWWLWLLW
Oldenburg
LWLLWLWLLL
#4
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
-6.3
113.3
Offensive rating
111.4
105.7
Defensive rating
117.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.2%
3-point %
33.2%
46.3%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 111.4Defence105.7 · 117.7Shooting53.2% · 52.9%3-point %38.2% · 33.2%Ball care14.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 34.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
2
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
18/04/23Wurzburg v Oldenburg78-82
17/12/22Oldenburg v Wurzburg77-79
15/10/22Wurzburg v Oldenburg87-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23ABamberg83-78
23/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins98-96
16/12/23HBonn97-78
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54
04/11/23HChemnitz68-70
29/10/23ABayern64-87
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23ALudwigsburg80-104
23/12/23ASyntainics MBC89-71
19/12/23AStrasbourg77-85
17/12/23HAlba Berlin85-90
13/12/23HKarsiyaka97-88
03/12/23HChemnitz58-79
28/11/23HOostende81-64
26/11/23ATubingen84-93
18/11/23HVechta67-85
15/11/23AOostende83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%50%83%
Points / game82.279.884.7
Allowed / game75.877.574.2
Point differential+6.4+2.3+10.5
Avg total158.1157.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%33%57%
Points / game84.479.288.9
Allowed / game84.384.784.0
Point differential+0.1-5.5+4.9
Avg total168.7163.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1312192%87.473.1+14.3
2 Ulm129375%92.189.7+2.4
3 Bayern118373%88.178.1+10.0
4 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
5 Wurzburg128467%82.275.8+6.4
6 Ludwigsburg138562%88.879.8+8.9
7 Vechta138562%88.780.1+8.6
8 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
9 Bonn148657%90.085.4+4.6
10 Rostock126650%93.593.1+0.4
11 Oldenburg136746%84.484.3+0.1
12 Bamberg135838%89.392.0-2.7
13 Basketball Braunschweig135838%82.388.3-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC134931%82.287.6-5.4
15 Tubingen134931%85.294.1-8.8
16 Gottingen113827%90.3100.0-9.7
17 Heidelberg1321115%83.894.5-10.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins1321115%78.895.7-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1419262483
Oldenburg1714182978
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