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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-88
19-25 22-20 15-19 27-24
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game87.9
GermanyBBLRound 8· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 66
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 66
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 66
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 66
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 66
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 66
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 66
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
48avg 66
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
60avg 66
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 66
A11/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
19-17
19-24
23-25
12-19
25-22
15-17
21-19
22-17
25-21
22-23
24-20
17-12
20-24
33-15
18-7
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
20-21
12-23
19-17
21-15
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
14-21
20-21
15-23
15-22
20-16
19-16
12-12
17-26
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
150.9Avg total
76.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.270.5145.7+4.750%
Season at home (3)70.774.7145.3-4.033%
Season away (3)79.766.3146.0+13.367%
Last 10 (10)76.674.3150.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)75.072.6147.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.680.1147.7-12.611%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.881.1160.9-1.340%
vs Weaker (5)90.872.0162.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 81
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 81
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
173.8Avg total
90.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.787.9181.6+5.986%
Season at home (4)91.289.8181.0+1.575%
Season away (3)97.085.3182.3+11.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.083.8173.8+6.280%
Last 5 (5)94.087.4181.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.185.0169.1-0.955%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.982.6170.5+5.383%
vs Weaker (7)106.091.6197.6+14.4100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
75.2Avg total
38.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.3+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.142.381.4-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.075.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.474.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.740.676.2-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.042.482.4-2.427%-
vs Weaker (5)44.239.483.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
84.4Avg total
44.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.687.3+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.2+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.4-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.884.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.243.886.0-1.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.140.683.7+2.567%-
vs Weaker (7)51.644.095.6+7.6100%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.5
49.1%
54.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
76.0%13.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.1
39.8%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
76.0%13.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLLWLLWWLL
Ulm
WWLWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
+2.9
Net rating
+3.7
103.8
Offensive rating
112.7
100.9
Defensive rating
109.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.5%
3-point %
39.8%
44.4%
Assist %
71.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 112.7Defence100.9 · 109.0Shooting49.5% · 57.1%3-point %33.5% · 39.8%Ball care18.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54
04/11/23HChemnitz68-70
29/10/23ABayern64-87
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
14/10/23HUlm72-76
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78
01/10/23AHamburg88-58
23/09/23APS Karlsruhe93-81
04/05/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-77
01/05/23AFrankfurt77-86
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game75.270.779.7
Allowed / game70.574.766.3
Point differential+4.7-4.0+13.3
Avg total145.7145.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game93.791.297.0
Allowed / game87.989.885.3
Point differential+5.9+1.5+11.7
Avg total181.6181.0182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz87188%86.573.6+12.9
2 Ulm76186%93.787.9+5.9
3 Vechta86275%90.978.5+12.4
4 Alba Berlin86275%95.583.2+12.2
5 Bayern85362%86.678.0+8.6
6 Bonn85362%89.083.0+6.0
7 Oldenburg85362%87.682.4+5.2
8 Hamburg85362%86.589.1-2.6
9 Ludwigsburg74357%89.181.0+8.1
10 Wurzburg63350%75.270.5+4.7
11 Syntainics MBC83538%86.287.2-1.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig83538%82.186.9-4.8
13 Rostock72529%91.096.1-5.1
14 Bamberg72529%89.196.3-7.1
15 Tubingen82625%84.096.2-12.2
16 Gottingen61517%89.0102.7-13.7
17 Heidelberg71614%84.096.0-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins71614%73.697.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1922152783
Ulm2520192488
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