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Wurzburg vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 97-78
34-16 12-11 24-23 27-28
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game82.5
GermanyBBLRound 11· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Bonn
02 Oct 2026
WUR83
BON76
24 May 2026
WUR82
BON70
22 May 2026
WUR76
BON80
14 Mar 2026
WUR81
BON87
26 Apr 2025
WUR83
BON75
16 Dec 2023
WUR97
BON78
01 Oct 2022
WUR71
BON96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 67
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 67
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 67
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 67
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
48avg 67
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
60avg 67
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 67
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 67
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 67
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 67
H01/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
20-24
33-15
18-7
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
20-21
12-23
19-17
21-15
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
14-21
20-21
15-23
15-22
20-16
19-16
12-12
17-26
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
151.5Avg total
78.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.873.1151.9+5.756%
Season at home (5)76.477.4153.8-1.040%
Season away (4)81.867.8149.5+14.075%
Last 10 (10)78.173.4151.5+4.750%
Last 5 (5)82.671.8154.4+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.679.6144.2-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.981.3162.2-0.444%
vs Weaker (5)88.669.8158.4+18.8100%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
87-105
87
105
-18
79avg 82
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 82
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
99avg 82
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 82
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 82
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
95avg 82
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 82
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 82
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 82
H13/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
18-27
26-21
21-26
19-9
28-16
16-22
23-24
20-20
12-23
26-14
17-18
17-18
33-17
28-23
23-19
24-19
18-25
26-29
14-19
28-19
24-14
17-21
23-15
29-27
31-28
24-19
18-20
20-16
21-21
13-18
18-10
19-22
24-25
15-25
20-14
23-19
23-21
13-20
17-20
168.6Avg total
86.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.382.5171.7+6.864%
Season at home (6)87.076.8163.8+10.267%
Season away (5)92.089.2181.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)86.482.2168.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)84.078.8162.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (21)88.975.9164.8+13.067%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
WurzburgBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
75.8Avg total
38.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.879.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.080.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.779.2-4.221%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.175.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.475.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.041.175.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.242.182.4-1.925%-
vs Weaker (5)41.636.678.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/12
BBL
87.0Avg total
45.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.781.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.236.478.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.485.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.787.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.490.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)44.937.582.3+7.471%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.5
48.3%
54.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
76.0%14.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.4
37.8%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
76.0%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWLWLLWLLW
Bonn
LLWWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#7
+6.6
Net rating
+4.9
103.9
Offensive rating
115.3
97.3
Defensive rating
110.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
37.8%
49.6%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 115.3Defence97.3 · 110.4Shooting49.5% · 55.5%3-point %34.1% · 37.8%Ball care18.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.6% · 33.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
2
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Bonn v Wurzburg94-73
01/10/22Wurzburg v Bonn71-96
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54
04/11/23HChemnitz68-70
29/10/23ABayern64-87
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
14/10/23HUlm72-76
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78
01/10/23AHamburg88-58
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig76-80
10/12/23HBayern78-86
06/12/23AHapoel Holon72-65
03/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig102-94
26/11/23HHeidelberg92-69
21/11/23HBursaspor82-92
19/11/23AGottingen101-77
12/11/23HBayern88-83 OT
08/11/23HBreogan86-71
05/11/23AUlm87-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game78.876.481.8
Allowed / game73.177.467.8
Point differential+5.7-1.0+14.0
Avg total151.9153.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%20%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game89.387.092.0
Allowed / game82.576.889.2
Point differential+6.8+10.2+2.8
Avg total171.7163.8181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz109190%86.773.4+13.3
2 Ulm108280%92.789.2+3.5
3 Ludwigsburg107370%89.079.4+9.6
4 Alba Berlin96367%93.783.7+10.0
5 Bayern96367%86.478.3+8.1
6 Bonn117464%89.382.5+6.8
7 Hamburg117464%87.288.7-1.5
8 Vechta106460%88.380.0+8.3
9 Wurzburg95456%78.873.1+5.7
10 Oldenburg105550%84.383.1+1.2
11 Rostock104640%92.394.7-2.4
12 Bamberg104640%89.492.7-3.3
13 Basketball Braunschweig114736%82.687.7-5.1
14 Syntainics MBC103730%84.387.2-2.9
15 Tubingen113827%85.094.1-9.1
16 Gottingen92722%88.2100.1-11.9
17 Heidelberg102820%82.292.5-10.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins102820%77.595.4-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg3412242797
Bonn1611232878
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